How climate proof is the European Union’s biodiversity policy?

Abstract In the European Union’s (EU) targets for the year 2020, climate change is recognised as a key challenge for biodiversity conservation. Meeting this challenge requires insight at three levels: the climate change impacts on biodiversity in the EU; the adaptation options put forward to alleviate these impacts; and how current EU policy can accommodate the adaptation options. These three topics have all been discussed in the peer-reviewed literature, but typically in isolation and with potential bias in attention for specific aspects such as species distribution shifts and network connectivity. Here, we bring these three levels together to identify matches and gaps between them, to guide policy development. In particular, we assess key concerns on the degree to which EU biodiversity policy facilitates climate change adaptation. Our findings indicate that, firstly, available adaptation options do not cover all impacts of climate change. Options are biased towards shifts and contractions in species distributions, while, e.g., disruption of species interactions is not addressed yet. Second, proposed adaptation options are often generic and lack spatial specificity, revealing an urgent need for guidance on identifying appropriate, albeit adaptive responses to the range of climate change impacts. Third, while EU biodiversity policy requires and supports adaptation in several ways, its narrow interpretation hinders its potential to conserve biodiversity under climate change. Remaining policy gaps include: (1) conservation targets need to better match conservation needs; (2) targets need to be set in a spatially coherent manner across national scales; (3) current monitoring appears insufficient to address these gaps.

[1]  D. Ojima,et al.  A Review of Climate‐Change Adaptation Strategies for Wildlife Management and Biodiversity Conservation , 2009, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[2]  B. Huntley,et al.  Impacts of climate warming and habitat loss on extinctions at species' low‐latitude range boundaries , 2006 .

[3]  M. Araújo,et al.  Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe , 2006 .

[4]  T. Murdock Regional Climate Projections for British Columbia: Tools and Uncertainty , 2008 .

[5]  B. Eickhout,et al.  Impacts of different climate stabilisation scenarios on plant species in Europe , 2006 .

[6]  J. Hellmann,et al.  An Assessment of Invasion Risk from Assisted Migration , 2008, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[7]  D. Roy,et al.  Species richness changes lag behind climate change , 2006, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[8]  J. Lawler Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Resource Management and Conservation Planning , 2009, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences.

[9]  Wilfried Thuiller,et al.  Biodiversity Funds and Conservation Needs in the EU Under Climate Change , 2014, Conservation letters.

[10]  L. Boddy,et al.  Rapid and Recent Changes in Fungal Fruiting Patterns , 2007, Science.

[11]  C. Iojă,et al.  The efficacy of Romania's protected areas network in conserving biodiversity , 2010 .

[12]  D. Gutiérrez,et al.  Changes to the elevational limits and extent of species ranges associated with climate change. , 2005, Ecology letters.

[13]  A. Cliquet,et al.  Adaptation to Climate Change Legal Challenges for Protected Areas , 2009 .

[14]  Mark A. Burgman,et al.  Treatment of uncertainty in conservation under climate change , 2013 .

[15]  M. Schwartz,et al.  A Framework for Debate of Assisted Migration in an Era of Climate Change , 2007, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[16]  Jacqueline de Chazal,et al.  Land-use and climate change within assessments of biodiversity change: A review , 2009 .

[17]  M. WallisDeVries,et al.  Beyond climate envelopes: effects of weather on regional population trends in butterflies , 2011, Oecologia.

[18]  J. Palutikof,et al.  Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability , 2001 .

[19]  O. Gordo,et al.  Impact of climate change on plant phenology in Mediterranean ecosystems , 2010 .

[20]  Mark P. Johnson,et al.  Protected Areas in Europe , 2008, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences.

[21]  C. Rahbek,et al.  Potential impacts of climate change on the distributions and diversity patterns of European mammals , 2007, Biodiversity and Conservation.

[22]  P. Leadley,et al.  Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity. , 2012, Ecology letters.

[23]  F. Valladares,et al.  Temporal dynamics of marginal steppic vegetation over a 26‐year period of substantial environmental change , 2009 .

[24]  A. Trouwborst Conserving European Biodiversity in a Changing Climate: The Bern Convention, the EU Birds and Habitats Directives and the Adaptation of Nature to Climate Change , 2011 .

[25]  J. V. Minnen,et al.  Climate change in Europe. 1. Impact on terrestrial ecosystems and biodiversity. A review , 2009, Agronomy for Sustainable Development.

[26]  M. Luoto,et al.  Species traits explain recent range shifts of Finnish butterflies , 2009 .

[27]  Joshua J. Lawler,et al.  Preparing for and managing change: climate adaptation for biodiversity and ecosystems , 2013 .

[28]  Gwyn Williams,et al.  Protected Areas and Climate Change; Reflections from a Practitioner’s Perspective , 2010 .

[29]  C. Barton,et al.  Ecological Restoration , 2005 .

[30]  G. Walther,et al.  Trends in the upward shift of alpine plants , 2005 .

[31]  Rik Leemans,et al.  Faculty Opinions recommendation of European phenological response to climate change matches the warming pattern. , 2006 .

[32]  J. Scharlemann,et al.  Review of the literature on the links between biodiversity and climate change: impacts, adaptation and mitigation. , 2009 .

[33]  C. Parmesan Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change , 2006 .

[34]  J. O’Hanley,et al.  Adapting landscapes to climate change: examples of climate-proof ecosystem networks and priority adaptation zones , 2008 .

[35]  T. Wilbanks,et al.  Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2007 .

[36]  F. Jiguet,et al.  The fate of European breeding birds under climate, land‐use and dispersal scenarios , 2012 .

[37]  A. Trouwborst International Nature Conservation Law and the Adaptation of Biodiversity to Climate Change: A Mismatch? , 2009 .

[38]  Martin Drechsler,et al.  Ecological and economic conditions and associated institutional challenges for conservation banking in dynamic landscapes , 2014 .

[39]  J. Verschuuren Climate Change: Rethinking Restoration in the European Union’s Birds and Habitats Directives , 2010, Ecological Restoration.

[40]  Dirk S. Schmeller,et al.  Priorities for biodiversity monitoring in Europe: A review of supranational policies and a novel scheme for integrative prioritization , 2013 .

[41]  D. Noble,et al.  Rise of the generalists: evidence for climate driven homogenization in avian communities , 2012 .

[42]  R. Hobbs,et al.  Ecological Restoration and Global Climate Change , 2006 .

[43]  P. Harrison,et al.  Modelling climate change impacts on species’ distributions at the European scale: implications for conservation policy , 2006 .

[44]  A. Proelss,et al.  Europe Needs a New Vision for a Natura 2020 Network , 2013 .

[45]  Robert J. Wilson,et al.  An elevational shift in butterfly species richness and composition accompanying recent climate change , 2007 .

[46]  O. Gordo,et al.  Phenology and climate change: a long-term study in a Mediterranean locality , 2005, Oecologia.

[47]  Bob W. Kooi,et al.  Adapt or disperse: understanding species persistence in a changing world , 2010 .

[48]  Peter Carey,et al.  Environmental stratifications as the basis for national, European and global ecological monitoring , 2013 .

[49]  Wilfried Thuiller,et al.  Climate change threatens European conservation areas , 2011, Ecology letters.

[50]  G. Mace,et al.  Beyond Predictions: Biodiversity Conservation in a Changing Climate , 2011, Science.

[51]  B. Briggs,et al.  Habitat banking—how it could work in the UK , 2009 .

[52]  G. Grabherr,et al.  Signals of range expansions and contractions of vascular plants in the high Alps: observations (1994–2004) at the GLORIA * master site Schrankogel, Tyrol, Austria , 2007 .

[53]  E. Zavaleta,et al.  Biodiversity management in the face of climate change: A review of 22 years of recommendations , 2009 .

[54]  Roger Jones,et al.  Regional climate projections , 2007 .

[55]  K. Böhning‐Gaese,et al.  Effects of Climate and Land‐Use Change on Species Abundance in a Central European Bird Community , 2007, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[56]  Corinne Le Quéré,et al.  Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis , 2013 .

[57]  J. Houghton,et al.  Climate Change 2013 - The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2014 .