A fuzzy compromise approach to water resource systems planning under uncertainty

Abstract A fuzzy compromise approach to decision analysis is described within the context of water resource systems planning under uncertainty. The approach allows various sources of uncertainty and is intended to provide a flexible form of group decision support. The example compares the ELECTRE method with the fuzzy compromise approach. The comparison is intended to demonstrate the benefits of adopting a multicriteria decision analysis technique which presents subjectivity within its proper context while maintaining an intuitive and transparent technique for ranking alternatives. The fuzzy compromise approach allows a family of possible conditions to be reviewed, and supports group decisions through fuzzy sets designed to reflect collective opinions and conflicting judgements. Ranking of alternatives is accomplished with fuzzy ranking measures designed to illustrate the effect of risk tolerance differences among decision makers. Two distinct ranking measures are used – a centroid measure, and a fuzzy comparison measure based on a fuzzy goal.

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