Forecasting elections with non-representative polls
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] David Rothschild,et al. Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely , 2015 .
[2] A. Gelman,et al. Deep Interactions with MRP: Election Turnout and Voting Patterns Among Small Electoral Subgroups , 2013 .
[3] D. Yeager,et al. Comparing the Accuracy of RDD Telephone Surveys and Internet Surveys Conducted with Probability and Non-Probability Samples , 2011 .
[4] Anthony Moretti. The Persuadable Voter: Wedge Issues in Presidential Campaigns , 2010 .
[5] Andrew Gelman,et al. Bayesian Combination of State Polls and Election Forecasts , 2010, Political Analysis.
[6] Joseph Hilbe,et al. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models , 2009 .
[7] David Rothschild,et al. Forecasting Elections Comparing Prediction Markets, Polls, and Their Biases , 2009 .
[8] Jeffrey R. Lax,et al. How Should We Estimate Public Opinion in the States , 2009 .
[9] M. Keith Chen,et al. Modeling a Presidential Prediction Market , 2008, Manag. Sci..
[10] Robert S. Erikson,et al. Are Political Markets Really Superior to Polls as Election Predictors , 2008 .
[11] J. Krosnick,et al. The Causes and Consequences of Response Rates in Surveys by the News Media and Government Contractor Survey Research Firms , 2007 .
[12] Michael A. Dimock,et al. Gauging the Impact of Growing Nonresponse on Estimates from a National RDD Telephone Survey , 2006 .
[13] Simon Jackman,et al. Pooling the polls over an election campaign , 2005 .
[14] Andrew Gelman,et al. Bayesian Multilevel Estimation with Poststratification: State-Level Estimates from National Polls , 2004, Political Analysis.
[15] J. Wolfers,et al. Prediction Markets , 2003 .
[16] Larry M. Bartels,et al. Why Are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes Are So Predictable ? , 2004 .
[17] Jonathan N. Katz,et al. Poststratification Without Population Level Information on the Poststratifying Variable With Application to Political Polling , 2001 .
[18] C. Steeh,et al. Are They Really as Bad as They Seem? Nonresponse Rates at the End of the Twentieth Century , 2001 .
[19] James E. Campbell. The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote , 2000 .
[20] John R. Petrocik,et al. The Changing Politics of American Men: Understanding the Sources of the Gender Gap , 1999 .
[21] R. Little. Post-Stratification: A Modeler's Perspective , 1993 .
[22] P. Squire,et al. WHY THE 1936 LITERARY DIGEST POLL FAILED , 1988 .
[23] H. Gosnell. TECHNICAL RESEARCH HOW ACCURATE WERE THE POLLS , 1937 .