Examining the Quality of Synthetic Origin-Destination Trip Table Estimated by Path Flow Estimator

Path flow estimator (PFE) is a one-stage network observer proposed in the transportation literature to estimate path flows and path travel times from traffic counts in a transportation network. The estimated path flows can further be aggregated to obtain the origin-destination (O-D) flows, which are usually required in many transportation applications. In this paper, we examine the capability of PFE in capturing the total demand of the study network as well as individual O-D demands. Numerical examples are provided to show the effects of the number and locations of traffic counts on the quality of O-D estimates. The results indicate that PFE has the potential to correctly estimate the total demand when proper observations, in terms of the number and their locations, are provided. In general, the spatial distribution of O-D demands is difficult to estimate even when traffic counts are available on all network links.

[1]  Taehyung Park,et al.  Estimation of dynamic origin-destination trip tables for a general network , 2001 .

[2]  E. Cascetta Estimation of trip matrices from traffic counts and survey data: A generalized least squares estimator , 1984 .

[3]  Michael G.H. Bell,et al.  The Path Flow Estimator as a network observer , 1998 .

[4]  Moshe F. Friedman ON THE EXACT DISTRIBUTION OF THE NUMBER OF PERCEIVED CONFLICTS WITH PRESCRIBED DURATION IN AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL , 1989 .

[5]  H. Spiess A MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD MODEL FOR ESTIMATING ORIGIN-DESTINATION MATRICES , 1987 .

[6]  Michael J. Maher,et al.  A bi-level programming approach for trip matrix estimation and traffic control problems with stochastic user equilibrium link flows , 2001 .

[7]  Michel Bierlaire,et al.  An Efficient Algorithm for Real-Time Estimation and Prediction of Dynamic OD Tables , 2004, Oper. Res..

[8]  Michael G.H. Bell,et al.  Transportation Network Analysis: Bell/Transportation Network Analysis , 1997 .

[9]  Moshe E. Ben-Akiva,et al.  Alternative Approaches for Real-Time Estimation and Prediction of Time-Dependent Origin-Destination Flows , 2000, Transp. Sci..

[10]  M. Bell THE ESTIMATION OF ORIGIN-DESTINATION MATRICES BY CONSTRAINED GENERALISED LEAST SQUARES , 1991 .

[11]  Rudi Hamerslag,et al.  IMPROVED KALMAN FILTERING APPROACH FOR ESTIMATING ORIGIN-DESTINATION MATRICES FOR FREEWAY CORRIDORS , 1994 .

[12]  M. Maher INFERENCES ON TRIP MATRICES FROM OBSERVATIONS ON LINK VOLUMES: A BAYESIAN STATISTICAL APPROACH , 1983 .

[13]  Hai Yang,et al.  Estimation of origin-destination matrices from link traffic counts on congested networks , 1992 .

[14]  Moshe E. Ben-Akiva,et al.  Estimation and Prediction of Time-Dependent Origin-Destination Flows with a Stochastic Mapping to Path Flows and Link Flows , 2002, Transp. Sci..

[15]  M. Baucus Transportation Research Board , 1982 .

[16]  C. Fisk Some developments in equilibrium traffic assignment , 1980 .

[17]  Kalidas Ashok,et al.  DYNAMIC ORIGIN-DESTINATION MATRIX ESTIMATION AND PREDICTION FOR REAL- TIME TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS , 1993 .

[18]  Michael G.H. Bell,et al.  A Log-Linear Model for Path Flow Estimation , 1996 .

[19]  C. S. Fisk,et al.  Trip matrix estimation from link traffic counts: The congested network case , 1989 .

[20]  Michael Bierlaire,et al.  The total demand scale: a new measure of quality for static and dynamic origin–destination trip tables , 2002 .

[21]  Hai Yang,et al.  The equilibrium-based origin-destination matrix estimation problem , 1994 .

[22]  Y Iida,et al.  Transportation Network Analysis , 1997 .

[23]  R. Sivanandan,et al.  A linear programming approach for synthesizing origin-destination trip tables from link traffic volumes , 1994 .

[24]  James V. Krogmeier,et al.  Dynamic Estimation and Prediction of Freeway O-D Matrices with Route Switching Considerations and Time-Dependent Model Parameters , 1996 .

[25]  Henk J van Zuylen,et al.  The most likely trip matrix estimated from traffic counts , 1980 .

[26]  Antoine G. Hobeika,et al.  Parameter optimization methods for estimating dynamic origin-destination trip-tables , 1997 .

[27]  van Zuylen,et al.  THE ESTIMATION OF TURNING FLOWS ON A JUNCTION , 1979 .

[28]  M. G. H. Bell THE ESTIMATION OF JUNCTION TURNING VOLUMES FROM TRAFFIC COUNTS: THE ROLE OF PRIOR INFORMATION , 1984 .

[29]  Martin L. Hazelton,et al.  Estimation of origin-destination matrices from link flows on uncongested networks , 2000 .

[30]  C. S. Fisk,et al.  ON COMBINING MAXIMUM ENTROPY TRIP MATRIX ESTIMATION WITH USER OPTIMAL ASSIGNMENT , 1988 .

[31]  W A O'Neill ORIGIN-DESTINATION TRIP TABLE ESTIMATION USING TRAFFIC COUNTS , 1987 .