Recognition and fitting of Chinese shipbuilding enterprise's life cycle stage

An effective recognition of the Chinese shipbuilding enterprise's life cycle stage is of great significance to promoting the growth and development of the shipbuilding enterprises.Based on the enterprises life cycle theory,the parameter estimation method of Compertz model and the standard for recognizing the enterprise life cycle stage were constructed,and the confirming method of life cycle stages dividing points were provided as well.Ten shipbuilding enterprises were chosen as empirical research objects afterwards,and next,the life circle stage of shipbuilding enterprises was recognized based on the distinguished Compertz model.On the basis of stage recognizing results,the life cycle stages curves of seven shipbuilding enterprises in growth stage from 2000 to 2050 were fitted.Furthermore,dividing points of each enterprise's life cycle stages were confirmed.The research results suggested that the time entering into growth stage for the seven shipbuilding enterprises was very different,whereas the common denominator was that the growth stage these enterprises experienced was long,while the mature stage was short.The results were consistent with the enterprise development period in the advanced shipbuilding countries.