WHAT MAKES FOR A HIT POP SONG ? WHAT MAKES FOR A POP SONG ?

The possibility of a hit song prediction algorithm is both academically interesting and industry motivated. While several companies currently attest to their ability to make such predictions, publicly available research suggests that current methods are unlikely to produce accurate predictions. Support Vector Machines were trained on song features and YouTube view counts to very limited success. We discuss the possibility that musical features alone cannot account for popularity. Given the lack of substantial findings in popularity position, we attempted a more feasible project. Current research into automated genre detection given features extracted from music has shown more promising. Using a combination of K-Means clustering and Support Vector Machines, as well as a Random Forest, we produced two automated classifiers that performs five times better than chance

[1]  Thierry Bertin-Mahieux,et al.  The Million Song Dataset , 2011, ISMIR.

[2]  François Pachet,et al.  Hit Song Science Is Not Yet a Science , 2008, ISMIR.

[3]  Chih-Jen Lin,et al.  LIBLINEAR: A Library for Large Linear Classification , 2008, J. Mach. Learn. Res..

[4]  Daniel P. W. Ellis,et al.  Song-Level Features and Support Vector Machines for Music Classification , 2005, ISMIR.

[5]  François Pachet,et al.  Exploring Billions of Audio Features , 2007, 2007 International Workshop on Content-Based Multimedia Indexing.