Discovering emerging business ideas based on crowdfunded software projects

Abstract User-centered innovation has attracted considerable interest for exploiting emerging business ideas. We suggest a novel framework for discovering emerging business ideas and their combination with user-centered innovation in the software industry based on design thinking processes. We apply topic modeling to projects on Kickstarter which is one of the largest crowdfunding platforms in the world. We adopt conjoint analysis to find which topics are most preferred upon the platform in terms of the amount of funding that they have received. From our findings, the convergence of smart assistant services with various domains, such as tutoring mathematics and seeking job opportunities, is recommended as an emerging idea for software businesses. We also find that the ideas preferred in the US are different from those preferred in other countries. Our findings can be exploited effectively for decision support in establishing a new business model. Finally, this study contributes to discovering emerging business ideas by connecting user-centered innovation with a design thinking perspective.

[1]  Torsten Oliver Salge,et al.  Mapping the Topic Landscape of JPIM , 1984-2013: In Search of Hidden Structures and Development Trajectories , 2016 .

[2]  Antonio K.W. Lau,et al.  Regional innovation system, absorptive capacity and innovation performance: An empirical study , 2015 .

[3]  Kevin J. Boudreau,et al.  Let a Thousand Flowers Bloom? An Early Look at Large Numbers of Software 'Apps' Developers and Patterns of Innovation , 2011, Organ. Sci..

[4]  Junic Kim The platform business model and business ecosystem: quality management and revenue structures* , 2016 .

[5]  C. A. Benavides-Velasco,et al.  Innovative competence, exploration and exploitation: The influence of technological diversification , 2008 .

[6]  Elie Ofek,et al.  Personal and Social Usage: The Origins of Active Customers and Ways to Keep Them Engaged , 2017, Manag. Sci..

[7]  Reuven Lehavy,et al.  Analyst Information Discovery and Interpretation Roles: A Topic Modeling Approach , 2016 .

[8]  Leif Singer,et al.  How Social and Communication Channels Shape and Challenge a Participatory Culture in Software Development , 2017, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering.

[9]  E. Mosakowski,et al.  Kicking Off Social Entrepreneurship: How a Sustainability Orientation Influences Crowdfunding Success , 2016 .

[10]  Vithala R. Rao,et al.  Conjoint Measurement- for Quantifying Judgmental Data , 1971 .

[11]  Mahzarin R. Banaji,et al.  Using ConJoint AnAlysis to deteCt disCriminAtion: reveAling Covert PreferenCes from overt ChoiCes , 2009 .

[12]  J. Céspedes-Lorente,et al.  Fostering product innovation: Differences between new ventures and established firms , 2015 .

[13]  Kim Willems,et al.  When brands come to life: experimental research on the vividness effect of Virtual Reality in transformational marketing communications , 2017, Virtual Reality.

[14]  Michael I. Jordan,et al.  Latent Dirichlet Allocation , 2001, J. Mach. Learn. Res..

[15]  Peter H. Bloch,et al.  Linking Innovation to Design: Consumer Responses to Visual Product Newness* , 2011 .

[16]  So Young Sohn,et al.  Identifying Emerging Trends of Financial Business Method Patents , 2017 .

[17]  Mohan Subramaniam,et al.  The Influence of Intellectual Capital on the Types of Innovative Capabilities , 2005 .

[18]  So Young Sohn,et al.  Analyzing research trends in personal information privacy using topic modeling , 2017, Comput. Secur..

[19]  Amit V. Deokar,et al.  Detecting Fraudulent Behavior on Crowdfunding Platforms: The Role of Linguistic and Content-Based Cues in Static and Dynamic Contexts , 2016, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[20]  Nauman Bin Ali,et al.  Towards innovation measurement in the software industry , 2013, J. Syst. Softw..

[21]  Yibo Wang,et al.  Leveraging deep learning with LDA-based text analytics to detect automobile insurance fraud , 2018, Decis. Support Syst..

[22]  G. Krogh,et al.  Under the radar: Industry entry by user entrepreneurs , 2010 .

[23]  Michael Scholz,et al.  Measuring consumers' willingness to pay with utility-based recommendation systems , 2015, Decis. Support Syst..

[24]  J. Liedtka Perspective: Linking Design Thinking with Innovation Outcomes through Cognitive Bias Reduction , 2015 .

[25]  R. McAdam,et al.  A rewarding experience? Exploring how crowdfunding is affecting music industry business models. , 2017 .

[26]  Dionisios N. Sotiropoulos,et al.  A computational model for mining consumer perceptions in social media , 2017, Decis. Support Syst..

[27]  Atreyi Kankanhalli,et al.  Which ideas are more likely to be implemented in online user innovation communities? An empirical analysis , 2016, Decis. Support Syst..

[28]  Ali J. Ahmad,et al.  Social innovation with open source software: User engagement and development challenges in India , 2016 .

[29]  Akbar Zaheer,et al.  Geography of online network ties: A predictive modelling approach , 2017, Decis. Support Syst..

[30]  K. Frenken,et al.  Related Variety, Unrelated Variety and Regional Economic Growth , 2007 .

[31]  S. Sohn,et al.  Quantitative analysis of a half-century of K-Pop songs: Association rule analysis of lyrics and social network analysis of singers and composers , 2017 .

[32]  Rogério Cerávolo Calia,et al.  Innovation networks: From technological development to business model reconfiguration , 2007 .

[33]  Riccardo Crescenzi,et al.  The Territorial Dynamics of Innovation in China and India , 2012 .

[34]  Thomas Hess,et al.  It Is Not Just About Competition with “Free”: Differences Between Content Formats in Consumer Preferences and Willingness to Pay , 2015, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[35]  Sanjay Jain,et al.  Incomplete by Design and Designing for Incompleteness , 2008 .

[36]  Z. John Zhang,et al.  Augmenting Conjoint Analysis to Estimate Consumer Reservation Price , 2002, Manag. Sci..

[37]  Tim Minshall,et al.  Beyond absorptive capacity in open innovation process: the relationships between openness, capacities and firm performance , 2016, Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag..

[38]  C. Moreau Inviting the Amateurs into the Studio: Understanding How Consumer Engagement in Product Design Creates Value , 2011 .

[39]  Srinivasan Raghunathan Software Editions: An Application of Segmentation Theory to the Packaged Software Market , 2000, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[40]  Rajshree Agarwal,et al.  Knowledge sources of entrepreneurship: Firm formation by academic, user and employee innovators☆ , 2014 .

[41]  Sonali K. Shah,et al.  The Accidental Entrepreneur: The Emergent and Collective Process of User Entrepreneurship , 2007 .

[42]  Sonja Gensler,et al.  A Study of the Diffusion of Alternative Fuel Vehicles: An Agent‐Based Modeling Approach* , 2011 .

[43]  Michel Ballings,et al.  Identifying new product ideas : waiting for the wisdom of the crowd or screening ideas in real time , 2017 .

[44]  Eric Gilbert,et al.  The language that gets people to give: phrases that predict success on kickstarter , 2014, CSCW.

[45]  Tim Brown,et al.  Change by Design: How Design Thinking Transforms Organizations and Inspires Innovation , 2009 .

[46]  J. West,et al.  Managing Distributed Innovation: Strategic Utilization of Open and User Innovation , 2012 .

[47]  Rachel Cooper,et al.  Design Thinking and Design Management: A Research and Practice Perspective , 2009 .

[48]  E. Hippel Democratizing innovation: The evolving phenomenon of user innovation , 2009 .

[49]  So Young Sohn,et al.  Patent network based conjoint analysis for wearable device , 2015 .

[50]  Kai Lung Hui,et al.  Software Functionality: A Game Theoretic Analysis , 2002, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[51]  R. Amit,et al.  The Business Model: Recent Developments and Future Research , 2011 .

[52]  Brian Uzzi,et al.  A New Method for Identifying Recombinations of Existing Knowledge Associated with High‐Impact Innovation , 2016 .

[53]  Ethan Mollick The Dynamics of Crowdfunding: An Exploratory Study , 2014 .

[54]  Per Runeson,et al.  Open innovation in software engineering: a systematic mapping study , 2015, Empirical Software Engineering.

[55]  Feng Li The digital transformation of business models in the creative industries: A holistic framework and emerging trends , 2018, Technovation.

[56]  K. Scott Swan,et al.  Perspective: A Review of Marketing Research on Product Design with Directions for Future Research , 2016 .

[57]  B. Bayus,et al.  Crowdfunding Creative Ideas: The Dynamics of Project Backers in Kickstarter , 2015 .