Latent Growth Modeling for Logistic Response Functions

Throughout much of the social and behavioral sciences, latent growth modeling (latent curve analysis) has become an important tool for understanding individuals' longitudinal change. Although nonlinear variations of latent growth models appear in the methodological and applied literature, a notable exclusion is the treatment of growth following logistic (sigmoidal; S-shape) response functions. Such trajectories are assumed in a variety of psychological and educational settings where learning occurs over time, and yet applications using the logistic model in growth modeling methodology have been sparse. The logistic function, in particular, may not be utilized as often because software options remain limited. In this article we show how a specialized version of the logistic function can be modeled using conventional structural equation modeling software. The specialization is a reparameterization of the logistic function whose new parameters correspond to scientifically interesting characteristics of the growth process. In addition to providing an example using simulated data, we show how this nonlinear functional form can be fit using transformed subject-level data obtained through a learning task from an air traffic controller simulation experiment. LISREL syntax for the empirical example is provided.

[1]  Larry E. Toothaker,et al.  Multiple Regression: Testing and Interpreting Interactions , 1991 .

[2]  C. M. Louttit Mathematico-Deductive Theory of Rote Learning. , 1940 .

[3]  S. West,et al.  Multiple Regression: Testing and Interpreting Interactions. , 1994 .

[4]  Terry E. Duncan,et al.  An Introduction to Latent Variable Growth Curve Modeling: Concepts, Issues, and Application, Second Edition , 1999 .

[5]  L. S. Kogan Review of Principles of Behavior. , 1943 .

[6]  A. Agresti Categorical data analysis , 1993 .

[7]  Jacob Cohen,et al.  Applied multiple regression/correlation analysis for the behavioral sciences , 1979 .

[8]  Kristopher J Preacher,et al.  Latent Growth Curve Modeling , 2008 .

[9]  James L. Arbuckle,et al.  Full Information Estimation in the Presence of Incomplete Data , 1996 .

[10]  M. Browne Asymptotically distribution-free methods for the analysis of covariance structures. , 1984, The British journal of mathematical and statistical psychology.

[11]  P. Fayers Item Response Theory for Psychologists , 2004, Quality of Life Research.

[12]  Michael W. Browne,et al.  Structured latent curve models , 1993 .

[13]  M. Kaps,et al.  Components of growth in mice hemizygous for a MT/bGH transgene. , 1999, Journal of animal science.

[14]  Ledyard R Tucker,et al.  Determination of parameters of a functional relation by factor analysis , 1958 .

[15]  Michael W. Browne,et al.  Best methods for the analysis of change: Recent advances, unanswered questions, future directions. , 1991 .

[16]  William Meredith,et al.  Latent curve analysis , 1990 .

[17]  B. Skinner,et al.  Principles of Behavior , 1944 .

[18]  E. Vonesh,et al.  Mixed-effects nonlinear regression for unbalanced repeated measures. , 1992, Biometrics.

[19]  John H. Aldrich,et al.  Linear probability, logit and probit models , 1984 .

[20]  R. Jennrich,et al.  Unbalanced repeated-measures models with structured covariance matrices. , 1986, Biometrics.

[21]  Shelley A Blozis,et al.  Structured latent curve models for the study of change in multivariate repeated measures. , 2004, Psychological methods.

[22]  D. Rubin,et al.  Statistical Analysis with Missing Data. , 1989 .

[23]  Robert Cudeck,et al.  A Version of Quadratic Regression with Interpretable Parameters , 2002, Multivariate behavioral research.

[24]  Robert Cudeck,et al.  Conditionally Linear Mixed-Effects Models With Latent Variable Covariates , 1999 .

[25]  Erling B. Andersen,et al.  Sufficient statistics and latent trait models , 1977 .

[26]  Robert T. Ross,et al.  Mathematico-Deductive Theory of Rote Learning , 1941 .

[27]  Larry Wasserman,et al.  All of Statistics: A Concise Course in Statistical Inference , 2004 .

[28]  C. R. Rao,et al.  Some statistical methods for comparison of growth curves. , 1958 .

[29]  L. Skovgaard NONLINEAR MODELS FOR REPEATED MEASUREMENT DATA. , 1996 .

[30]  Daniel J Bauer,et al.  Testing main effects and interactions in latent curve analysis. , 2004, Psychological methods.

[31]  Rongling Wu,et al.  A logistic mixture model for characterizing genetic determinants causing differentiation in growth trajectories. , 2002, Genetical research.

[32]  Larry Wasserman,et al.  All of Statistics , 2004 .

[33]  M. Greenberg,et al.  Substance-use outcomes at 18 months past baseline: the PROSPER Community-University Partnership Trial. , 2007, American journal of preventive medicine.

[34]  Harley Bornbach,et al.  An introduction to mathematical learning theory , 1967 .

[35]  Jeffrey R. Harring,et al.  Fitting Partially Nonlinear Random Coefficient Models as SEMs , 2006, Multivariate behavioral research.

[36]  J. Mcardle Dynamic but Structural Equation Modeling of Repeated Measures Data , 1988 .

[37]  Linda M. Collins,et al.  Best Methods for the Analysis of Change: Recent Advances, Unanswered Questions, Future Directions , 1991 .

[38]  George E. Ferris,et al.  An Introduction to Mathematical Learning Theory , 1966 .

[39]  John B. Willett,et al.  Understanding correlates of change by modeling individual differences in growth , 1985 .

[40]  M. Appelbaum,et al.  Estimating Individual Developmental Functions: Methods and Their Assumptions , 1991 .

[41]  Sharon Kingsland,et al.  The Refractory Model: The Logistic Curve and the History of Population Ecology , 1982, The Quarterly Review of Biology.

[42]  Kenneth A. Bollen,et al.  Latent curve models: A structural equation perspective , 2005 .

[43]  Roderick J. A. Little,et al.  Statistical Analysis with Missing Data: Little/Statistical Analysis with Missing Data , 2002 .

[44]  P. Ackerman,et al.  Motivation and cognitive abilities: an integrative/aptitude-treatment interaction approach to skill acquisition , 1989 .