Inferring personal economic status from social network location

It is commonly believed that patterns of social ties affect individuals' economic status. Here we translate this concept into an operational definition at the network level, which allows us to infer the economic well-being of individuals through a measure of their location and influence in the social network. We analyse two large-scale sources: telecommunications and financial data of a whole country's population. Our results show that an individual's location, measured as the optimal collective influence to the structural integrity of the social network, is highly correlated with personal economic status. The observed social network patterns of influence mimic the patterns of economic inequality. For pragmatic use and validation, we carry out a marketing campaign that shows a threefold increase in response rate by targeting individuals identified by our social network metrics as compared to random targeting. Our strategy can also be useful in maximizing the effects of large-scale economic stimulus policies.

[1]  D. Strang,et al.  DIFFUSION IN ORGANIZATIONS AND SOCIAL MOVEMENTS: From Hybrid Corn to Poison Pills , 1998 .

[2]  Stanley Wasserman,et al.  Social Network Analysis: Methods and Applications , 1994, Structural analysis in the social sciences.

[3]  Tom A. B. Snijders,et al.  Social Network Analysis , 2011, International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science.

[4]  Joseph E. Stiglitz,et al.  The Price of Inequality: How Today's Divided Society Endangers Our Future , 2012 .

[5]  A-L Barabási,et al.  Structure and tie strengths in mobile communication networks , 2006, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[6]  Raymond W. Smilor,et al.  The Art and Science of Entrepreneurship , 1986 .

[7]  Steven B. Andrews,et al.  Structural Holes: The Social Structure of Competition , 1995, The SAGE Encyclopedia of Research Design.

[8]  N. Smelser,et al.  Handbook of Economic Sociology , 1994 .

[9]  Katherine J. Stewart,et al.  Friends in High Places: The Effects of Social Networks on Discrimination in Salary Negotiations , 2000 .

[10]  Vincent D. Blondel,et al.  Estimating Food Consumption and Poverty Indices with Mobile Phone Data , 2014, ArXiv.

[11]  Kathleen C. Schwartzman,et al.  DIFFUSION IN ORGANIZATIONS AND SOCIAL MOVEMENTS: From Hybrid Corn to Poison Pills , 2007 .

[12]  David Lazer,et al.  Inferring friendship network structure by using mobile phone data , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[13]  Éva Tardos,et al.  Maximizing the Spread of Influence through a Social Network , 2015, Theory Comput..

[14]  References , 1971 .

[15]  Mark E. J. Newman,et al.  The Structure and Function of Complex Networks , 2003, SIAM Rev..

[16]  David Lazer,et al.  Tracking employment shocks using mobile phone data , 2015, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.

[17]  Mark S. Granovetter The Strength of Weak Ties , 1973, American Journal of Sociology.

[18]  Lev Muchnik,et al.  Identifying influential spreaders in complex networks , 2010, 1001.5285.

[19]  A. Barabasi,et al.  Scaling identity connects human mobility and social interactions , 2016, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[20]  Zbigniew Smoreda,et al.  An analytical framework to nowcast well-being using mobile phone data , 2016, International Journal of Data Science and Analytics.

[21]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Understanding individual human mobility patterns , 2008, Nature.

[22]  S. Page Prologue to The Difference: How the Power of Diversity Creates Better Groups, Firms, Schools, and Societies , 2007 .

[23]  P. Olivier,et al.  Socio-Geography of Human Mobility: A Study Using Longitudinal Mobile Phone Data , 2012, PloS one.

[24]  Hernán A. Makse,et al.  Influence maximization in complex networks through optimal percolation , 2015, Nature.

[25]  Jean-Loup Guillaume,et al.  Fast unfolding of communities in large networks , 2008, 0803.0476.

[26]  Alex Pentland,et al.  Urban characteristics attributable to density-driven tie formation , 2012, Nature Communications.

[27]  M. Newman Analysis of weighted networks. , 2004, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[28]  Mark S. Granovetter The Impact of Social Structure on Economic Outcomes Social Networks and Economic Outcomes: Core Principles , 2022 .

[29]  L. Freeman Centrality in social networks conceptual clarification , 1978 .

[30]  Guido Caldarelli,et al.  Large Scale Structure and Dynamics of Complex Networks: From Information Technology to Finance and Natural Science , 2007 .

[31]  Nikolaos Pandis,et al.  Analysis of Covariance , 2005 .

[32]  Hernán A. Makse,et al.  Spreading dynamics in complex networks , 2013, ArXiv.

[33]  W. Heath The Difference: How the Power of Diversity Creates Better Groups, Firms, Schools, and Societies , 2008 .

[34]  Rajeev Motwani,et al.  The PageRank Citation Ranking : Bringing Order to the Web , 1999, WWW 1999.

[35]  N. Eagle,et al.  Network Diversity and Economic Development , 2010, Science.

[36]  Vincent D. Blondel,et al.  Evaluating socio-economic state of a country analyzing airtime credit and mobile phone datasets , 2013, ArXiv.

[37]  Alex Pentland,et al.  Human Behavior Understanding for Inducing Behavioral Change: Application Perspectives , 2011, HBU.