Evolving Approaches and Technologies to Enhance the Role of Ecological Modeling in Decision Making

Understanding the effects of management activities is difficult for natural resource managers and decision makers because ecological systems are highly complex and their behavior is difficult to predict. Furthermore, the empirical studies necessary to illuminate all management questions quickly become logistically complicated and cost prohibitive. Ecological models provide a means to formalize our conceptual understanding of how an ecological system works and allow us to check this understanding by testing model predictions. Validated models can then be used to make predictions about the effects of proposed management activities, giving decision makers useful information that would not be available from empirical data.

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