A method research of the experts prediction based on artificial neural network

Aiming at the demand of solving complicated prediction problem,this study probes into a method of the experts prediction based on the thought of the artificial neural network.Firstly,a model of the experts prediction is presented on the basis of neural cell model.Then,the integration of the fuzzy judgement information given by the experts is studied for the demand of the prediction model,and a detailed method how to quantify the experts' prediction result is presented.Finally,a method of revising the experts'weights is put forward for the sake of enhancing the precision of the experts prediction,and an illustrative example is also given to testify the method with simple and applied characteristics.