Theory of Adaptive Adjustment

Conventional adaptive expectation as a mechanism of stabilizing an unstable economic process is reexamined through a generalization to an adaptive adjustment framework. The generic structures of equilibria that can be stabilized through an adaptive adjustment mechanism are identified. The generalization can be applied to a broad class of discrete economic processes where the variables interested can be adjusted or controlled directly by economic agents such as in cobweb dynamics, Cournot games, Oligopoly markets, tatonnement price adjustment, tariff games, population control through immigration etc.

[1]  John Conlisk Adaptive tactics in games: Further solutions to the Crawford puzzle , 1993 .

[2]  Tönu Puu,et al.  The chaotic duopolists revisited , 1998 .

[3]  Richard H. Day,et al.  Complex economic dynamics , 1994 .

[4]  Cars H. Hommes,et al.  ADAPTIVE LEARNING AND ROADS TO CHAOS - THE CASE OF THE COBWEB , 1991 .

[5]  Adaptive stability with limited structural knowledge , 1992 .

[6]  Franklin M. Fisher,et al.  The Stability of the Cournot Oligopoly Solution: The Effects of Speeds of Adjustment and Increasing Marginal Costs , 1961 .

[7]  Ferenc Szidarovszky,et al.  A note on the stability of a Cournot–Nash equilibrium: the multiproduct case with adaptive expectations , 2000 .

[8]  Howard F. Naish The near optimality of adaptive expectations , 1993 .

[9]  Carl Chiarella,et al.  The cobweb model: Its instability and the onset of chaos , 1988 .

[10]  J. Muth Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements , 1961 .

[11]  Marc Nerlove,et al.  Adaptive Expectations and Cobweb Phenomena , 1958 .

[12]  T. Sargent,et al.  The Fate of Systems with "Adaptive" Expectations , 1988 .

[13]  Weihong Huang,et al.  Caution implies profit , 1995 .

[14]  S. Hall,et al.  E-equilibria and adaptive expectations: Output and inflation in the LBS model , 1997 .

[15]  Gernot Sieg,et al.  Complex dynamics in a cobweb model with adaptive production adjustment , 2000 .

[16]  R. D. Theocharis On the Stability of the Cournot Solution on the Oligopoly Problem , 1960 .

[17]  S. Rassenti,et al.  Adaptation and Convergence of Behavior in Repeated Experimental Cournot Games , 2000 .

[18]  F. Szidarovszky,et al.  The Theory of Oligopoly with Multi-Product Firms , 1990 .

[19]  T. Puu Nonlinear economic dynamics , 1989 .

[20]  Koji Okuguchi,et al.  Adaptive Expectations in an Oligopoly Model , 1970 .

[21]  Ronald A. Heiner,et al.  The origin of predictable dynamic behavior , 1989 .