Flat Tax Reforms: Investment Expensing and Progressivity

In this article we quantify the aggregate, distributional and welfare consequences of investment expensing and progressivity in flat-tax reforms of the United States economy. We find that investment expensing as in the Hall and Rabushka type of reform brings about sizable output gains and a non-trivial increase in after-tax income inequality. But we also find that it results in large aggregate welfare gains in steady-state. Two additional flat-tax reforms with full investment expensing and varying degrees of progressivity reveal that the distributional role of the tax-exemption in the labor income tax is limited. But we also find that the progressivity of the reforms matters for welfare: economies with more progressive consumption-based flat-taxes are good for the very poor and are ultimately preferred by a Benthamite social planner because they allow households to do more consumption and leisure smoothing. Our findings suggest that moving towards a progressive consumption-based flat tax scheme could achieve the goals of raising government income, stimulating the economy and providing a safety net for the households that have been hit the hardest by the recession

[1]  Gerard Llobet,et al.  Entrepreneurial Innovation, Patent Protection, and Industry Dynamics , 2010 .

[2]  J. Heathcote,et al.  The Macroeconomic Implications of Rising Wage Inequality in the U. S , 2003 .

[3]  G. Ventura,et al.  Taxation, Aggregates and the Household , 2008 .

[4]  P. Samuelson Optimum Social Security in a Life-Cycle Growth Model , 1975 .

[5]  S. Zeldes,et al.  The Importance of Precautionary Motives in Explaining Individual and Aggregate Saving , 1993 .

[6]  Ildefonso Méndez,et al.  Promoting permanent employment: lessons from Spain , 2013 .

[7]  Gerard Llobet,et al.  Walking Wounded or Living Dead? Making Banks Foreclose Bad Loans , 2010 .

[8]  M. Gertler,et al.  Government Debt and Social Security in a Life-Cycle Economy , 1997 .

[9]  Roberto Serrano,et al.  On Watson's Non-Forcing Contracts and Renegotiation , 2004 .

[10]  R. Jagannathan,et al.  Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk and Aggregate Saving , 1994 .

[11]  Javier Suarez,et al.  The Macroeconomics of Money Market Freezes , 2009 .

[12]  J. Scheinkman,et al.  Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Research Department Staff Report 314 Wealth Inequality and Intergenerational Links , 2022 .

[13]  Gabriele Fiorentini,et al.  Dynamic Specification Tests for Static Factor Models , 2009 .

[14]  H. Aaron,et al.  REASSESSING THE ROLE FOR WEALTH TRANSFER TAXES , 1992, National Tax Journal.

[15]  S. Aiyagari Optimal Capital Income Taxation with Incomplete Markets, Borrowing Constraints, and Constant Discounting , 1995, Journal of Political Economy.

[16]  Kent A. Smetters,et al.  Simulating Fundamental Tax Reform in the United States By , 2001 .

[17]  Christophe Chamley,et al.  OPTIMAL TAXATION OF CAPITAL INCOME IN GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM WITH INFINITE LIVES , 1986 .

[18]  Jose V Rios-Rul,et al.  Updated Facts on the U.S. Distributions of Earnings, Income and Wealth , 2002 .

[19]  Max Bruche,et al.  Bankruptcy Codes, Liquidation Timing, and Debt Valuation , 2009 .

[20]  Josep Pijoan-Mas,et al.  Small Scale Reservation Laws and the Misallocation of Talent , 2011 .

[21]  R. Hall,et al.  The Flat Tax , 1985 .

[22]  Stéphane Bonhomme,et al.  Stéphane Bonhomme Ulrich Sauder Accounting for unobservables in comparing selective and comprehensive schooling , 2009 .

[23]  G. Ventura Flat Tax Reform: A Quantitative Exploration , 1999 .

[24]  E. Prescott,et al.  Stochastic Monotonicity and Stationary Distributions for Dynamic Economies , 1992 .

[25]  Roberto Serrano,et al.  Multiplicity of Mixed Equilibria in Mechanisms: A Unified Approach to Exact and Approximate Implementation , 2009 .

[26]  Stéphane Bonhomme,et al.  Identifying distributional characteristics in random coefficients panel data models , 2009 .

[27]  Albert Marcet,et al.  Incomplete Markets, Labor Supply and Capital Accumulation , 2002 .

[28]  Javier Suarez,et al.  The Spanish Crisis: Background and Policy Challenges , 2010 .

[29]  J. Heathcote,et al.  On the Distributional Effects of Reducing Capital Taxes , 2003 .

[30]  R. Hubbard,et al.  Distributional Implications of Introducing a Broad-Based Consumption Tax , 1996, Tax Policy and the Economy.

[31]  David J. Zimmerman,et al.  Regression Toward Mediocrity in Economic Stature , 1992 .

[32]  R. Strauss,et al.  Effective Federal Individual Tax Functions: An Exploratory Empirical Analysis , 1994 .

[33]  Kenneth L. Judd,et al.  Redistributive Taxation in a Simple Perfect Foresight Model , 1985 .

[34]  R. Strauss,et al.  EFFECTIVE FEDERAL INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAX FUNCTIONS: AN EXPLORATORY EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS , 1994, National Tax Journal.

[35]  Enrique Sentana,et al.  Multivariate Location-Scale Mixtures of Normals and Mean-Variance-Skewness Portfolio Allocation , 2009 .

[36]  F. Stafford,et al.  The Allocation of Time: Empirical Findings, Behavioral Models, and Problems of Measurement , 1991 .

[37]  Enrique Moral-Benito,et al.  Panel growth regressions with general predetermined variables: Likelihood-based estimation and bayesian averaging , 2010 .

[38]  R. Hubbard How Different Are Income and Consumption Taxes , 1997 .

[39]  Ildefonso Méndez,et al.  Intergenerational Time Transfers and Internal Migration: Accounting for Low Spatial Mobility in Southern Europe , 2008 .

[40]  Ildefonso Méndez,et al.  The Role of Partnership Status and Expectations on the Emancipation Behaviour of Spanish Graduates , 2008 .

[41]  Javier Suarez,et al.  The Procyclical Effects of Basel II , 2008 .

[42]  J. Mirrlees An Exploration in the Theory of Optimum Income Taxation an Exploration in the Theory of Optimum Income Taxation L Y 2 , 2022 .

[43]  Gary Solon,et al.  Intergenerational Income Mobility in the United States , 1992 .

[44]  Edward C. Prescott,et al.  Economic Growth and Business Cycles , 2020, Frontiers of Business Cycle Research.

[45]  R. Blundell,et al.  Labor Supply: A Review of Alternative Approaches , 1998 .

[46]  Mark Huggett,et al.  The risk-free rate in heterogeneous-agent incomplete-insurance economies , 1993 .

[47]  Josep Pijoan-Mas,et al.  Precautionary Savings or Working Longer Hours? , 2005 .

[48]  José-Víctor Ríos-Rull,et al.  Exploring the income distribution business cycle dynamics , 1998 .

[49]  Roland Pongou,et al.  A Dynamic Theory of Fidelity Networks with an Application to the Spread of HIV / AIDS , 2009 .

[50]  J. Llull,et al.  The Impact of Immigration on Productivity , 2008 .

[51]  José-Víctor Ríos-Rull,et al.  New Facts on the Distributions of Earnings, Income and Wealth in the U.S , 2001 .