Roots of Ensemble Forecasting
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] R. Buizza,et al. A Comparison of the ECMWF, MSC, and NCEP Global Ensemble Prediction Systems , 2005 .
[2] T. Palmer. Medium and extended range predictability and stability of the Pacific/North American mode , 2006 .
[3] Norbert Wiener,et al. Extrapolation, Interpolation, and Smoothing of Stationary Time Series , 1964 .
[4] N. Metropolis,et al. The Monte Carlo method. , 1949 .
[5] A. E. Gill. Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics , 1982 .
[6] Renate Hagedorn,et al. Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction , 2005 .
[7] G. Evensen,et al. Analysis Scheme in the Ensemble Kalman Filter , 1998 .
[8] J. Wallace,et al. Teleconnections in the Geopotential Height Field during the Northern Hemisphere Winter , 1981 .
[9] Franco Molteni,et al. Ensemble prediction using dynamically conditioned perturbations , 1993 .
[10] C. E. Leith,et al. Predictability of climate , 1978, Nature.
[11] J. Neumann,et al. Numerical Integration of the Barotropic Vorticity Equation , 1950 .
[12] Joseph Smagorinsky,et al. problems and promises of deterministic extended range forecasting , 1969 .
[13] C. E. Leith,et al. Predictability of Turbulent Flows , 1972 .
[14] G. A. Corby,et al. United Kingdom Meteorological Office Five-Level General Circulation Model , 1977 .
[15] P. D. Thompson,et al. Uncertainty of Initial State as a Factor in the Predictability of Large Scale Atmospheric Flow Patterns , 1957 .
[16] Lee E. Smith,et al. Oral History , 1983 .
[17] Barry Saltzman,et al. Finite Amplitude Free Convection as an Initial Value Problem—I , 1962 .
[18] Richard L. Pfeffer. Dynamics of climate : the proceedings of a Conference on the Application of Numerical Integration Techniques to the Problem of the General Circulation, held October 26-28, 1955 , 1960 .
[19] O. Talagrand,et al. The assimilation of past data in dynamical analysis. II , 1971 .
[20] E. Lorenz. Deterministic nonperiodic flow , 1963 .
[21] M. Ehrendorfer. Vorhersage der Unsicherheit numerischer Wetterprognosen: eine Übersicht , 1997 .
[22] E. Epstein,et al. Stochastic dynamic prediction1 , 1969 .
[23] E. Lorenz. Atmospheric Predictability as Revealed by Naturally Occurring Analogues , 1969 .
[24] Rex J. Fleming,et al. ON STOCHASTIC DYNAMIC PREDICTION: I. The Energetics of Uncertainty and the Question of Closure , 1971 .
[25] A. Hollingsworth,et al. Some aspects of the improvement in skill of numerical weather prediction , 2002 .
[27] Eugenia Kalnay,et al. Ensemble Forecasting at NMC: The Generation of Perturbations , 1993 .
[28] C. Gauss. Theory of the Motion of the Heavenly Bodies Moving About the Sun in Conic Sections , 1957 .
[29] K. Hinkelmann. Der Mechanismus des meteorologischen Lärmes , 1951 .
[30] Rex J. Fleming,et al. ON STOCHASTIC DYNAMIC PREDICTION , 1971 .
[31] J. Whitaker,et al. Ensemble Forecasts and the Properties of Flow-Dependent Analysis-Error Covariance Singular Vectors , 2003 .
[32] R. F. Strickler,et al. Numerical Simulation of the Breakdown of a Polar-Night Vortex in the Stratosphere , 1970 .
[33] T. Palmer. Extended-range atmospheric prediction and the Lorenz model , 1993 .
[34] K. Miyakoda,et al. One-Month Forecast Experiments—without Anomaly Boundary Forcings , 1986 .
[35] E. Lorenz. A study of the predictability of a 28-variable atmospheric model , 1965 .
[36] J. G. Charney,et al. The Use of the Primitive Equations of Motion in Numerical Prediction , 1955 .
[37] P. L. Houtekamer,et al. A System Simulation Approach to Ensemble Prediction , 1996 .
[38] N. Wiener. Nonlinear Prediction and Dynamics , 1956 .
[39] Ragnar Fjørtoft,et al. On a Numerical Method of Integrating the Barotropic Vorticity Equation , 1952, Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography.
[40] E. Epstein,et al. Stochastic dynamic prediction , 1969 .
[41] Akio Arakawa,et al. Chapter 1 - A Personal Perspective on the Early Years of General Circulation Modeling at UCLA , 2000 .
[42] Norman A. Phillips,et al. The general circulation of the atmosphere: A numerical experiment , 1956 .
[43] E. Lorenz. The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion , 1969 .
[44] G. Evensen,et al. Assimilation of Geosat altimeter data for the Agulhas current using the ensemble Kalman filter with , 1996 .
[45] J. Shukla,et al. Dynamical predictability of monthly means , 1981 .
[46] George W. Platzman,et al. The ENIAC Computations of 1950—Gateway to Numerical Weather Prediction , 1979 .
[47] Charles Coulston Gillispie,et al. Dictionary of scientific biography , 1970 .
[48] E. Pitcher. Application of Stochastic Dynamic Prediction to Real Data , 1977 .
[49] E. T. Eady,et al. Long Waves and Cyclone Waves , 1949 .
[50] C. Brezinski. Interpolation and Extrapolation , 2001 .
[51] E. Lorenz,et al. The essence of chaos , 1993 .
[52] E. T. Eady. The Quantitative Theory of Cyclone Development , 1951 .
[53] Paul N. Edwards,et al. Chapter 2 - A Brief History of Atmospheric General Circulation Modeling , 2000 .
[54] A. Arakawa. Computational design for long-term numerical integration of the equations of fluid motion: two-dimen , 1997 .
[55] Douglas K. Lilly. Introduction to “Computational Design for Long-Term Numerical Integration of the Equations of Fluid Motion , 1997 .
[56] Joseph Smagorjnsky,et al. The Beginnings of Numerical Weather Prediction and General Circulation Modeling: Early Recollections , 1983 .
[57] J. G. Charney,et al. THE DYNAMICS OF LONG WAVES IN A BAROCLINIC WESTERLY CURRENT , 1947 .
[58] Ross N. Hoffman,et al. Lagged average forecasting, an alternative to Monte Carlo forecasting , 1983 .
[59] Brian F. Farrell,et al. Small Error Dynamics and the Predictability of Atmospheric Flows. , 1990 .
[60] L. Broglie,et al. Causality and chance in modern physics , 1984 .
[61] Eugenia Kalnay,et al. Operational Ensemble Prediction at the National Meteorological Center: Practical Aspects , 1993 .
[62] D. Thompson,et al. A history of numerical weather prediction in the United States , 1983 .
[63] Roberto Buizza,et al. The Singular-Vector Structure of the Atmospheric Global Circulation , 1995 .
[64] Jan Barkmeijer. Constructing Fast-Growing Perturbations for the Nonlinear Regime , 1996 .
[65] J. Smagorinsky,et al. GENERAL CIRCULATION EXPERIMENTS WITH THE PRIMITIVE EQUATIONS , 1963 .
[66] C. Leith. Theoretical Skill of Monte Carlo Forecasts , 1974 .
[67] E. Lorenz. Atmospheric predictability experiments with a large numerical model , 1982 .
[68] The birth of numerical weather prediction , 1991 .
[69] Lewis F. Richardson,et al. Weather Prediction by Numerical Process , 1922 .
[70] Jeffrey L. Anderson,et al. Selection of Initial Conditions for Ensemble Forecasts in a Simple Perfect Model Framework , 1996 .
[71] F. Molteni,et al. The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: Methodology and validation , 1996 .
[72] Lennart Bengtsson. From short-range barotropic modelling to extended-range global weather prediction: a 40-year perspective , 1999 .
[73] T. Petroliagis,et al. Error growth and estimates of predictability from the ECMWF forecasting system , 1995 .
[74] Chris Snyder,et al. Ensemble Forecasting in the Short to Medium Range: Report from a Workshop , 2000 .
[75] John M. Lewis,et al. Clarifying the Dynamics of the General Circulation: Phillips's 1956 Experiment , 1998 .
[76] C. Leith. Atmospheric Predictability and Two-Dimensional Turbulence , 1971 .
[77] O. Talagrand,et al. Short-range evolution of small perturbations in a barotropic model , 1988 .