Six Randomized Evaluations of Microcredit: Introduction and Further Steps †

Causal evidence on microcredit impacts informs theory, practice, and debates about its effectiveness as a development tool. The six randomized evaluations in this volume use a variety of sampling, data collection, experimental design, and econometric strategies to identify causal effects of expanded access to microcredit on bor rowers and/or communities. These methods are deployed across an impressive range of locations—six countries on four continents, urban and rural areas—borrower characteristics, loan character istics, and lender characteristics. Summarizing and interpreting results across studies, we note a consistent pattern of modestly positive, but not transformative, effects. We also discuss directions for future research. (JEL D14, G21, I38, O15, O16, P34, P36)

[1]  Daniel Björkegren,et al.  Behavior Revealed in Mobile Phone Usage Predicts Loan Repayment , 2017, The World Bank Economic Review.

[2]  R. Khanam,et al.  The effects of microfinance on women's empowerment: New evidence from Bangladesh , 2017 .

[3]  Aurélie Brunie,et al.  Economic benefits of savings groups in rural Mozambique , 2017 .

[4]  M. Lacalle-Calderon,et al.  Microfinance and Violence Against Women in Rural Guatemala , 2017, Journal of interpersonal violence.

[5]  M. Bateman Local Finance for Sustainable Local Enterprise Development: The Role of International Development Assistance in Identifying and Promoting Best Practice in a Post-Neoliberal World , 2017 .

[6]  G. Bruton,et al.  Microfinance: Where are we today and where should the research go in the future? , 2017 .

[7]  Kotchikpa Gabriel Lawin,et al.  What Should We Expect of the Impact of Microcredit on Farms’ Performances?: A Literature Review of Experimental Studies , 2017 .

[8]  M. Bateman Bringing the Local State Back into Development: The ‘Local Developmental State’ and the Promotion of Sustainable Economic Development and Growth from the Bottom-Up , 2017 .

[9]  G. Zulfiqar Financializing the poor: ‘dead capital’, women’s gold and microfinance in Pakistan , 2017 .

[10]  Russell Toth,et al.  No Longer Trapped? Promoting Entrepreneurship Through Cash Transfers to Ultra‐Poor Women in Northern Kenya , 2017 .

[11]  Ambika Prasad Pati Contribution of Microfinance in Achieving Millennium Development Goals , 2017 .

[12]  P. Anand,et al.  Is credit associated with a higher quality of life? A capability approach , 2017 .

[13]  A. Banerjee,et al.  Do Credit Constraints Limit Entrepreneurship? Heterogeneity in the Returns to Microfinance , 2017 .

[14]  Erwin Bulte,et al.  Do Gender and Business Trainings Affect Business Outcomes? Experimental Evidence from Vietnam , 2017, Manag. Sci..

[15]  Nirvikar Singh Financial Inclusion: Concepts, Issues and Policies for India , 2017 .

[16]  Juan Carlos Gozzi,et al.  Conceptual Issues in Access to Finance , 2017 .

[17]  Juan Carlos Gozzi,et al.  Microfinance: BancoEstado’s Experience in Chile , 2017 .

[18]  Salah Chafik,et al.  Community trust reduces myopic decisions of low-income individuals , 2017, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[19]  C. Donaldson,et al.  From wealth to health: Evaluating microfinance as a complex intervention , 2017 .

[20]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Impact of savings groups on the lives of the poor , 2017, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[21]  Dilip Mookherjee,et al.  The Equity Impacts of Targeted Smallholder Agricultural Credit , 2017 .

[22]  A. Araar,et al.  The Dynamics of Microcredit Borrowings in Cambodia , 2017 .

[23]  Michael A. Clemens,et al.  Temporary work visas as US-Haiti development cooperation: a preliminary impact evaluation , 2017, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[24]  D. Hudson,et al.  Which aid initiatives strengthen food security? Lessons from Uttar Pradesh , 2017 .

[25]  Seiro Ito,et al.  How Does Contract Design Affect the Uptake of Microcredit among the Ultra-poor? Experimental Evidence from the River Islands of Northern Bangladesh , 2017 .

[26]  G. Zulfiqar Does Microfinance Enhance Gender Equity in Access to Finance? Evidence from Pakistan , 2017 .

[27]  Jean-Michel Servet,et al.  Finance as a Common: From Environmental Management to Microfinance and Back , 2016 .

[28]  William Jack,et al.  The long-run poverty and gender impacts of mobile money , 2016, Science.

[29]  P. Gertler,et al.  The Effects of Non-Contributory Pensions on Material and Subjective Well Being , 2016 .

[30]  P. Bustos,et al.  Capital Allocation across Regions, Sectors and Firms: evidence from a commodity boom in Brazil , 2016 .

[31]  Linda Helgesson Sekei,et al.  Gender composition and group dynamics : Evidence from a laboratory experiment with microfinance clients , 2016 .

[32]  Elisabet Viladecans-Marsal,et al.  Banking the Unbanked: Evidence from the Spanish Banking Expansion Plan , 2016 .

[33]  Timothée Demont,et al.  Microfinance spillovers: A model of competition in informal credit markets with an application to Indian villages , 2016 .

[34]  Harini Kannan,et al.  From Proof of Concept to Scalable Policies: Challenges and Solutions, with an Application , 2016 .

[35]  Jean-Michel Servet Why Has Microcredit Had Such a Limited Impact on the Reduction of Poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa? , 2016 .

[36]  S. A. Churchill,et al.  Microcredit and poverty reduction in Bangladesh: average effects beyond publication bias , 2016 .

[37]  J. Copestake,et al.  Towards a plural history of microfinance , 2016 .

[38]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Follow the money not the cash: Comparing methods for identifying consumption and investment responses to a liquidity shock , 2016 .

[39]  Cyrus Samii,et al.  Causal Empiricism in Quantitative Research , 2016, The Journal of Politics.

[40]  P. Dupas,et al.  Impacts and Determinants of Health Levels in Low-Income Countries , 2016 .

[41]  Christopher Ksoll,et al.  Impact of Village Savings and Loan Associations: Evidence from a cluster randomized trial , 2016 .

[42]  Bruce Wydick Microfinance on the margin: why recent impact studies may understate average treatment effects , 2016 .

[43]  A. Burlando,et al.  The Allocation of Capital in Rural Credit Markets , 2016 .

[44]  John Y. Campbell,et al.  International Comparative Household Finance , 2016 .

[45]  Bryan C. McCannon,et al.  The Impact of Microfinance on Pro-Social Behaviors: Experimental Evidence of Public Goods Contributions in Uganda , 2016 .

[46]  Gurudas Nulkar The Environmental Costs of Serving the Bottom of the Pyramid , 2016 .

[47]  Daniel Green,et al.  Growing Pains in Financial Development: Institutional Weakness and Investment Efficiency , 2015 .

[48]  M. Viswanathan,et al.  Consumption Constraints and Entrepreneurial Intentions in Subsistence Marketplaces , 2015 .

[49]  J. Servet Pourquoi l’impact du microcrédit sur la réduction de la pauvreté en Afrique subsaharienne est-il limité ? , 2015 .

[50]  Laura R. Ralston,et al.  Generating Employment in Poor and Fragile States: Evidence from Labor Market and Entrepreneurship Programs , 2015 .

[51]  R. Filer,et al.  The Importance of Geographic Access for the Impact of Microfinance , 2015, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[52]  Rachael Meager,et al.  Understanding the Impact of Microcredit Expansions: A Bayesian Hierarchical Analysis of 7 Randomised Experiments , 2015, 1506.06669.

[53]  Lant Pritchett,et al.  Learning from Experiments When Context Matters , 2015 .

[54]  P. Landoni,et al.  Indirect Microcredit Programs: The Use and Potential of Guarantees in Microcredit , 2015 .

[55]  Francisco J. Buera,et al.  Entrepreneurship and Financial Frictions: a Macro-Development Perspective , 2015 .

[56]  R. Meyer Financing Agriculture and Rural Areas in Sub-Saharan Africa: Progress, Challenges and the Way Forward , 2015 .

[57]  Dilip Mookherjee,et al.  Financing Smallholder Agriculture: An Experiment with Agent-Intermediated Microloans in India , 2014 .

[58]  Jonathan Zinman Household Debt: Facts, Puzzles, Theories, and Policies , 2014 .

[59]  C. Udry,et al.  Self-Selection into Credit Markets: Evidence from Agriculture in Mali , 2014 .

[60]  Jonathan Zinman Consumer Credit: Too Much or Too Little (or Just Right)? , 2013, The Journal of Legal Studies.

[61]  Dean Karlan,et al.  WIDER Working Paper 2014/020 Implications of climate change for G hana’s economy , 2014 .

[62]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Follow the Money: Methods for Identifying Consumption and Investment Responses to a Liquidity Shock , 2013 .

[63]  Erica Field,et al.  Does the Classic Microfinance Model Discourage Entrepreneurship Among the Poor? Experimental Evidence from India † , 2013 .

[64]  A. Banerjee,et al.  Microcredit Under the Microscope: What Have We Learned in the Past Two Decades, and What Do We Need to Know? , 2013 .

[65]  Debraj Ray,et al.  Poverty and Self-Control , 2013 .

[66]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Agricultural Decisions after Relaxing Credit and Risk Constraints , 2012 .

[67]  M. Rosenzweig,et al.  Selling Formal Insurance to the Informally Insured , 2012 .

[68]  W. Jack,et al.  Mobile Money: The Economics of M-Pesa , 2011 .

[69]  Sendhil Mullainathan,et al.  The Shape of Temptation: Implications for the Economic Lives of the Poor , 2010 .

[70]  Jonathan Zinman,et al.  In Harm's Way? Payday Loan Access and Military Personnel Performance , 2008 .

[71]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Expanding Credit Access: Using Randomized Supply Decisions to Estimate the Impacts , 2007 .

[72]  R. Pande,et al.  Do Rural Banks Matter? Evidence from the Indian Social Banking Experiment , 2003 .

[73]  J. Gueron,et al.  The Politics and Practice of Social Experiments , 2017 .

[74]  A. Janvry,et al.  Field Experiments in Developing Country Agriculture , 2017 .

[75]  José Manuel Sáiz-Álvarez,et al.  Digital Entrepreneurial Charity, Solidarity, and Social Change , 2017, Int. J. E Entrepreneurship Innov..

[76]  Jasjit Singh,et al.  Corporate Engagement at the Base of the Pyramid: Commercial Microfinance and Entrepreneurship , 2016 .

[77]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Six Randomized Evaluations of Microcredit : Introduction and Further Steps , 2015 .

[78]  Élisabeth Sadoulet,et al.  L’adoption des technologies agricoles: quelles leçons tirer des expérimentations de terrain ? , 2015 .

[79]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  The Next Stage of Financial Inclusion , 2014 .

[80]  Guido Imbens,et al.  Site Selection Bias in Program Evaluation , 2014 .

[81]  S. Mullainathan,et al.  Scarcity: Why Having Too Little Means So Much , 2013 .

[82]  C. Gutiérrez Profits vs. Impact: What can microfinance teach us? , 2013 .

[83]  P. Vaughan In harm's way. , 1997, CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne.