Numerical prediction of thunderstorms—has its time come?

An approach to developing numerical prediction of convective storms and storm environments over the next decade is outlined. the principal scientific challenges are described, along with some early progress made in meeting them.

[1]  K. S. Gage,et al.  Evidence far a k−5/3 Law Inertial Range in Mesoscale Two-Dimensional Turbulence , 1979 .

[2]  Terry L. Clark,et al.  Numerical simulations with a three-dimensional cloud model: Lateral boundary condition experiments and multicellular severe storm simulations , 1979 .

[3]  Mitchell W. Moncrieff,et al.  Two‐dimensional convection in non‐constant shear: A model of mid‐latitude squall lines , 1982 .

[4]  T. Gal-Chen,et al.  A Method for the Initialization of the Anelastic Equations: Implications for Matching Models with Observations , 1978 .

[5]  Douglas K. Lilly,et al.  The Structure, Energetics and Propagation of Rotating Convective Storms. Part II: Helicity and Storm Stabilization , 1986 .

[6]  W. Thacker,et al.  Fitting dynamics to data , 1988 .

[7]  J. Klemp,et al.  A Three-Dimensional Numerical Simulation of Splitting Severe Storms on 3 April 1964 , 1981 .

[8]  T. VanZandt,et al.  A universal spectrum of buoyancy waves in the atmosphere , 1982 .

[9]  M. Lesieur,et al.  Influence of helicity on the evolution of isotropic turbulence at high Reynolds number , 1977, Journal of Fluid Mechanics.

[10]  B. C. Scott,et al.  Temperature and Pressure Perturbations within Convective Clouds Derived from Detailed Air Motion Information: Preliminary Testing , 1978 .

[11]  J. Oliger,et al.  Adaptive grid refinement for numerical weather prediction , 1989 .

[12]  H. K. Moffatt Magnetic Field Generation in Electrically Conducting Fluids , 1978 .

[13]  E. Lorenz The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion , 1969 .

[14]  W. Polifke,et al.  The dynamics of helical decaying turbulence , 1989 .

[15]  G. D. Nastrom,et al.  Theoretical Interpretation of Atmospheric Wavenumber Spectra of Wind and Temperature Observed by Commercial Aircraft During GASP , 1986 .

[16]  G. D. Nastrom,et al.  A Climatology of Atmospheric Wavenumber Spectra of Wind and Temperature Observed by Commercial Aircraft , 1985 .

[17]  D. Fritts,et al.  Effects of Doppler shifting on the frequency spectra of atmospheric gravity waves , 1987 .

[18]  Douglas K. Lilly,et al.  Stratified Turbulence and the Mesoscale Variability of the Atmosphere , 1983 .