Causal and Non-causal Relationships and Dynamic Model Construction in a Managerial Advisory System

Abstract:Recent successes in the design and implementation of expert systems in non-managerial problem domains has spurred interest in the proposition that expert systems may be viable in managerial problem domains as well. Continuing research in the design, implementation, and testing of a prototype managerial expert system is described in this paper. Issues regarding managerial knowledge organization, acquisition, representation, and utilization are discussed, and progress in the development of an advisory module is presented. Finally, results of evaluating the prototype versus the abilities of human subjects are also presented.