Modelling the economic and health consequences of cardiac resynchronization therapy in the UK

ABSTRACT Objective: Clinical evidence supports the use of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) in advanced heart failure, but its cost-effectiveness is still unclear. This analysis assessed the economic and health consequences in the UK of implanting a CRT in patients with NYHA class III-IV heart failure. Methods: A discrete event simulation of heart failure was used to compare the course over 5 years of 1000 identical pairs of patients – one receiving both CRT and optimum pharmacologic treatment (OPT), the other OPT alone. All inputs were obtained from the data collected in the CArdiac REsynchronization in Heart Failure (CARE-HF) trial and a hospital in the UK. Direct medical costs (in 2004 £) from the perspective of the National Health Service were considered. Both costs and benefits were discounted at 3.5%. Sensitivity analyses addressed all model inputs and multivariate analyses were performed by varying key parameters simultaneously. Results: The model predicted 471 deaths and 2263 hospitalizations over 5 years with OPT alone and 348 deaths and 1764 hospitalizations with CRT, equivalent to a 26% reduction in mortality and 22% in hospitalizations, at a discounted cost of £11 423 per patient with CRT vs. £4900 with OPT alone. CRT was predicted to increase quality-adjusted survival by 0.43 QALYs per patient, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £15 247 per QALY gained (range: £12 531–£23 184). Sensitivity analyses revealed that this outcome was most sensitive to time horizon and cost of implantation. Conclusion: Based on these 5‐year analyses, CRT is expected to yield substantial health benefits at a reasonable cost.