Price competition during and after promotions

We provide a framework for setting regular prices and using promotional discounts in a duopoly where long-term promotional effects are present and the firms' pricing and promotional strategies are common knowledge (e.g., as in online markets). We show that at equilibrium, the two firms may not promote and instead adopt an Everyday Low Price (EDLP) strategy. Consumers' tendency to stockpile promoted products, the level of brand loyalty and product differentiation, and the possibility of a postpromotional sales increase critically influence regular prices, price discount rates, and profits. Under some conditions consumer stockpiling intensifies promotional competition and reduces firms' profits while the possibility of attracting new consumers reduces the need to heavily promote and ensures better profits. Managerial implications are discussed. Copyright © 2007 ASAC. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Dans cet article, nous proposons un cadre de fixation des prix reguliers et des rabais promotionnels dans un duopole ou les promotions ont des effets a long terme et ou les strategies des deux firmes sont accessibles et connues (par exemple dans les marches en ligne). Nous montrons qu'a l'equilibre, les deux firmes peuvent ne pas promouvoir et adopter la strategie de bas prix tous les jours (EDLP). Les phenomenes de differentiation et de loyaute aux marques, de surstockage des produits en promotion et d'acquisition de nouveaux consommateurs influencent les prix reguliers, les rabais et les profits. Dans certaines conditions, le surstockage intensifie la concurrence et reduit les profits, tandis que la possibilite d'attirer de nouveaux consommateurs diminue les rabais promotionnels et ameliore les profits. Nous cloturons notre etude en analysant ses implications pour la gestion. Copyright © 2007 ASAC. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

[1]  Praveen Aggarwal,et al.  Use it or lose it: purchase acceleration effects of time‐limited promotions , 2003 .

[2]  Joseph E. Stiglitz,et al.  The Theory of Sales: A Simple Model of Equilibrium Price Dispersion with Identical Agents , 1982 .

[3]  R. Rao Pricing and Promotions in Asymmetric Duopolies , 1991 .

[4]  Praveen K. Kopalle,et al.  Predicting Competitive Response to a Major Policy Change: Combining Game-Theoretic and Empirical Analyses , 2005 .

[5]  Amit Sharma,et al.  Communicating Price Information through Semantic Cues: The Moderating Effects of Situation and Discount Size , 1996 .

[6]  C. Narasimhan Competitive Promotional Strategies , 1988 .

[7]  Lee G. Cooper,et al.  The Discounting of Discounts and Promotion Thresholds , 1992 .

[8]  Kusum L. Ailawadi The retail power-performance conundrum , 2001 .

[9]  Dominique M. Hanssens,et al.  The Category-Demand Effects of Price Promotions , 2000 .

[10]  John D. C. Little,et al.  A Logit Model of Brand Choice Calibrated on Scanner Data , 2011, Mark. Sci..

[11]  R. Marshall,et al.  Price threshold and discount saturation point in Singapore , 2002 .

[12]  H. Varian A Model of Sales , 1980 .

[13]  Carl F. Mela,et al.  The Dynamic Effect of Discounting on Sales: Empirical Analysis and Normative Pricing Implications , 1999 .

[14]  Scott A. Neslin,et al.  Sales Promotion Models , 2008 .

[15]  S. Siddarth,et al.  Determining Segmentation in Sales Response across Consumer Purchase Behaviors , 1998 .

[16]  Sridhar Moorthy,et al.  A Model Of Price Promotions With Consumer Search , 1999 .

[17]  L. Krishnamurthi,et al.  Measuring the Dynamic Effects of Promotions on Brand Choice , 1996 .

[18]  Noreen M. Klein,et al.  An Investigation of Utility-Directed Cutoff Selection , 1987 .

[19]  Scott A. Neslin,et al.  An Alternative Explanation for Lower Repeat Rates after Promotion Purchases , 1989 .

[20]  Carl F. Mela,et al.  Managing Advertising and Promotion for Long-Run Profitability , 1999 .

[21]  Eric T. Anderson,et al.  Long-Run Effects of Promotion Depth on New Versus Established Customers: Three Field Studies , 2004 .

[22]  Ganesh Iyer,et al.  Price Competition under Stockpiling and Flexible Consumption , 2002 .

[23]  Carl F. Mela,et al.  The Effect of Discount Frequency and Depth on Consumer Price Judgments , 1999 .

[24]  R. Drozdenko,et al.  Risk and maximum acceptable discount levels , 2005 .

[25]  Zoonky Lee,et al.  A Longitudinal Price Comparison For Music CD's In Electronic and Brick-and-Mortar Markets: Pricing Strategies In Emergent Electronic Commerce , 2002, Journal of Business Strategies.

[26]  S. Neslin,et al.  Promotional Elasticities and Category Characteristics , 1996 .

[27]  Dominique M. Hanssens,et al.  Competitive Reactions to Advertising and Promotion Attacks , 2005 .

[28]  Richard H. Thaler,et al.  Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice , 1985, Mark. Sci..

[29]  V. Padmanabhan,et al.  The Decomposition of Promotional Response: An Empirical Generalization , 1999 .

[30]  K. Sridhar Moorthy,et al.  Chapter 4 Competitive marketing strategies: Game-theoretic models , 1993, Marketing.

[31]  Dominique M. Hanssens,et al.  The Long-Term Effects of Price Promotions on Category Incidence, Brand Choice, and Purchase Quantity , 2002 .

[32]  R. Guerreiro,et al.  Cost implications of bonus pack promotions versus price discounts , 2004 .

[33]  Dick R. Wittink,et al.  Decomposing the Sales Promotion Bump with Store Data , 2004 .

[34]  Sunil Gupta,et al.  Commercial Use of UPC Scanner Data: Industry and Academic Perspectives , 1999 .

[35]  Leigh McAlister,et al.  Promotion Has a Negative Effect on Brand Evaluations—Or Does It? Additional Disconfirming Evidence , 1992 .

[36]  K. Moorthy Using Game Theory to Model Competition , 1985 .