Poverty on the cheap: estimating poverty maps using aggregated mobile communication networks

Governments and other organisations often rely on data collected by household surveys and censuses to identify areas in most need of regeneration and development projects. However, due to the high cost associated with the data collection process, many developing countries conduct such surveys very infrequently and include only a rather small sample of the population, thus failing to accurately capture the current socio-economic status of the country's population. In this paper, we address this problem by means of a methodology that relies on an alternative source of data from which to derive up to date poverty indicators, at a very fine level of spatio-temporal granularity. Taking two developing countries as examples, we show how to analyse the aggregated call detail records of mobile phone subscribers and extract features that are strongly correlated with poverty indexes currently derived from census data.

[1]  Vanessa Frías-Martínez,et al.  On the relationship between socio-economic factors and cell phone usage , 2012, ICTD.

[2]  Mark A. Miller,et al.  Synchrony, Waves, and Spatial Hierarchies in the Spread of Influenza , 2006, Science.

[3]  Vanessa Frías-Martínez,et al.  On the relation between socio-economic status and physical mobility , 2012, Inf. Technol. Dev..

[4]  Daniele Quercia,et al.  Talk of the City: Our Tweets, Our Community Happiness , 2012, ICWSM.

[5]  J. Sachs,et al.  Sources of Slow Growth in African Economies , 1997 .

[6]  Adam D. I. Kramer An unobtrusive behavioral model of "gross national happiness" , 2010, CHI.

[7]  Marta C. González,et al.  A universal model for mobility and migration patterns , 2011, Nature.

[8]  Nathan Eagle,et al.  Mobile divides: gender, socioeconomic status, and mobile phone use in Rwanda , 2010, ICTD.

[9]  F. Calabrese,et al.  Urban gravity: a model for inter-city telecommunication flows , 2009, 0905.0692.

[10]  A. Vespignani,et al.  The architecture of complex weighted networks. , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[11]  C. Elvidge,et al.  Mapping City Lights With Nighttime Data from the DMSP Operational Linescan System , 1997 .

[12]  Daniele Quercia,et al.  Tracking "gross community happiness" from tweets , 2012, CSCW.

[13]  Víctor Soto,et al.  Prediction of socioeconomic levels using cell phone records , 2011, UMAP'11.

[14]  J. Aker,et al.  Mobile Phones and Economic Development in Africa , 2010 .

[15]  N. Eagle,et al.  Network Diversity and Economic Development , 2010, Science.

[16]  G. Zipf The P 1 P 2 D Hypothesis: On the Intercity Movement of Persons , 1946 .

[17]  A. Tatem,et al.  Using remotely sensed night-time light as a proxy for poverty in Africa , 2008, Population health metrics.

[18]  M. Batty,et al.  Gravity versus radiation models: on the importance of scale and heterogeneity in commuting flows. , 2012, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[19]  D. Roberts,et al.  Census from Heaven: An estimate of the global human population using night-time satellite imagery , 2001 .

[20]  Joseph Janes,et al.  Finger on the Pulse: Librarians Describe Evolving Reference Practice in an Increasingly Digital World. , 2002 .

[21]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[22]  Daniele Quercia,et al.  Finger on the pulse: identifying deprivation using transit flow analysis , 2013, CSCW.

[23]  Víctor Soto,et al.  Automated land use identification using cell-phone records , 2011, HotPlanet '11.

[24]  Jose L. Marzo,et al.  User Modeling, Adaption and Personalization - 19th International Conference, UMAP 2011, Girona, Spain, July 11-15, 2011. Proceedings , 2011, UMAP.

[25]  Geir Wenberg Jacobsen,et al.  A finger on the pulse. , 2016, Tidsskrift for den Norske laegeforening : tidsskrift for praktisk medicin, ny raekke.

[26]  Cameron Marlow,et al.  Social network activity and social well-being , 2010, CHI.

[27]  C. Murray,et al.  From wealth to health: modelling the distribution of income per capita at the sub-national level using night-time light imagery , 2005, International journal of health geographics.

[28]  J. Virseda,et al.  Computing Cost-Effective Census Maps From Cell Phone Traces , 2012 .

[29]  Abhinav Parate,et al.  A framework for safely publishing communication traces , 2009, CIKM.

[30]  Michael T. Gastner,et al.  The complex network of global cargo ship movements , 2010, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.

[31]  H. Stanley,et al.  Gravity model in the Korean highway , 2007, 0710.1274.

[32]  Etienne Huens,et al.  Data for Development: the D4D Challenge on Mobile Phone Data , 2012, ArXiv.

[33]  Man Lung Yiu,et al.  Group-by skyline query processing in relational engines , 2009, CIKM.

[34]  Wen-Xu Wang,et al.  Universal predictability of mobility patterns in cities , 2013, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.