Inevitable Illusions: How Mistakes of Reason Rule Our Minds

Cognitive Illusions. Our Spontaneous Intuitions: Angels or Demons?. A Brief Speleology of the Mind: An Easy Tunnel. Probability Illusions. Calculating the Unknown, or Bayes' Law. The Fallacy of Near Certainty. The Seven Deadly Sins. How to Emerge from the Tunnel of Pessimism. The Principle of Identity and the Psychology of Typicality. A (Rationally) Optimistic Conclusion. A Super-Tunnel. Appendices. Tunnel Exits. Sources. Suggested Reading. Index.