WAYS ON ANALYSIS AND TREATMENT OF THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE EXPLOSION ACCIDENTS

This paper has given a detailed discussion and analysis of the controversies and difficulties as well as the extreme importance to deal with the explosion accidents. To deal with such a problem successfully, the paper has suggested some approaches on the basis of nonlinear mathematics concerning the probability or uncertainty processing. The suggested approaches may include the Differential Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation, Fourier Approach and the Response Surface Analysis. Besides, corresponding mathematical models and processes for the purpose are provided for the purpose. At the same time, both advantages and disadvantages of these methods are further discussed in the paper with the features of the uncertainty presented in thorough analyzing of the quantitative explosion damage. And finally recommendations are given to adopt Monte Carlo Simulation to define the uncertainties of the explosion process analysis.