Uncovering Patterns of Product Co-consideration: A Case Study of Online Vehicle Price Quote Request Data

Abstract Consumers often consider multiple alternatives from the same product category prior to making a purchase. Uncovering the predominant patterns of such co-considerations can help businesses learn more about the competitive structure of the market in the mind of the consumer. Extant research has shown that various types of online and offline consumer activity data (e.g., shopping baskets, search and browsing histories, social media mentions) can be used to infer product co-considerations. In this paper, we study a case of uncovering co-consideration patterns using a massive dataset of online price quote requests from U.S. auto shoppers. The main challenge we face is that, for privacy protection, no unique individual identifier (anonymous or otherwise) is contained in the data. Such a data deficiency prevents us from using existing methods such as affinity analysis for inferring co-considerations. However, by leveraging spatiotemporal patterns in the data, we manage to probabilistically uncover the predominant patterns of co-considerations in the U.S. auto market. As a validation and illustration of its usefulness, we embed the inferred market structure in a sales response model and show a substantial improvement in predictive performance.

[1]  Chris Anderson,et al.  The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business is Selling Less of More , 2006 .

[2]  Akihiro Inoue,et al.  Building Market Structures from Consumer Preferences , 1996 .

[3]  Veda C. Storey,et al.  Business Intelligence and Analytics: From Big Data to Big Impact , 2012, MIS Q..

[4]  Katharine Armstrong,et al.  Big data: a revolution that will transform how we live, work, and think , 2014 .

[5]  Y. de Montjoye,et al.  Unique in the shopping mall: On the reidentifiability of credit card metadata , 2015, Science.

[6]  S. C. Choi,et al.  Price Competition in a Channel Structure with a Common Retailer , 1991 .

[7]  Allan D. Shocker,et al.  Consideration set influences on consumer decision-making and choice: Issues, models, and suggestions , 1991 .

[8]  L. McAlister,et al.  Using a Variety-Seeking Model to Identify Substitute and Complementary Relationships among Competing Products , 1985 .

[9]  Rex Du,et al.  Leveraging Trends in Online Searches for Product Features in Market Response Modeling , 2015 .

[10]  William R. Dillon,et al.  LADI: A Latent Discriminant Model for Analyzing Marketing Research Data , 1989 .

[11]  Ritu Agarwal,et al.  Vocal Minority and Silent Majority: How Do Online Ratings Reflect Population Perceptions of Quality? , 2015, MIS Q..

[12]  Gary J. Russell,et al.  A Probabilistic Choice Model for Market Segmentation and Elasticity Structure , 1989 .

[13]  Sumit Sarkar,et al.  Protecting Privacy Against Record Linkage Disclosure: A Bounded Swapping Approach for Numeric Data , 2011, Inf. Syst. Res..

[14]  Terry Elrod,et al.  Internal analysis of market structure: Recent developments and future prospects , 1991 .

[15]  Steven M. Shugan Market Structure Research , 2014 .

[16]  Eric T. Bradlow,et al.  Automated Marketing Research Using Online Customer Reviews , 2011 .

[17]  J. Wilcox,et al.  The Pretest in Survey Research: Issues and Preliminary Findings , 1982 .

[18]  Thomas Reutterer,et al.  Building an Association Rules Framework for Target Marketing , 2007, GfKl.

[19]  Young-Hoon Park,et al.  Modeling Browsing Behavior at Multiple Websites , 2004 .

[20]  B. Ratchford,et al.  The Impact of the Internet on Information Search for Automobiles , 2003 .

[21]  Han Liu,et al.  Challenges of Big Data Analysis. , 2013, National science review.

[22]  Hal R. Varian,et al.  Beyond Big Data , 2014 .

[23]  Daniel M. Ringel,et al.  Visualizing Asymmetric Competition Among More Than 1, 000 Products Using Big Search Data , 2016, Mark. Sci..

[24]  J. Kruskal Nonmetric multidimensional scaling: A numerical method , 1964 .

[25]  Jean-Pierre Dubé,et al.  Appendix for : Competitive Price Discrimination Strategies in a Vertical Channel Using Aggregate Retail Data , 2002 .

[26]  Robert F. Easley,et al.  A Single Ideal Point Model for Market Structure Analysis , 1995 .

[27]  Gary J. Russell,et al.  Implications of Market Structure for Elasticity Structure , 1988 .

[28]  Jonathan Levin,et al.  Economics in the age of big data , 2014, Science.

[29]  John R. Hauser,et al.  Testing Competitive Market Structures , 1984 .

[30]  William R. Dillon,et al.  A Probabilistic Model For Testing Hypothesized Hierarchical Market Structures , 1985 .

[31]  Jacob Goldenberg,et al.  Mine Your Own Business: Market-Structure Surveillance Through Text Mining , 2012, Mark. Sci..

[32]  R. Armstrong The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business Is Selling Less of More , 2008 .

[33]  Peter Doyle,et al.  Nonmetric multidimensional scaling: a user's guide , 1973 .

[34]  Peter H. Bloch Seeking the Ideal Form: Product Design and Consumer Response , 1995 .

[35]  Lorin M. Hitt,et al.  Self Selection and Information Role of Online Product Reviews , 2007, Inf. Syst. Res..

[36]  Allan D. Shocker,et al.  Customer-Oriented Approaches to Identifying Product-Markets , 1979 .

[37]  Sumit Sarkar,et al.  Maximizing Accuracy of Shared Databases when Concealing Sensitive Patterns , 2005, Inf. Syst. Res..

[38]  Sumit Sarkar,et al.  Digression and Value Concatenation to Enable Privacy-Preserving Regression , 2014, MIS Q..

[39]  Bart J. Bronnenberg,et al.  Mapping Online Consumer Search , 2009 .

[40]  D. W. Schumann,et al.  Comparing Consumers' Recall of Prepurchase and Postpurchase Product Evaluation Experiences , 1994 .

[41]  D. Lazer,et al.  The Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis , 2014, Science.

[42]  Dimitris Kanellopoulos,et al.  Association Rules Mining: A Recent Overview , 2006 .

[43]  Viktor Mayer-Schnberger,et al.  Big Data: A Revolution That Will Transform How We Live, Work, and Think , 2013 .