Meta-Analysis of Effect Sizes Reported at Multiple Time Points Using General Linear Mixed Model

Meta-analysis of longitudinal studies combines effect sizes measured at pre-determined time points. The most common approach involves performing separate univariate meta-analyses at individual time points. This simplistic approach ignores dependence between longitudinal effect sizes, which might result in less precise parameter estimates. In this paper, we show how to conduct a meta-analysis of longitudinal effect sizes where we contrast different covariance structures for dependence between effect sizes, both within and between studies. We propose new combinations of covariance structures for the dependence between effect size and utilize a practical example involving meta-analysis of 17 trials comparing postoperative treatments for a type of cancer, where survival is measured at 6, 12, 18 and 24 months post randomization. Although the results from this particular data set show the benefit of accounting for within-study serial correlation between effect sizes, simulations are required to confirm these results.

[1]  Wolfgang Viechtbauer,et al.  Conducting Meta-Analyses in R with the metafor Package , 2010 .

[2]  Christine T Chambers,et al.  A systematic review of randomized controlled trials examining psychological interventions for needle-related procedural pain and distress in children and adolescents: an abbreviated cochrane review. , 2008, Journal of pediatric psychology.

[3]  Ingram Olkin,et al.  Meta-analysis of effect sizes reported at multiple time points: A multivariate approach , 2012, Clinical trials.

[4]  Jae Eun Ahn,et al.  Longitudinal aggregate data model-based meta-analysis with NONMEM: approaches to handling within treatment arm correlation , 2010, Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics.

[5]  Byron C. Wallace,et al.  Meta-Analyst: software for meta-analysis of binary, continuous and diagnostic data , 2009, BMC medical research methodology.

[6]  Dario Cecilio Fernandes,et al.  Mixed models for longitudinal data , 2016 .

[7]  Thomas A Trikalinos,et al.  Empirical and Simulation-Based Comparison of Univariate and Multivariate Meta-Analysis for Binary Outcomes , 2013 .

[8]  K Jack Ishak,et al.  Meta-analysis of longitudinal studies , 2007, Clinical trials.

[9]  Mark W. Lipsey,et al.  Practical Meta-Analysis , 2000 .

[10]  Cary Sas/stat ® 9.3 User's Guide the Seqdesign Procedure (chapter) Sas ® Documentation , 2011 .

[11]  Ian R. White,et al.  Multivariate Random-effects Meta-analysis , 2009 .

[12]  Richard D Riley,et al.  Rejoinder to commentaries on ‘Multivariate meta‐analysis: Potential and promise’ , 2011 .

[13]  F Mosteller,et al.  Meta-analysis of multiple outcomes by regression with random effects. , 1998, Statistics in medicine.

[14]  Thomas A Trikalinos,et al.  An empirical comparison of univariate and multivariate meta‐analyses for categorical outcomes , 2014, Statistics in medicine.

[15]  Julia H. Littell,et al.  Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis , 2008 .

[16]  Patrick M M Bossuyt,et al.  Differences between univariate and bivariate models for summarizing diagnostic accuracy may not be large. , 2009, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[17]  Xiao-Hua Zhou,et al.  Statistical Methods for Meta‐Analysis , 2008 .

[18]  A Gasparrini,et al.  Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and other multi-parameter associations , 2012, Statistics in medicine.

[19]  M. Mayo-Smith Pharmacological management of alcohol withdrawal. A meta-analysis and evidence-based practice guideline. American Society of Addiction Medicine Working Group on Pharmacological Management of Alcohol Withdrawal. , 1997, JAMA.

[20]  M. Pittler Systematic Reviews in Health Care: Meta‐analysis in Context , 2010 .

[21]  Richard D Riley,et al.  A multivariate meta‐analysis approach for reducing the impact of outcome reporting bias in systematic reviews , 2012, Statistics in medicine.

[22]  C D Naylor,et al.  Meta-analysis of controlled clinical trials. , 1989, The Journal of rheumatology.

[23]  S. Thompson,et al.  Quantifying heterogeneity in a meta‐analysis , 2002, Statistics in medicine.

[24]  Byron C. Wallace,et al.  Closing the Gap between Methodologists and End-Users: R as a Computational Back-End , 2012 .

[25]  Jonathan J Deeks,et al.  metan-an alternative meta-analysis command , 1999 .

[26]  Yunxia Liu,et al.  Chinese herbal medicines for treating osteoporosis. , 2014, The Cochrane database of systematic reviews.

[27]  Harukazu Tsuruta,et al.  Development and validation of MIX: comprehensive free software for meta-analysis of causal research data , 2006, BMC medical research methodology.

[28]  Haitao Chu,et al.  mmeta: An R Package for Multivariate Meta-Analysis. , 2014, Journal of statistical software.

[29]  P. Graham Meta‐analysis of radiation therapy with and without adjuvant chemotherapy for malignant gliomas in adults , 1993, Cancer.

[30]  Alex J. Sutton,et al.  Methods for Meta-Analysis in Medical Research , 2000 .

[31]  Dimitris Mavridis,et al.  A practical introduction to multivariate meta-analysis , 2013, Statistical methods in medical research.

[32]  Theo Stijnen,et al.  Advanced methods in meta‐analysis: multivariate approach and meta‐regression , 2002, Statistics in medicine.

[33]  Ingram Olkin,et al.  Stochastically dependent effect sizes. , 1994 .

[34]  T C Chalmers,et al.  Cumulative meta-analysis of therapeutic trials for myocardial infarction. , 1992, The New England journal of medicine.

[35]  J. Ware,et al.  Random-effects models for longitudinal data. , 1982, Biometrics.

[36]  So Young Sohn,et al.  Multivariate meta analysis with potentially correlated marketing study results , 2000 .

[37]  Dan Jackson,et al.  Multivariate meta-analysis: Potential and promise , 2011, Statistics in medicine.

[38]  Ana Ivelisse Avilés,et al.  Linear Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data , 2001, Technometrics.

[39]  D. Altman,et al.  Measuring inconsistency in meta-analyses , 2003, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[40]  Amir Azarpazhooh,et al.  Computer-assisted learning in orthodontic education: a systematic review and meta-analysis. , 2009, Journal of dental education.

[41]  Richard D Riley,et al.  Multivariate meta‐analysis: the effect of ignoring within‐study correlation , 2009 .

[42]  L. Hedges,et al.  The Handbook of Research Synthesis and Meta-Analysis , 2009 .

[43]  Betsy Jane Becker,et al.  Modeling multivariate effect sizes. , 1988 .

[44]  Martin Offringa,et al.  Systematic reviews and meta-analysis. , 2015, Seminars in fetal & neonatal medicine.

[45]  Terri D. Pigott,et al.  Advances in Meta-Analysis , 2012 .

[46]  Donald B. Rubin,et al.  Meta-Analytic Procedures for Combining Studies With Multiple Effect Sizes , 1986 .

[47]  Samuel O. M. Manda,et al.  Pregnancy Incidence and Risk Factors among Women Participating in Vaginal Microbicide Trials for HIV Prevention: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis , 2013, PloS one.

[48]  M. S. Patel,et al.  An introduction to meta-analysis. , 1989, Health Policy.