Planning carbon emission trading for Beijing's electric power systems under dual uncertainties

In this study, a full-infinite interval-stochastic mixed-integer programming (FIMP) method is developed for planning carbon emission trading (CET) under dual uncertainties. FIMP has advantages in uncertainty reflection and policy analysis, particularly when the input parameters are provided as crisp and functional intervals as well as probabilistic distributions. The developed FIMP is applied to a real case study for managing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions with trading scheme of Beijing's electric power system (EPS). Electric power industry is one of the major sources of CO2 emission in China. It is essential to accumulate relevant experience to provide a reliable basis for establishing a regional or national CET market, so as to prepare for docking with the international market. This is the first attempt to introduce CET scheme into Beijing's EPS to mitigate CO2 emissions. The solutions for energy supply, electricity generation, carbon-quota allocation, and capacity expansion are obtained. They cannot only be used for formulating CO2-reduction policies and assessing the associated economic implications in purchasing emission permits or bearing economic penalties, but also facilitate analyzing various policies when pre-regulated electricity-generation plans and pre-defined CO2-emission schemes are violated.

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