Observation-Based WindPower Ramp Forecast System

Over the last several years wind-energy production has increased world-wide. Wind-energy is now becoming a viable and integral part of the new energy economy. As wind energy becomes increasingly more prevalent, having accurate wind-power forecasts becomes important in order to help energy operators make better grid integration and economic decisions. Since a majority of energy trading is done 24 hours in advance, most of the wind-power forecasts that are utilized by operators today are aimed at reducing the uncertainty in wind-power production 24-48 hours in advance. Although this is an important component, these forecasts do not address short-term issues such as sudden windpower ramps.