Analyzing Urban Population Change Patterns in Shenyang, China 1982-90: Density Function and Spatial Association Approaches

Abstract Based on the subdistrict (jie-dao) data from 1982 and 1990 national population censuses, this research employs two approaches to investigate the urban population change patterns in Shenyang, China. The density function approach examines what function best characterizes its density distribution, how the density pattern has changed over time, how many centers can be identified in the city, and how influential each center has been on the citywide population distribution. Unlike the socialist cities in Russia, Shenyang has a negative density gradient, bearing more resemblance to western cities. A polycentric model explains the spatial variation of densities in Shenyang much better than a monocentric model. The spatial association approach analyzes the core-peripheral relationship between a city center and its neighboring areas. Both approaches show that people moved from the central city to suburbs, indicating a trend of population decentralization. This trend is attributable to the land use reform, ...

[1]  D. Greene,et al.  A note on problems in estimating exponential urban density models , 1978 .

[2]  Y. Ning,et al.  THE CHANGING INDUSTRIAL AND SPATIAL STRUCTURE IN SHANGHAI , 1995 .

[3]  E. Mills,et al.  A Comparison of Urban Population Density Functions in Developed and Developing Countries , 1980 .

[4]  Fahui Wang,et al.  Modelling Urban Population Densities in Beijing 1982-90: Suburbanisation and its Causes , 1999 .

[5]  Fulong Wu,et al.  Polycentric Urban Development and Land-Use Change in a Transitional Economy: The Case of Guangzhou , 1998 .

[6]  G. Alperovich,et al.  Density Gradients and the Identification of the Central Business District , 1982 .

[7]  K. Small,et al.  Population and employment densities: structure and change. , 1993, Journal of urban economics.

[8]  John F. McDonald,et al.  Suburban Employment Centres: The Case of Chicago , 1994 .

[9]  A. Fotheringham,et al.  The Integration of Spatial Analysis and GIS: The Development of the Statcas Module for ARC/INFO (91-5) , 1991 .

[10]  J. Mcdonald Econometric studies of urban population density: a survey. , 1989, Journal of urban economics.

[11]  H W Richardson,et al.  The Distribution of Population and Employment in a Polycentric City: The Case of Los Angeles , 1986, Environment & planning A.

[12]  E. Mills Studies in the Structure of the Urban Economy , 1972 .

[13]  M. Frankena,et al.  A bias in estimating urban population density functions. , 1978, Journal of urban economics.

[14]  A. Yeh,et al.  THE SOCIAL SPACE OF GUANGZHOU CITY, CHINA , 1995 .

[15]  Causes and consequences of the changing urban form: Introduction , 1991 .

[16]  A. Bertaud,et al.  Socialist Cities without Land Markets , 1997 .

[17]  Harry W. Richardson,et al.  What Happened to the CBD-Distance Gradient?: Land Values in a Policentric City , 1989 .

[18]  Qing Shen,et al.  An application of GIS to the measurement of spatial autocorrelation , 1994 .

[19]  R. Muth,et al.  Cities and Housing. , 1970 .

[20]  D A Griffith,et al.  Modelling urban population density in a multi-centered city. , 1981, Journal of urban economics.