Adjoint operator approach to functional reliability analysis of passive fluid dynamical systems

Reliability analysis of passive systems mainly involves quantification of the margin to safety limits in probabilistic terms. For systems represented by complex models, propagating input uncertainty to get the response uncertainty and hence probability information requires intensive computational effort. Here a computationally efficient method for the functional reliability analysis of passive fluid dynamical systems is presented. The approach is based on continuous adjoint operator technique to generate a response surface approximating the given system model from the sensitivity coefficients. A numerical application of this method to the reliability analysis of heat transport in an asymmetrical natural convection loop is demonstrated. Computational efficiency and accuracy compared with the direct Monte-Carlo and forward response surface methods.

[1]  Luciano Burgazzi,et al.  Thermal-hydraulic passive system reliability-based design approach , 2007, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[2]  Bruce R. Ellingwood,et al.  A new look at the response surface approach for reliability analysis , 1993 .

[3]  J. Beck,et al.  Estimation of Small Failure Probabilities in High Dimensions by Subset Simulation , 2001 .

[4]  T. Akai Applied numerical methods for engineers , 1994 .

[5]  Robert E. Melchers,et al.  Structural Reliability: Analysis and Prediction , 1987 .

[6]  Herbert Rief,et al.  Stochastic Perturbation Analysis Applied to Neutral Particle Transport , 2002 .

[7]  Dimos C. Charmpis,et al.  Application of line sampling simulation method to reliability benchmark problems , 2007 .

[8]  L. Burgazzi,et al.  RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT OF PASSIVE SAFETY SYSTEMS , 1998 .

[9]  A. John Arul,et al.  Functional reliability analysis of Safety Grade Decay Heat Removal System of Indian 500 MWe PFBR , 2008 .

[10]  Niles A. Pierce,et al.  An Introduction to the Adjoint Approach to Design , 2000 .

[11]  F. D'Auria,et al.  Methodology for the reliability evaluation of a passive system and its integration into a Probabilistic Safety Assessment , 2005 .

[12]  George E. Apostolakis,et al.  The Impact of Uncertainties on the Performance of Passive Systems , 2005 .

[13]  Niels C. Lind,et al.  Methods of structural safety , 2006 .

[14]  Ajit Srividya,et al.  Quantification of epistemic and aleatory uncertainties in level-1 probabilistic safety assessment studies , 2007, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[15]  Michael B. Giles,et al.  Analytic Adjoint Solutions for the Quasi-1D Euler Equations , 2000 .

[16]  E. M. Oblow Sensitivity theory for reactor thermal-hydraulics problems , 1978 .

[17]  Enrico Zio,et al.  Functional failure analysis of a thermal-hydraulic passive system by means of Line Sampling , 2009, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[18]  C. V. Parks,et al.  Application of differential sensitivity theory to a neutronic/thermal-hydraulic reactor safety code. [MELT code; LMFBR] , 1981 .

[19]  L. Burgazzi,et al.  EVALUATION OF THE RELIABILITY OF A PASSIVE SYSTEM , 2001 .

[20]  M. J. Rimlinger,et al.  Constrained Multipoint Aerodynamic Shape Optimization Using an Adjoint Formulation and Parallel Computers , 1997 .

[21]  Michael B. Giles,et al.  Analytic adjoint solutions for the quasi-one-dimensional Euler equations , 2001, Journal of Fluid Mechanics.

[22]  Yoram Zvirin,et al.  A review of natural circulation loops in pressurized water reactors and other systems , 1981 .

[23]  Enrico Zio,et al.  Estimation of the Functional Failure Probability of a Thermal Hydraulic Passive System by Subset Simulation , 2009 .

[24]  George E. Apostolakis,et al.  Risk-Informed Design Changes in a Passive Decay Heat Removal System , 2008 .

[25]  Luca Podofillini,et al.  First-order differential sensitivity analysis of a nuclear safety system by Monte Carlo simulation , 2005, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..