Autoregressive Models for Statistical

We propose using the autoregressive hidden Markov model (HMM) for speech synthesis. The autoregressive HMM uses the same model for parameter estimation and synthesis in a consistent way, in contrast to the standard approach to statis- tical parametric speech synthesis. It supports easy and efficient parameter estimation using expectation maximization, in contrast to the trajectory HMM. At the same time its similarities to the standard approach allow use of established high quality synthe- sis algorithms such as speech parameter generation considering global variance. The autoregressive HMM also supports a speech parameter generation algorithm not available for the standard approach or the trajectory HMM and which has particular ad- vantages in the domain of real-time, low latency synthesis. We show how to do efficient parameter estimation and synthesis with the autoregressive HMM and look at some of the similarities and differences between the standard approach, the trajectory HMM and the autoregressive HMM. We compare the three approaches in subjective and objective evaluations. We also systematically investigate which choices of parameters such as autoregressive order and number of states are optimal for the autoregressive HMM.