Abduction aiming at empirical progress or eventruth approximationleading to a challenge for computational modelling

This paper primarily deals with theconceptual prospects for generalizing the aim ofabduction from the standard one of explainingsurprising or anomalous observations to that ofempirical progress or even truth approximation. Itturns out that the main abduction task then becomesthe instrumentalist task of theory revision aiming atan empirically more successful theory, relative to theavailable data, but not necessarily compatible withthem. The rest, that is, genuine empirical progress aswell as observational, referential and theoreticaltruth approximation, is a matter of evaluation andselection, and possibly new generation tasks forfurther improvement. The paper concludes with a surveyof possible points of departure, in AI and logic, forcomputational treatment of the instrumentalist taskguided by the `comparative evaluation matrix'.

[1]  I. Lakatos,et al.  Proofs and Refutations: Frontmatter , 1976 .

[2]  Sjoerd D. Zwart Approach to the truth: verisimilitude and truthlikeness , 1998 .

[3]  T. Kuipers From Instrumentalism to Constructive Realism: On Some Relations between Confirmation, Empirical Progress, and Truth Approximation , 2000 .

[4]  P. Thagard,et al.  Computational Philosophy of Science , 1988 .

[5]  T. Kuipers,et al.  The Dual Foundation of Qualitative Truth Approximation , 1997 .

[6]  P. Langley,et al.  Computational Models of Scientific Discovery and Theory Formation , 1990 .

[7]  Atocha Aliseda-Llera,et al.  Seeking explanations: abduction in logic, philosophy of science and artificial intelligence , 1998 .

[8]  Kurt Konolige,et al.  Abductive theories in artificial intelligence , 1997 .

[9]  Fiora Pirri,et al.  First order abduction via tableau and sequent calculi , 1993, Log. J. IGPL.

[10]  J. McAllister Beauty and Revolution in Science , 1996 .

[11]  Ken Gemes,et al.  A new theory of content I: Basic content , 1994, J. Philos. Log..

[12]  L. Darden Theory Change in Science: Strategies from Mendelian Genetics , 1991 .

[13]  I. Lakatos PROOFS AND REFUTATIONS (I)*† , 1963, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.

[14]  Imre Lakatos,et al.  On the Uses of Rigorous Proof. (Book Reviews: Proofs and Refutations. The Logic of Mathematical Discovery) , 1977 .

[15]  Theo A.F. Kuipers,et al.  Design research programs and the logic of their development , 1992 .

[16]  Alexander P. M. van den Bosch Inference to the Best Manipulation - a case study of qualitative reasoning in neuropharmacy. Special Issue on Scientific Discovery and Creativity: Case Studies and Computational Approaches. Guest Editors: J. Meheus and T. Nickles , 1999 .

[17]  Kenneth D. Forbus Qualitative Process Theory , 1984, Artif. Intell..