Impact on mission design due to collision avoidance operations based on TLE or CSM information

Abstract Collision avoidance manoeuvres are considered for mission design and fuel budget allocation, and may have a relevant impact in particular orbital regimes. Current operations for collision avoidance are based on Two-Line Elements (TLE) orbital data or the Conjunction Summary Message (CSM) data. This paper presents the most suitable approach for collision avoidance for several mission types when operations are based on TLE or CSM data, with a detailed analysis of the impact of the orbital accuracy of catalogue data and warning time-to-event on mission design in terms of fuel budget for collision avoidance activities and operational constraints imposed by the avoidance manoeuvres.

[1]  Holger Krag,et al.  Evaluation of minimum coverage size and orbital accuracy at different orbital regimes for one order of magnitude reduction of the catastrophic collision risk , 2015 .

[2]  Holger Krag,et al.  Assessment and Categorization of TLE Orbit Errors for the US SSN Catalogue , 2008 .

[3]  Heiner Klinkrad,et al.  One Year of Conjunction Events of ERS-1 and ERS-2 with Objects of the Usspacecom Catalog , 1997 .

[4]  F. Pina Caballero,et al.  Collision risk assessment , 2001 .

[5]  E. Sasot,et al.  Operational Management of Collision Risks for LEO Satellites at CNES , 2008 .

[6]  Holger Krag,et al.  Update of ESA DRAMA ARES: Comparison of Envisaged Collision Alerts with Operational Statistics and Impact of Catalogue Accuracy , 2013 .

[7]  William Marshall,et al.  Improved orbit predictions using two-line elements , 2010, 1002.2277.

[8]  Deok-Jin Lee,et al.  Probability of Collision Error Analysis , 1999 .

[9]  T. S. Cssi Kelso,et al.  Validation of SGP4 and IS-GPS-200D Against GPS Precision Ephemerides , 2007 .

[10]  H. Klinkrad.  Space Debris: Models and Risk Analysis , 2006 .

[11]  H. Krag,et al.  Improving ESA's Collision Risk Estimates by an Assessment of the TLE orbit Errors of the US SSN Catalogue , 2009 .

[12]  Maruthi R. Akella,et al.  Probability of Collision Between Space Objects , 2000 .

[13]  F. Kenneth Chan,et al.  Spacecraft Collision Probability , 2008 .

[14]  Holger Krag,et al.  ESA’s process for the identification and assessment of high-risk conjunction events , 2009 .

[15]  H. Krag,et al.  DISCOS- Current Status and Future Developments , 2013 .

[16]  J. Lee Foster.  Fundamentals Of Debris Collision Avoidance , 2003 .

[17]  James Lee Foster,et al.  The analytic basis for debris avoidance operations for the International Space Station , 2001 .