Temporal Association between Federal Gun Laws and the Diversion of Guns to Criminals in Milwaukee

The practices of licensed gun dealers can threaten the safety of urban residents by facilitating the diversion of guns to criminals. In 2003, changes to federal law shielded gun dealers from the release of gun trace data and provided other protections to gun dealers. The 14-month period during which the dealer did not sell junk guns was associated with a 68% reduction in the diversion of guns to criminals within a year of sale by the dealer and a 43% increase in guns diverted to criminals following sales by other dealers. The laws were associated with a 203% increase in the number of guns diverted to criminals within a year of sale by the gun store, which was the focus of this study. Policies which affect gun dealer accountability appeared to influence the diversion of guns to criminals.

[1]  G. Box,et al.  On a measure of lack of fit in time series models , 1978 .

[2]  G. Kleck,et al.  The Myth of Big-Time Gun Trafficking and the Overinterpretation of Gun Tracing Data , 2009 .

[3]  Modena E. H. Wilson,et al.  How delinquent youths acquire guns: Initial versus most recent gun acquisitions , 2002, Journal of Urban Health.

[4]  D. Webster,et al.  Factors Affecting a Recently Purchased Handgun’s Risk for Use in Crime under Circumstances That Suggest Gun Trafficking , 2010, Journal of Urban Health.

[5]  David M. Kennedy,et al.  The illicit acquisition of firearms by youth and juveniles , 2001 .

[6]  L. Rutkow,et al.  Availability of litigation as a public health tool for firearm injury prevention: comparison of guns, vaccines, and motor vehicles. , 2007, American journal of public health.

[7]  D. Webster,et al.  Effects of a Gun Dealer's Change in Sales Practices on the Supply of Guns to Criminals , 2006, Journal of Urban Health.

[8]  P. Young,et al.  Time series analysis, forecasting and control , 1972, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control.

[9]  D. Webster,et al.  Effects of State-Level Firearm Seller Accountability Policies on Firearm Trafficking , 2009, Journal of Urban Health.

[10]  George E. P. Box,et al.  Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control , 1977 .

[11]  G. Wintemute,et al.  Weapons of choice: previous criminal history, later criminal activity, and firearm preference among legally authorized young adult purchasers of handguns. , 1998, The Journal of trauma.

[12]  Jens Ludwig,et al.  Criminal records of homicide offenders. , 2005, JAMA.

[13]  G J Wintemute,et al.  Risk factors among handgun retailers for frequent and disproportionate sales of guns used in violent and firearm related crimes , 2005, Injury Prevention.

[14]  D W Webster,et al.  Effects of Maryland's law banning Saturday night special handguns on crime guns , 1999, Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention.

[15]  G. Wintemute Wintemute regulatory policies market : observational evidence of the effects of Gun shows across a multistate American gun , 2007 .

[16]  D W Webster,et al.  Effects of undercover police stings of gun dealers on the supply of new guns to criminals , 2006, Injury Prevention.

[17]  Anthony A. Braga,et al.  DISRUPTING ILLEGAL FIREARMS MARKETS IN BOSTON: THE EFFECTS OF OPERATION CEASEFIRE ON THE SUPPLY OF NEW HANDGUNS TO CRIMINALS* , 2005 .

[18]  Gwilym M. Jenkins,et al.  Time series analysis, forecasting and control , 1971 .