Urban, agricultural and touristic land use patterns: combining spatial econometrics and ABM/LUCC

This work deals with computer simulation of complex spatiotemporal systems based on Agent-Based Models of Land Use Cover Change (ABM/LUCC). We propose an ABM/LUCC for modelling the complex system of tourist areas facing an intense residential development. In this paper, we present a model suited to the geographical context of the Corsica, which is sufficiently flexible to be adapted to others similar contexts to simulate and evaluate territorial planning policies. The model describes a collection of tourist areas that have faced -and still face- an intense residential development leading to a huge pressure on land prices as well as to land-use conflicts (local residential market, tourist rental investment, agricultural production). The objective is to realize simulations of new management practices, able to combine economic development and land competition in a strongly constrained environment. By means of computer models, we intend to represent the behavior of heterogeneous economic agents in both time and space. Existing spatial territory management models are mostly analytically intractable. Agent-based modeling formalisms offer practicable solving techniques. In particular, they allow to compute ABM/LUCC models dealing with heterogeneous behavior shaped by many interacting components. In this work we present the main assumptions and the structure of the ABM/LUCC model and his expression as a conceptual model that is an essential prerequisite for further development in this field.

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