Jyotish: A novel framework for constructing predictive model of people movement from joint Wifi/Bluetooth trace

It is well known that people movement exhibits a high degree of repetition since people visit regular places and make regular contacts for their daily activities. This paper1 presents a novel framework named Jyotish2, which constructs a predictive model by exploiting the regular pattern of people movement found in real joint Wifi/Bluetooth trace. The constructed model is able to answer three fundamental questions: (1) where the person will stay, (2) how long she will stay at the location, and (3) who she will meet. In order to construct the predictive model, Jyotish includes an efficient clustering algorithm to exploit regularity of people movement and cluster Wifi access point information in Wifi trace into locations. Then, we construct a Naive Bayesian classifier to assign these locations to records in Bluetooth trace. Next, the Bluetooth trace with assigned locations is used to construct predictive model including location predictor, stay duration predictor, and contact predictor to provide answers for three questions above. Finally, we evaluate the constructed predictors over real Wifi/Bluetooth trace collected by 50 participants in University of Illinois campus from March to August 2010. Evaluation results show that Jyotish successfully constructs a predictive model, which provides a considerably high prediction accuracy of people movement.

[1]  Liam McNamara,et al.  Media sharing based on colocation prediction in urban transport , 2008, MobiCom '08.

[2]  Pan Hui,et al.  Pocket switched networks and human mobility in conference environments , 2005, WDTN '05.

[3]  Anders Lindgren,et al.  Opportunistic content distribution in an urban setting , 2006, CHANTS '06.

[4]  Elena Pagani,et al.  Opportunistic forwarding in workplaces , 2009, WOSN '09.

[5]  Daniela Rus,et al.  Static and dynamic information organization with star clusters , 1998, CIKM '98.

[6]  Murat Ali Bayir,et al.  Mobility profiler: A framework for discovering mobility profiles of cell phone users , 2010, Pervasive Mob. Comput..

[7]  John Krumm,et al.  The NearMe Wireless Proximity Server , 2004, UbiComp.

[8]  Andrey V. Savkin,et al.  Mobility modelling and trajectory prediction for cellular networks with mobile base stations , 2003, MobiHoc '03.

[9]  Klara Nahrstedt,et al.  Exploiting JointWifi/Bluetooth Trace to Predict People Movement , 2010 .

[10]  Indranil Gupta,et al.  Joint bluetooth/wifi scanning framework for characterizing and leveraging people movement in university campus , 2010, MSWIM '10.

[11]  Pan Hui,et al.  Impact of Human Mobility on the Design of Opportunistic Forwarding Algorithms , 2006, Proceedings IEEE INFOCOM 2006. 25TH IEEE International Conference on Computer Communications.

[12]  Guohong Cao,et al.  Fine-grained mobility characterization: steady and transient state behaviors , 2010, MobiHoc '10.

[13]  KotzDavid,et al.  Evaluating location predictors with extensive Wi-Fi mobility data , 2003 .

[14]  Jennifer C. Hou,et al.  Modeling steady-state and transient behaviors of user mobility: formulation, analysis, and application , 2006, MobiHoc '06.

[15]  Douglas M. Blough,et al.  Mobility prediction using future knowledge , 2007, MSWiM '07.

[16]  Sunny Consolvo,et al.  Self-Mapping in 802.11 Location Systems , 2005, UbiComp.

[17]  Gerald Q. Maguire,et al.  A class of mobile motion prediction algorithms for wireless mobile computing and communications , 1996, Mob. Networks Appl..

[18]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Understanding individual human mobility patterns , 2008, Nature.

[19]  Ravi Jain,et al.  Evaluating location predictors with extensive Wi-Fi mobility data , 2004, INFOCOM.