Remembering in contradictory minds: disjunction fallacies in episodic memory.

Disjunction fallacies have been extensively studied in probability judgment. They should also occur in episodic memory, if remembering a cue's episodic state depends on how its state is described on a memory test (e.g., being described as a target vs. as a distractor). If memory is description-dependent, cues will be remembered as occupying logically impossible combinations of episodic states (e.g., as being a target and a distractor). Consistent with this idea, memory disjunction fallacies were repeatedly detected in a series of experiments, at the level of individuals as well as at the level of groups. Disjunction fallacies varied as a function of manipulations that should affect description-dependency, such as type of test cue, immediate versus delayed testing, word frequency, and emotional valence. Response bias, as well as description-dependency, contributed to disjunction fallacies, as predicted by fuzzy-trace theory's retrieval model. The significance of these findings for memory is that a new form of episodic distortion, description-dependent memory, has been added to the 2 traditional forms (forgetting and false memory). The significance for probability judgment is that disjunction fallacies, which have customarily been explained as by-products of memory retrieval, may be wholly or partly due to the uncontrolled influence of response bias.

[1]  V. Reyna,et al.  The science of false memory , 2005 .

[2]  Gerald L. Clore,et al.  With Sadness Comes Accuracy; With Happiness, False Memory , 2005, Psychological science.

[3]  A. Tversky,et al.  Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment , 1983 .

[4]  Robert T. Clemen,et al.  Subjective Probability Assessment in Decision Analysis: Partition Dependence and Bias Toward the Ignorance Prior , 2005, Manag. Sci..

[5]  Fox,et al.  Familiarity Bias and Belief Reversal in Relative Likelihood Judgment. , 2000, Organizational behavior and human decision processes.

[6]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Framing, probability distortions, and insurance decisions , 1993 .

[7]  J. Edward Russo,et al.  Where is the fault in fault trees , 1994 .

[8]  J. G. Snodgrass,et al.  Pragmatics of measuring recognition memory: applications to dementia and amnesia. , 1988, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[9]  Valerie F Reyna,et al.  Fuzzy‐Trace Theory, Risk Communication, and Product Labeling in Sexually Transmitted Diseases , 2003, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[10]  V. Reyna,et al.  Children's Memory and Metaphorical Interpretation , 1995 .

[11]  V. Reyna,et al.  A Theory of Medical Decision Making and Health: Fuzzy Trace Theory , 2008, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[12]  Christoph Stahl,et al.  Measuring phantom recollection in the simplified conjoint recognition paradigm , 2009 .

[13]  V. Reyna,et al.  Theories of false memory in children and adults , 1997 .

[14]  J. Deese On the prediction of occurrence of particular verbal intrusions in immediate recall. , 1959, Journal of experimental psychology.

[15]  C. I. Wright,et al.  False Recognition of Emotional Word Lists in Aging and Alzheimer Disease , 2006, Cognitive and behavioral neurology : official journal of the Society for Behavioral and Cognitive Neurology.

[16]  Daniel L. Schacter,et al.  Suppressing False Recognition in Younger and Older Adults: The Distinctiveness Heuristic ☆ ☆☆ ★ , 1999 .

[17]  M. L. Howe Children's Emotional False Memories , 2007, Psychological science.

[18]  Vincent R. Brown,et al.  A new look at recognition in the Brown-Peterson distractor paradigm: Toward the application of new methodology to unsolved problems of recognition memory , 2004, Memory & cognition.

[19]  K. McDermott,et al.  Factors that determine false recall: A multiple regression analysis , 2001, Psychonomic bulletin & review.

[20]  R. Guttentag,et al.  Identifying the basis for the word frequency effect in recognition memory. , 1994, Memory.

[21]  Lyle Brenner,et al.  Focus, repacking, and the judgment of grouped hypotheses , 1999 .

[22]  C. Fox Strength of Evidence, Judged Probability, and Choice Under Uncertainty , 1999, Cognitive Psychology.

[23]  A. Tversky,et al.  Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: advances in support theory. , 1997 .

[24]  D. Gallo Associative Illusions of Memory: False Memory Research in DRM and Related Tasks , 2006 .

[25]  W. Nelson Francis,et al.  FREQUENCY ANALYSIS OF ENGLISH USAGE: LEXICON AND GRAMMAR , 1983 .

[26]  V. Reyna,et al.  Development of Gist versus Verbatim Memory in Sentence Recognition: Effects of Lexical Familiarity, Semantic Content, Encoding Instructions, and Retention Interval. , 1994 .

[27]  Jean E. Dumas,et al.  Likableness, familiarity, and frequency of 844 person-descriptive words , 2002 .

[28]  W. Kintsch,et al.  APPLICATION OF A MARKOV MODEL TO FREE RECALL AND RECOGNITION. , 1965, Journal of experimental psychology.

[29]  Craig R. Fox,et al.  Partition Priming in Judgment Under Uncertainty , 2003, Psychological science.

[30]  Charles J. Brainerd,et al.  Episodic over-distribution: A signature effect of familiarity without recollection , 2008 .

[31]  Walter Kintsch,et al.  Sentence memory: A theoretical analysis ☆ , 1990 .

[32]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation. , 1978 .

[33]  A. Tversky,et al.  Options traders exhibit subadditive decision weights , 1996 .

[34]  J. Wixted Dual-process theory and signal-detection theory of recognition memory. , 2007, Psychological review.

[35]  C. Fox,et al.  Forecasting Trial Outcomes: Lawyers Assign Higher Probability to Possibilities That Are Described in Greater Detail , 2002, Law and human behavior.

[36]  D A Redelmeier,et al.  Probability judgement in medicine: discounting unspecified possibilities. , 1995, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[37]  J. Neuschatz,et al.  Recall accuracy and illusory memories: when more is less. , 1999, Memory.

[38]  A. Tversky,et al.  A Belief-Based Account of Decision Under Uncertainty , 1998 .

[39]  N. Sanders,et al.  Journal of behavioral decision making: "The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting", 5 (1992) 39-52 , 1992 .

[40]  V. Reyna,et al.  How Does Negative Emotion Cause False Memories? , 2008, Psychological science.

[41]  D. Kahneman A perspective on judgment and choice: mapping bounded rationality. , 2003, The American psychologist.

[42]  K. McDermott,et al.  Creating false memories: Remembering words not presented in lists. , 1995 .

[43]  K. C. Klauer,et al.  A simplified conjoint recognition paradigm for the measurement of gist and verbatim memory. , 2008, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[44]  Murray Singer,et al.  Veridical and false memory for text: A multiprocess analysis ☆ , 2008 .

[45]  E. Kensinger,et al.  Remembering Emotional Experiences: The Contribution of Valence and Arousal , 2004, Reviews in the neurosciences.

[46]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Mindful judgment and decision making. , 2009, Annual review of psychology.

[47]  V. Reyna,et al.  Recollection rejection: false-memory editing in children and adults. , 2003, Psychological review.

[48]  Ron Wright,et al.  Conjoint recognition and phantom recollection. , 2001 .

[49]  A. Tversky,et al.  Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. , 1994 .

[50]  B. Underwood FALSE RECOGNITION PRODUCED BY IMPLICIT VERBAL RESPONSES. , 1965, Journal of experimental psychology.

[51]  Yuval Rottenstreich,et al.  Typical versus atypical unpacking and superadditive probability judgment. , 2004, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[52]  M. Dougherty,et al.  Probability judgment and subadditivity: The role of working memory capacity and constraining retrieval , 2003, Memory & cognition.

[53]  M Glanzer,et al.  The mirror effect in recognition memory: data and theory. , 1990, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[54]  R. Guttentag,et al.  Recollection-Based Recognition: Word Frequency Effects , 1997 .

[55]  Rebecca K. Ratner,et al.  How subjective grouping of options influences choice and allocation: diversification bias and the phenomenon of partition dependence. , 2005, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[56]  Michael R Dougherty,et al.  The influence of improper sets of information on judgment: how irrelevant information can bias judged probability. , 2006, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[57]  Daniel L. Schacter,et al.  When False Recognition Meets Metacognition: The Distinctiveness Heuristic , 2002 .

[58]  T. Odegard,et al.  Recollection rejection: Gist cuing of verbatim memory , 2005, Memory & cognition.