WIDER Working Paper 2014/020 Implications of climate change for G hana’s economy

The poor can and do save, but often use formal or informal instruments that have high risk, high cost, and limited functionality. This could lead to undersaving compared to a world without market or behavioral frictions. Undersaving can have important welfare consequences: variable consumption, low resilience to shocks, and foregone profitable investments. We lay out five sets of constraints that may hinder the adoption and effective usage of savings products and services by the poor: transaction costs, lack of trust and regulatory barriers, information and knowledge gaps, social constraints, and behavioral biases. We discuss each in theory, and then summarize related empirical evidence, with a focus on recent field experiments. We then put forward key open areas for research and practice. JEL Codes: D12, D91, G21, O16

[1]  R. Pande,et al.  Do Traditional Institutions Constrain Female Entrepreneurship? A Field Experiment on Business Training in India , 2010 .

[2]  Jessica Goldberg,et al.  Revising Commitments: Field Evidence on the Adjustment of Prior Choices , 2012 .

[3]  A. Shleifer,et al.  Investor Protection and Corporate Valuation , 1999 .

[4]  X. Giné,et al.  Commitments to Save: A Field Experiment in Rural Malawi , 2011 .

[5]  Leigh L. Linden,et al.  Improving the Design of Conditional Transfer Programs: Evidence from a Randomized Education Experiment in Colombia † , 2011 .

[6]  Robert Summers,et al.  Review of Income and Wealth , 1988 .

[7]  Justine S. Hastings,et al.  Financial Literacy, Financial Education and Economic Outcomes. NBER Working Paper No. 18412. , 2012 .

[8]  John G. Lynch,et al.  Individuals Exhibit the Planning Fallacy for Time But Not for Money , 2010 .

[9]  Jean-Philippe Platteau,et al.  Institutions, Social Norms and Economic Development , 2000 .

[10]  A. Banerjee,et al.  A Simple Model of Herd Behavior , 1992 .

[11]  Franz Hamann,et al.  Informality, Saving and Wealth Inequality , 2015 .

[12]  Nataliya Mylenko Financial access 2010 : the state of financial inclusion through the crisis , 2010 .

[13]  O’Donoghue,et al.  Getting to the Top of Mind : How Reminders Increase Saving , 2014 .

[14]  Joshua Schwartzstein SELECTIVE ATTENTION AND LEARNING , 2014 .

[15]  Raj Chetty,et al.  Active vs. Passive Decisions and Crowdout in Retirement Savings Accounts: Evidence from Denmark , 2012 .

[16]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Teaching Entrepreneurship: Impact of Business Training on Microfinance Clients and Institutions , 2006, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[17]  A. Lusardi,et al.  Debt Literacy, Financial Experiences, and Overindebtedness (NBER Working Paper 14804) , 2009 .

[18]  Jonathan Robinson,et al.  Challenges in Banking the Rural Poor: Evidence from Kenya&Apos;S Western Province , 2012 .

[19]  Matthew Rabin,et al.  Incentives for Procrastinators , 1999 .

[20]  Jeremy Tobacman,et al.  Payday Loans, Uncertainty and Discounting: Explaining Patterns of Borrowing, Repayment, and Default , 2008 .

[21]  R. Buehler,et al.  Inside the planning fallacy: The causes and consequences of optimistic time predictions. , 2002 .

[22]  Simone Schaner The Persistent Power of Behavioral Change: Long-Run Impacts of Temporary Savings Subsidies for the Poor , 2016, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics.

[23]  Justine S. Hastings,et al.  Financial Literacy, Financial Education and Economic Outcomes , 2012, Annual review of economics.

[24]  J. Morgan,et al.  ...Plus Shipping and Handling: Revenue (Non) Equivalence in Field Experiments on eBay , 2006 .

[25]  Marianne Bertrand,et al.  Information Disclosure, Cognitive Biases and Payday Borrowing , 2009 .

[26]  Daniel Fernandes,et al.  Financial Literacy, Financial Education and Downstream Financial Behaviors (full paper and web appendix) , 2014, Manag. Sci..

[27]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Tying Odysseus to the Mast: Evidence from a Commitment Savings Product in the Philippines , 2005 .

[28]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  The Construction of Preference: Do Defaults Save Lives? , 2006 .

[29]  Faruk Gul,et al.  SELF-CONTROL AND THE THEORY OF CONSUMPTION , 1999 .

[30]  E. Duflo,et al.  The Role of Information and Social Interactions in Retirement Plan Decisions: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment , 2002 .

[31]  Antoinette Schoar,et al.  Keeping it Simple: Financial Literacy and Rules of Thumb , 2010 .

[32]  W. Rohe,et al.  Effects of an Individual Development Account Program on Retirement Saving: Follow-up Evidence From a Randomized Experiment , 2015, Journal of gerontological social work.

[33]  Siwan Anderson,et al.  The Economics of Roscas and Intra-Household Resource Allocation , 2000 .

[34]  Mark R. Rosenzweig,et al.  Imperfect Commitment, Altruism, and the Family: Evidence from Transfer Behavior in Low-Income Rural Areas , 2001, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[35]  R. Rosenberg,et al.  The rush to regulate : legal frameworks for microfinance , 2000 .

[36]  Raj Chetty,et al.  Salience and Taxation: Theory and Evidence , 2009 .

[37]  C. Burt,et al.  Allocating time to future tasks: The effect of task segmentation on planning fallacy bias , 2008, Memory & cognition.

[38]  A. Banerjee,et al.  The Economic Lives of the Poor , 2006, The journal of economic perspectives : a journal of the American Economic Association.

[39]  Jonathan Zinman,et al.  Put Your Money Where Your Butt is: A Commitment Contract for Smoking Cessation , 2009 .

[40]  Anuj K. Shah,et al.  Some Consequences of Having Too Little , 2012, Science.

[41]  M. Bruhn,et al.  The impact of high school financial education : large-scale experimental evidence from Brazil , 2014 .

[42]  Andrew Hertzberg Time-Consistent Individuals, Time-Inconsistent Households , 2016 .

[43]  Stephan Meier,et al.  Under-Savers Anonymous: Evidence on Self-Help Groups and Peer Pressure as a Savings Commitment Device , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[44]  T. Coupé Mattresses versus Banks - The Effect of Trust on Portfolio Composition , 2011 .

[45]  F. Holmes The Role of Central Banks in Microfinance in Asia and the Pacific, Volumes 1 and 2 , 2002 .

[46]  Christopher Udry,et al.  Risk and Insurance in a Rural Credit Market: An Empirical Investigation in Northern Nigeria , 1994 .

[47]  T. Miloh,et al.  Improved Adherence and Outcomes for Pediatric Liver Transplant Recipients by Using Text Messaging , 2009, Pediatrics.

[48]  A. Shleifer,et al.  Coarse Thinking and Persuasion , 2006 .

[49]  Sendhil Mullainathan,et al.  The Shape of Temptation: Implications for the Economic Lives of the Poor , 2010 .

[50]  Jonathan Zinman,et al.  Limited and Varying Consumer Attention: Evidence from Shocks to the Salience of Bank Overdraft Fees , 2011 .

[51]  M. Bruhn,et al.  Stimulating Managerial Capital in Emerging Markets: The Impact of Business and Financial Literacy for Young Entrepreneurs , 2011 .

[52]  Sendhil Mullainathan,et al.  Getting to the Top of Mind: How Reminders Increase Saving , 2010 .

[53]  Owen Ozier,et al.  Does Africa Need a Rotten Kin Theorem? Experimental Evidence from Village Economies , 2012 .

[54]  Jonathan Zinman Consumer Credit: Too Much or Too Little (or Just Right)? , 2013, The Journal of Legal Studies.

[55]  N. Jentzsch Financial Services for the Poor: Lack of Personal Identification Documents Impedes Access , 2009 .

[56]  Marshall W. Van Alstyne,et al.  An Economic Response to Unsolicited Communication , 2005 .

[57]  X. Giné,et al.  Credit Market Consequences of Improved Personal Identification: Field Experimental Evidence from Malawi , 2011 .

[58]  J. Baland,et al.  Pretending to Be Poor: Borrowing to Escape Forced Solidarity in Cameroon , 2011, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[59]  O. Mitchell,et al.  Implications for Retirement Wellbeing of Financial Literacy and Planning , 2010 .

[60]  Arun G. Chandrasekhar,et al.  CAN NETWORKS SUBSTITUTE FOR CONTRACTS? EVIDENCE FROM A LAB EXPERIMENT IN THE FIELD , 2013 .

[61]  Bilal Zia,et al.  Unpacking the Causal Chain of Financial Literacy , 2011 .

[62]  Planning and Financial Literacy: How Do Women Fare? , 2008 .

[63]  W. Gale,et al.  Effects of Individual Development Accounts on Asset Purchases and Saving Behavior: Evidence from a Controlled Experiment , 2008 .

[64]  R. Christen,et al.  The rush to regulate : legal frameworks for microfinance , 2000 .

[65]  X. Ye Portfolios of the Poor: How the World's Poor Live on $2 a Day , 2011 .

[66]  D. Wise,et al.  The Drawdown of Personal Retirement Assets: Husbanding or Squandering? , 2013 .

[67]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Female Empowerment: Further Evidence From a Commitment Savings Product in the Philippines , 2010 .

[68]  O. Mitchell,et al.  How Ordinary Consumers Make Complex Economic Decisions: Financial Literacy and Retirement Readiness , 2009 .

[69]  Shawn Cole,et al.  Smart Money: The Effect of Education on Financial Behavior , 2012 .

[70]  Jonathan Robinson,et al.  Nudging Farmers to Use Fertilizer: Theory and Experimental Evidence from Kenya , 2009 .

[71]  J. Aker,et al.  Mobile Phones and Economic Development in Africa , 2010 .

[72]  Annamaria Lusardi,et al.  Financial Literacy and Retirement Preparedness: Evidence and Implications for Financial Education , 2007 .

[73]  Dan Silverman,et al.  Directed Giving: Evidence from an Inter-Household Transfer Experiment , 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[74]  R. Thaler,et al.  Mental Accounting, Saving, and Self-Control , 2011 .

[75]  R. Thaler,et al.  THE BEHAVIORAL LIFE‐CYCLE HYPOTHESIS , 1988 .

[76]  Sendhil Mullainathan,et al.  A Memory Based Model of Bounded Rationality , 2000 .

[77]  R. Pande,et al.  Do Rural Banks Matter? Evidence from the Indian Social Banking Experiment , 2003 .

[78]  Education and Saving: The Long-Term Effects of High School Financial Curriculum Mandates , 1997 .

[79]  Mary Kay Gugerty You Can’t Save Alone: Commitment in Rotating Savings and Credit Associations in Kenya , 2007, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[80]  Jeffrey A. Flory Micro-Savings & Informal Insurance in Villages: How Financial Deepening Affects Safety Nets of the Poor - A Natural Field Experiment , 2011 .

[81]  D. Fudenberg,et al.  A Dual Self Model of Impulse Control , 2004, The American economic review.

[82]  E. Said,et al.  The Tanner Lectures on Human Values , 1997 .

[83]  Bilal Zia,et al.  Prices or Knowledge? What Drives Demand for Financial Services in Emerging Markets? , 2010 .

[84]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Borrow Less Tomorrow: Behavioral Approaches to Debt Reduction , 2012 .

[85]  Simeon Djankov,et al.  Who are the Unbanked? , 2008 .

[86]  Active vs. Passive Decisions and Crowdout in Retirement Savings Accounts: Evidence from Denmark , 2012 .

[87]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Using Experimental Economics to Measure Social Capital and Predict Financial Decisions , 2005 .

[88]  Markus K. Brunnermeier,et al.  Optimal Expectations , 2004 .

[89]  Emir Kamenica,et al.  Gender Differences in Mate Selection: Evidence From a Speed Dating Experiment , 2006 .

[90]  David Laibson,et al.  A Debt Puzzle , 2000, Knowledge, Information, and Expectations in Modern Macroeconomics.

[91]  Stuart Rutherford,et al.  The poor and their money , 2000 .

[92]  William Jack,et al.  Risk Sharing and Transactions Costs: Evidence from Kenya's Mobile Money Revolution , 2014 .

[93]  Daniel Radcliffe,et al.  A Digital Pathway to Financial Inclusion , 2012 .

[94]  Fernando Aportela,et al.  Effect of Financial Access on Savings by Low-Income People , 1998 .

[95]  Florencio López‐de‐Silanes,et al.  Investor Protection and Corporate Governance , 1999 .

[96]  D. Wise,et al.  The Drawdown of Personal Retirement Assets , 2011 .

[97]  A. Banerjee,et al.  The Miracle of Microfinance? Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation , 2013 .

[98]  X. Giné,et al.  Money or Ideas? A Field Experiment on Constraints to Entrepreneurship in Rural Pakistan , 2014 .

[99]  The Cost of Convenience?: Transaction Costs, Bargaining Power, and Savings Account Use in Kenya , 2017 .

[100]  B. Bernheim,et al.  The effects of financial education in the workplace: evidence from a survey of households , 2003 .

[101]  Horacio Larreguy,et al.  INFORMAL INSURANCE, SOCIAL NETWORKS, AND SAVINGS ACCESS: EVIDENCE FROM A LAB EXPERIMENT IN THE FIELD , 2012 .

[102]  Ronald J. Mann Assessing the Optimism of Payday Loan Borrowers , 2013, Supreme Court Economic Review.

[103]  A. Kimball,et al.  Text-message reminders to improve sunscreen use: a randomized, controlled trial using electronic monitoring. , 2009, Archives of dermatology.

[104]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Behind the Gate Experiment: Evidence on Effects of and Rationales for Subsidized Entrepreneurship Training , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[105]  Stefano DellaVigna,et al.  Investor Inattention and Friday Earnings Announcements , 2009 .

[106]  Craig McIntosh,et al.  Prompting Microfinance Borrowers to Save: A Field Experiment from Guatemala , 2013, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[107]  Dean Yang,et al.  Transnational household finance: A field experiment on the cross-border impacts of financial education for migrant workers , 2012 .

[108]  R. Thaler Toward a positive theory of consumer choice , 1980 .

[109]  Jonathan Robinson,et al.  Limited Insurance within the Household: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Kenya , 2008 .

[110]  Joshua Tasoff,et al.  Exponential-Growth Bias and Lifecycle Consumption , 2015 .

[111]  S. Prina,et al.  BANKING THE POOR VIA SAVINGS ACCOUNTS: EVIDENCE FROM A FIELD EXPERIMENT ∗ , 2015 .

[112]  Abigail B. Sussman,et al.  The Exception Is the Rule: Underestimating and Overspending on Exceptional Expenses , 2012 .

[113]  Paul A. Volcker The role of central banks , 1990 .

[114]  B. Zia,et al.  Harnessing Emotional Connections to Improve Financial Decisions: Evaluating the Impact of Financial Education in Mainstream Media , 2013 .

[115]  Sendhil Mullainathan,et al.  What's Advertising Content Worth? Evidence from a Consumer Credit Marketing Field Experiment , 2009 .

[116]  The Economics of Roscas and Intra-Household Resource Allocation , 2000 .

[117]  Lisa Xu,et al.  Financial Literacy Around the World: An Overview of the Evidence with Practical Suggestions for the Way Forward , 2012 .

[118]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Female Empowerment: Impact of a Commitment Savings Product in the Philippines , 2006 .

[119]  B. Zia,et al.  Harnessing Emotional Connections to Improve Financial Decisions , 2013 .

[120]  G NetemeyerRichard,et al.  Financial Literacy, Financial Education, and Downstream Financial Behaviors , 2014 .

[121]  O. Mitchell,et al.  Planning and Financial Literacy: How Do Women Fare? , 2006 .

[122]  Jonathan Robinson,et al.  Why Don&Apos;T the Poor Save More? Evidence from Health Savings Experiments , 2011, The American economic review.

[123]  Sendhil Mullainathan,et al.  Poverty Impedes Cognitive Function , 2013, Science.

[124]  Jonathan Zinman,et al.  Exponential Growth Bias and Household Finance , 2008 .

[125]  Inessa Love,et al.  The Economic Impact of Banking the Unbanked: Evidence from Mexico , 2009 .

[126]  Raj Chetty Bounds on Elasticities with Optimization Frictions: A Synthesis of Micro and Macro Evidence on Labor Supply , 2009 .

[127]  Dean S. Karlan,et al.  Deposit Collectors , 2005 .

[128]  N. Wilcox,et al.  Impact of Bank Accounts on Migrant Savings and Remittances: Evidence from a Field Experiment , 2011 .

[129]  Dean Yang,et al.  Remittances and the Problem of Control : A Field Experiment Among Migrants from El Salvador , 2008 .

[130]  Esther Duflo,et al.  Happiness on Tap: Piped Water Adoption in Urban Morocco , 2011 .

[131]  A. Banerjee,et al.  Microcredit Under the Microscope: What Have We Learned in the Past Two Decades, and What Do We Need to Know? , 2013 .

[132]  M. McConnell Between Intention and Action: An Experiment on Individual Savings , 2012 .

[133]  Nava Ashraf,et al.  Spousal Control and Intra-household Decision Making: An Experimental Study in the Philippines , 2009 .

[134]  Magui Moreno Torres,et al.  Consultative Group to Assist the Poorest (CGAP) , 2003 .

[135]  Annamaria Lusardi,et al.  Financial Literacy and Planning: Implications for Retirement Wellbeing , 2005 .

[136]  Robert M. Townsend,et al.  Risk and Insurance in Village India , 1994 .

[137]  Ignacio Mas,et al.  The Early Experience with Branchless Banking , 2008 .

[138]  B. Kőszegi,et al.  Exploiting Naïvete about Self-Control in the Credit Market , 2010 .

[139]  Arun G. Chandrasekhar,et al.  Social Networks as Contract Enforcement: Evidence from a Lab Experiment in the Field , 2014, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics.

[140]  A. Lusardi,et al.  Debt literacy, financial experiences, and overindebtedness* , 2009, Journal of Pension Economics and Finance.

[141]  R. Thaler Mental accounting matters , 1999 .

[142]  R. Thaler,et al.  Save More Tomorrow™: Using Behavioral Economics to Increase Employee Saving , 2004, Journal of Political Economy.

[143]  Philip Milner,et al.  RESOURCE ALLOCATION , 1988, The Lancet.

[144]  Changcheng Song Financial Illiteracy and Pension Contributions: A Field Experiment on Compound Interest in China , 2015, The Review of Financial Studies.

[145]  David I. Laibson,et al.  Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting , 1997 .

[146]  Claudio Borio,et al.  Implementing the macroprudential approach to financial regulation and supervision , 2009 .

[147]  Leora F. Klapper,et al.  Measuring Financial Inclusion: The Global Findex Database , 2012 .

[148]  Simone Schaner,et al.  Web Appendix : Do Opposites Detract ? Intrahousehold Preference Heterogeneity and Inefficient Strategic Savings , 2014 .

[149]  David Laibson,et al.  The Limitations of Defaults , 2010 .

[150]  Jonathan Zinman,et al.  Win Some Lose Some? Evidence from a Randomized Microcredit Program Placement Experiment by Compartamos Banco , 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[151]  Timothy Besley,et al.  The economics of rotating savings and credit associations , 1990 .

[152]  Laura Schechter,et al.  Traditional Trust Measurement and the Risk Confound: An Experiment in Rural Paraguay , 2007 .