Judgment of Covariation by Social Perceivers

Knowledge about relationships between events is a critical aspect of human knowledge. Knowing whether events are related, and how strongly they are related, enables individuals to explain the past, control the present, and predict the future. Consequently people's ability to judge covariations between events is of central importance to a number of psychological theories. In 1967 Peterson and Beach reviewed people's ability to use correlational concepts, as part of a paper on "Man as an intuitive statistician." At the time of their review, studies on this topic were few in number and not very definitive in the information they provided. Since that time a sizable body of research on intuitive covariation concepts has developed. A substantial amount of research indi

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