Market behavior and policy in the recycled paper industry: A critical survey of price elasticity research

The objectives of this paper are to: (a) provide a critical survey of existing econometric analyses of supply and demand elasticities in recycled paper markets and (b) discuss a number of implications of the results from this work. Specifically, the survey adds to our understanding of the functioning of recycled paper markets, points towards some important policy lessons, and identifies gaps in the economic literature on recycled paper market behavior. The analysis builds on the scope, methodology and data used by 21 previous studies, which all estimate the own-price elasticities of recycled paper demand and/or supply. One key finding is that the own-price elasticity of recycled paper supply is positive but low (around 0.20–0.30). This helps explain the often high price volatility in recycled paper markets, and carries important implications for the impacts of, and the choice between, price- and quantity-based waste management policies. Finally, the analysis also suggests that future research should devote increased attention to different non-environmental market imperfections (e.g., market power, information asymmetries) that could discourage the uptake of recycled materials in the market place. A stronger research focus on recycled paper use in developing countries, not the least China, is also needed.

[1]  M. Slade Recent advances in econometric estimation of materials substitution , 1981 .

[2]  C. Barr,et al.  China's Pulp and Paper Sector: An Analysis of Supply-Demand and Medium Term Projections1 , 2004 .

[3]  Deborah Vaughn Nestor,et al.  Partial static equilibrium model of newsprint recycling , 1992 .

[4]  John A. Edgren,et al.  An econometric analysis of paper and wastepaper markets , 1990 .

[5]  Changyou Sun,et al.  Assessing Time-Varying Oligopoly and Oligopsony Power in the U.S. Paper Industry , 2008, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

[6]  S. Kant,et al.  Measuring the competitiveness of Canadian pulp and paper in the US market reveals needs for more research , 2008 .

[7]  Robert Lundmark,et al.  Choice of location for investments in the European paper industry: the impact of wastepaper , 2001 .

[8]  Vanessa Oltra,et al.  Extended producer responsability instruments and innovation in eco-design: an exploration through a simulation model , 2012 .

[9]  Patrik Söderholm,et al.  The economics of secondary aluminium supply: An econometric analysis based on European data , 2009 .

[10]  Patrik Söderholm,et al.  Resolving failures in recycling markets: the role of technological innovation , 2012 .

[11]  Pratima Bajpai Paper and Paperboard Industry , 2016 .

[12]  Deborah Vaughn Nestor Issues in the design of recycling policy: the case of old newspapers , 1994 .

[13]  Mixed signals: market incentives, recycling, and the price spike of 1995 , 2002 .

[14]  Jane Probert,et al.  Developing markets for recyclate : perspectives from south Wales , 2001 .

[15]  Ernst R. Berndt,et al.  The Practice of Econometrics: Classic and Contemporary. , 1992 .

[16]  J. Michael Recycling, International Trade, and the Distribution of Pollution: The Effect of Increased U.S. Paper Recycling on U.S. Import Demand for Canadian Paper , 1998, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

[17]  Factor demand flexibility in the primary aluminium industry : Evidence from stagnating and expanding regions , 2011 .

[18]  I. Bailey,et al.  Regulatory Failure via Market Evolution: The Case of UK Packaging Recycling , 2003 .

[19]  Lyndhurst Collins Corporate restructuring of the pulp and paper industry in the European Community , 1992 .

[20]  Ernst Worrell,et al.  Paper and biomass for energy?: The impact of paper recycling on energy and CO2 emissions , 2010 .

[21]  R. Edwards Price expectations and the supply of wastepaper , 1979 .

[22]  Input Substitution in the Indian Paper Industry: a Variable Cost Function Approach , 1996 .

[23]  Aref Hervani Can oligopsony power be measured? The case of U.S. old newspapers market , 2005 .

[24]  G. Finnveden,et al.  Developing and Evaluating New Policy Instruments for Sustainable Waste management , 2012 .

[25]  H. Wenzel,et al.  Paper waste - recycling, incineration or landfilling? A review of existing life cycle assessments. , 2007, Waste management.

[26]  Patrik Söderholm,et al.  An Econometric Analysis of Global Waste Paper Recovery and Utilization , 2003 .

[27]  Roberto Zavatta The Pulp and Paper Industry , 1993 .

[28]  P. McCarthy,et al.  Production and cost in the US paper and paperboard industry† , 2011 .

[29]  Forest sector modeling: a synthesis of econometrics, mathematical programming, and system dynamics methods , 1996 .

[30]  Margaret Walls,et al.  Upstream Pollution, Downstream Waste Disposal, and the Design of Comprehensive Environmental Policies , 2001 .

[31]  Anne Toppinen,et al.  Forest sector modelling in Europe—the state of the art and future research directions , 2010 .

[32]  Hiroaki Ino Optimal Environmental Policy for Waste Disposal and Recycling When Firms Are Not Compliant , 2011 .

[33]  R. Anderson,et al.  Tax policy and secondary material use , 1977 .

[34]  B. Baltagi,et al.  Econometric Analysis of Panel Data , 2020, Springer Texts in Business and Economics.

[35]  K. Puumalainen,et al.  The role of national culture and environmental awareness in recovery and utilization of recycled paper. , 2010 .

[36]  M. Lee,et al.  Substitution Possibility between Unpriced Pulp and Wastepaper in the U.S. Paper and Paperboard Industry , 2001 .

[37]  K. Lahiri,et al.  Testing the rational expectations hypothesis in a secondary materials market , 1984 .

[38]  M. Weitzman Prices vs. Quantities , 1974 .

[39]  Ingo Walter,et al.  Secondary materials and international trade , 1978 .

[40]  Kajal Lahiri,et al.  An econometric model of wastepaper recycling in the USA , 1980 .

[41]  Margaret Walls,et al.  Extended Product Responsibility: An Economic Assessment of Alternative Policies , 1999 .

[42]  Robert N. Stavins,et al.  Second-best theory and the use of multiple policy instruments , 2007 .

[43]  R. Anderson Public Policies Toward the Use of Scrap Materials , 1977 .

[44]  Norimichi Matsueda,et al.  An Economic Analysis of the Packaging Waste Recovery Note System in the UK , 2012 .

[45]  J. M. Griffin Inter-fuel Substitution Possibilities: A Translog Application to Intercountry Data , 1977 .

[46]  J. Buongiorno,et al.  Econometric Model of Price Formation in the United States Paper and Paperboard Industry , 2007 .

[47]  D. Fullerton,et al.  Policies for Green Design , 1996 .

[48]  Frank Ackerman,et al.  Why Do We Recycle?: Markets, Values, and Public Policy , 1996 .

[49]  P. V. Beukering,et al.  Empirical Evidence on Recycling and Trade of Paper and Lead in Developed and Developing Countries , 2001 .

[50]  Patrik Söderholm,et al.  Structural changes in Swedish wastepaper demand: a variable cost function approach , 2003 .

[51]  Eva Samakovlis,et al.  The Relationship between Waste Paper and Other Inputs in the Swedish Paper Industry , 2003 .

[52]  Ron Edwards,et al.  The effect of prices on the recycling of waste materials , 1978 .

[53]  R. Pindyck Interfuel Substitution and the Industrial Demand for Energy: An International Comparison , 1979 .

[54]  F. Fisher,et al.  An Econometric Model of the World Copper Industry , 1972 .

[55]  Hilary A. Sigman A comparison of public policies for lead recycling , 1995 .

[56]  Badi H. Baltagi,et al.  Short and Long Run Effects in Pooled Models , 1984 .

[57]  Graeme Lang,et al.  China's impact on forests in Southeast Asia , 2006 .

[58]  Hilary A. Sigman,et al.  The Cost of Reducing Municipal Solid Waste , 1997 .

[59]  R. Turner,et al.  Modeling the supply of wastepaper , 1981 .

[60]  Patrik Söderholm,et al.  Estimating and decomposing the rate of technical change in the Swedish pulp and paper industry: A general index approach , 2004 .

[61]  Göran Finnveden,et al.  Life-cycle assessment as a decision-support tool—the case of recycling versus incineration of paper , 1998 .