Intuitive and Deliberate Judgments Are Based on Common Principles This Article Has Been Corrected. See Last Page

A popular distinction in cognitive and social psychology has been between intuitive and deliberate judgments. This juxtaposition has aligned in dual-process theories of reasoning associative, unconscious, effortless, heuristic, and suboptimal processes (assumed to foster intuitive judgments) versus rule-based, conscious, effortful, analytic, and rational processes (assumed to characterize deliberate judgments). In contrast, we provide convergent arguments and evidence for a unified theoretical approach to both intuitive and deliberative judgments. Both are rule-based, and in fact, the very same rules can underlie both intuitive and deliberate judgments. The important open question is that of rule selection, and we propose a 2-step process in which the task itself and the individual's memory constrain the set of applicable rules, whereas the individual's processing potential and the (perceived) ecological rationality of the rule for the task guide the final selection from that set. Deliberate judgments are not generally more accurate than intuitive judgments; in both cases, accuracy depends on the match between rule and environment: the rules' ecological rationality. Heuristics that are less effortful and in which parts of the information are ignored can be more accurate than cognitive strategies that have more information and computation. The proposed framework adumbrates a unified approach that specifies the critical dimensions on which judgmental situations may vary and the environmental conditions under which rules can be expected to be successful.

[1]  G. Gigerenzer,et al.  “Intuitive and deliberate judgments are based on common principles”: Correction to Kruglanski and Gigerenzer (2011). , 2011 .

[2]  Victor DeMiguel,et al.  Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy? , 2009 .

[3]  Christopher J. Mitchell,et al.  The propositional nature of human associative learning , 2009, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[4]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  Homo Heuristicus: Why Biased Minds Make Better Inferences , 2009, Top. Cogn. Sci..

[5]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  Surrogates for Theory , 2009 .

[6]  C. Plott,et al.  Handbook of Experimental Economics Results , 2008 .

[7]  Timothy C. Rickard,et al.  Spacing and the transition from calculation to retrieval , 2008, Psychonomic bulletin & review.

[8]  Daniel Pichert,et al.  Green defaults : Information presentation and pro-environmental behaviour , 2008 .

[9]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  Night and Day, You Are the One , 2008, Psychological science.

[10]  Arndt Bröder,et al.  Challenging some common beliefs: Empirical work within the adaptive toolbox metaphor , 2008, Judgment and Decision Making.

[11]  Jonathan Evans Dual-processing accounts of reasoning, judgment, and social cognition. , 2008, Annual review of psychology.

[12]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  Chapter 107 The Recognition Heuristic: A Fast and Frugal Way to Investment Choice? , 2008 .

[13]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  Partitioning the domain of social inference: dual mode and systems models and their alternatives. , 2007, Annual review of psychology.

[14]  L. Schooler,et al.  The aging decision maker: cognitive aging and the adaptive selection of decision strategies. , 2007, Psychology and aging.

[15]  Jörg Rieskamp,et al.  The influence of information redundancy on probabilistic inferences , 2007, Memory & cognition.

[16]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Heuristic and linear models of judgment: matching rules and environments. , 2007, Psychological review.

[17]  A. Bröder,et al.  Predicting Wimbledon 2005 tennis results by mere player name recognition , 2007 .

[18]  S. Alexander Haslam,et al.  I Think, Therefore I Err? , 2007 .

[19]  G. Gigerenzer Gut Feelings: The Intelligence of the Unconscious , 2007 .

[20]  Lael J. Schooler,et al.  Why You Think Milan is Larger than Modena: Neural Correlates of the Recognition Heuristic , 2006, Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience.

[21]  Christian Frings,et al.  Who will win Wimbledon? The recognition heuristic in predicting sports events , 2006 .

[22]  Thorsten Pachur,et al.  On the psychology of the recognition heuristic: retrieval primacy as a key determinant of its use. , 2006, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[23]  G. Bodenhausen,et al.  Associative and propositional processes in evaluation: an integrative review of implicit and explicit attitude change. , 2006, Psychological bulletin.

[24]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  The role of task demands and processing resources in the use of base-rate and individuating information. , 2006, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[25]  David T. Neal,et al.  Habits—A Repeat Performance , 2006 .

[26]  Ying-yi Hong,et al.  Social Psychology of Culture , 2006 .

[27]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  TARGET ARTICLE: On Parametric Continuities in the World of Binary Either Ors , 2006 .

[28]  J. Rieskamp,et al.  SSL: a theory of how people learn to select strategies. , 2006, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[29]  Michaela Gummerum,et al.  A stage for the rational tail of the emotional dog: Roles of moral reasoning in group decision making , 2006 .

[30]  Arie W Kruglanski,et al.  Groups as epistemic providers: need for closure and the unfolding of group-centrism. , 2006, Psychological review.

[31]  Henry Brighton,et al.  Robust Inference with Simple Cognitive Models , 2006, AAAI Spring Symposium: Between a Rock and a Hard Place: Cognitive Science Principles Meet AI-Hard Problems.

[32]  H. Erb,et al.  Informational length and order of presentation as determinants of persuasion , 2005 .

[33]  R. Hertwig,et al.  How forgetting aids heuristic inference. , 2005, Psychological review.

[34]  J. Hutchinson,et al.  Simple heuristics and rules of thumb: Where psychologists and behavioural biologists might meet , 2005, Behavioural Processes.

[35]  H. J. Smith Night and Day, You Are the One , 2005, Science.

[36]  A. Raviv,et al.  Says Who?: Epistemic Authority Effects in Social Judgment , 2005 .

[37]  P. Richerson,et al.  The Origin and Evolution of Cultures , 2005 .

[38]  Osman Balci,et al.  Quality assessment, verification, and validation of modeling and simulation applications , 2004, Proceedings of the 2004 Winter Simulation Conference, 2004..

[39]  M. Osman An evaluation of dual-process theories of reasoning , 2004, Psychonomic bulletin & review.

[40]  F. Strack,et al.  Reflective and Impulsive Determinants of Social Behavior , 2004, Personality and social psychology review : an official journal of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology, Inc.

[41]  Scott M Krauchunas,et al.  How Dogs Navigate to Catch Frisbees , 2004, Psychological science.

[42]  Mie Augier,et al.  Models of a Man: Essays in Memory of Herbert A. Simon , 2004 .

[43]  Sian L. Beilock,et al.  Haste does not always make waste: Expertise, direction of attention, and speed versus accuracy in performing sensorimotor skills , 2004, Psychonomic bulletin & review.

[44]  V. Reyna CURRENT DIRECTIONS IN PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE How People Make Decisions That Involve Risk A Dual-Processes Approach , 2022 .

[45]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  Relevance override: on the reduced impact of "cues" under high-motivation conditions of persuasion studies. , 2004, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[46]  A. Yuille,et al.  Object perception as Bayesian inference. , 2004, Annual review of psychology.

[47]  A. Kruglanski The Psychology of Closed Mindedness , 2004 .

[48]  R. G. Ingalls,et al.  PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2002 WINTER SIMULATION CONFERENCE , 2002 .

[49]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  The Construction of Preference: Do Defaults Save Lives? , 2006 .

[50]  D. Kahneman A perspective on judgment and choice: mapping bounded rationality. , 2003, The American psychologist.

[51]  A. Bröder Decision making with the "adaptive toolbox": influence of environmental structure, intelligence, and working memory load. , 2003, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[52]  Joseph G. Johnson,et al.  Take The First: Option-generation and resulting choices , 2003 .

[53]  H. Erb,et al.  Searching for commonalities in human judgement: The parametric unimodel and its dual mode alternatives , 2003 .

[54]  M. Egidi,et al.  Near-Decomposability, organization and Evolution: Some Notes on Herbert Simon's Contribution , 2003 .

[55]  Nick Chater,et al.  Fast, frugal, and rational: How rational norms explain behavior , 2003 .

[56]  O. Curry Bounded Rationality : The Adaptive Toolbox , 2003 .

[57]  Ralph Hertwig,et al.  Parental investment: how an equity motive can produce inequality. , 2002, Psychological bulletin.

[58]  Sian L. Beilock,et al.  When paying attention becomes counterproductive: impact of divided versus skill-focused attention on novice and experienced performance of sensorimotor skills. , 2002, Journal of experimental psychology. Applied.

[59]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  Models of ecological rationality: the recognition heuristic. , 2002, Psychological review.

[60]  Z. Pizlo Perception viewed as an inverse problem , 2001, Vision Research.

[61]  J. Stevenson The cultural origins of human cognition , 2001 .

[62]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  The illusory second mode or, the cue is the message. , 1999 .

[63]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  Persuasion by a Single Route: A View From the Unimodel , 1999 .

[64]  S. Chaiken,et al.  Dual-process theories in social psychology , 1999 .

[65]  D. Goldstein,et al.  How good are simple heuristics , 1999 .

[66]  P. Todd,et al.  Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart , 1999 .

[67]  N. Chater,et al.  Similarity and rules: distinct? exhaustive? empirically distinguishable? , 1998, Cognition.

[68]  Michael A. Becker Social Psychology: Handbook of Basic Principles , 1998 .

[69]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  Motivated closing of the mind: "seizing" and "freezing". , 1996, Psychological review.

[70]  A. Kruglanski,et al.  On Leaping to Conclusions When Feeling Tired: Mental Fatigue Effects on Impressional Primacy , 1996 .

[71]  S. Sloman The empirical case for two systems of reasoning. , 1996 .

[72]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  How do we tell an association from a rule , 1996 .

[73]  J. Bargh Automaticity in social psychology. , 1996 .

[74]  E. Higgins,et al.  Social psychology: Handbook of basic principles. , 1996 .

[75]  E. Higgins Knowledge activation: Accessibility, applicability, and salience. , 1996 .

[76]  G Gigerenzer,et al.  Reasoning the fast and frugal way: models of bounded rationality. , 1996, Psychological review.

[77]  Gary F. Marcus,et al.  German Inflection: The Exception That Proves the Rule , 1995, Cognitive Psychology.

[78]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  The adaptive decision maker , 1993 .

[79]  N. Sanders,et al.  Journal of behavioral decision making: "The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting", 5 (1992) 39-52 , 1992 .

[80]  Lionel Standing,et al.  Verbal Memory Elicited by Ambient Odor , 1992, Perceptual and motor skills.

[81]  S Epstein,et al.  Irrational reactions to negative outcomes: evidence for two conceptual systems. , 1992, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[82]  C. Steele,et al.  Alcohol myopia. Its prized and dangerous effects. , 1990, The American psychologist.

[83]  D. Medin,et al.  The specific character of abstract thought: Categorization, problem-solving, and induction: Volume 5 , 1989 .

[84]  K. Holyoak,et al.  A Theory of Conditioning: Inductive Learning within Rule-Based Default Hierarchies. , 1989 .

[85]  Eliot R. Smith,et al.  Category accessibility as implicit memory , 1988 .

[86]  V. S. Ramachandran,et al.  Perception of shape from shading , 1988, Nature.

[87]  G. Logan Toward an instance theory of automatization. , 1988 .

[88]  G. Gigerenzer,et al.  Cognition as Intuitive Statistics , 1987 .

[89]  D. Funder,et al.  Errors and mistakes: evaluating the accuracy of social judgment. , 1987, Psychological bulletin.

[90]  Noam Chomsky Knowledge of Language , 1986 .

[91]  John T. Cacioppo,et al.  The Elaboration Likelihood Model of Persuasion , 1986, Advances in Experimental Social Psychology.

[92]  P. Tetlock Accountability: A social check on the fundamental attribution error. , 1985 .

[93]  W. Swann,et al.  Quest for accuracy in person perception: a matter of pragmatics. , 1984, Psychological review.

[94]  R. Baron,et al.  Toward an Ecological Theory of Social Perception , 1983 .

[95]  P. Pollard,et al.  On the conflict between logic and belief in syllogistic reasoning , 1983, Memory & cognition.

[96]  P. Holland,et al.  Behavioral Studies of Associative Learning in Animals , 1982 .

[97]  R. Sternberg Advances in the psychology of human intelligence , 1982 .

[98]  J. Cacioppo,et al.  The need for cognition. , 1982 .

[99]  W. Hamilton,et al.  The evolution of cooperation. , 1984, Science.

[100]  L. Jacoby,et al.  On the relationship between autobiographical memory and perceptual learning. , 1981, Journal of experimental psychology. General.

[101]  R. Dawes Judgment under uncertainty: The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making , 1979 .

[102]  R. L. Keeney,et al.  Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Trade-Offs , 1977, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[103]  Howard Thomas,et al.  Decisions with Multiple ObjectivesPreferences and Value Tradeoffs , 1977 .

[104]  Robert S. Baron,et al.  Distraction Can Enhance or Reduce Yielding to Propaganda: Thought Disruption Versus Effort Justification , 1976 .

[105]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Unit weighting schemes for decision making , 1975 .

[106]  R. Dawes,et al.  Linear models in decision making. , 1974 .

[107]  J. Bruner Beyond the Information Given: Studies in the Psychology of Knowing , 1973 .

[108]  A. Tversky,et al.  On the psychology of prediction , 1973 .

[109]  A. Tversky Elimination by aspects: A theory of choice. , 1972 .

[110]  R. Rescorla,et al.  A theory of Pavlovian conditioning : Variations in the effectiveness of reinforcement and nonreinforcement , 1972 .

[111]  Robert S. Wyer,et al.  Quantitative Prediction of Belief and Opinion Change: A Further Test of a Subjective Probability Model. , 1970 .

[112]  Jaakko Hintikka,et al.  On the Logic of Perception , 1969 .

[113]  P C Wason,et al.  Reasoning about a Rule , 1968, The Quarterly journal of experimental psychology.

[114]  Gustav Theodor Fechner,et al.  Elements of psychophysics , 1966 .

[115]  Hermann von Helmholtz,et al.  Treatise on Physiological Optics , 1962 .

[116]  M. J. Rosenberg,et al.  Attitude organization and change. An analysis of consistency among attitude components. , 1961 .

[117]  M. J. Rosenberg Attitude Organization and Change: An Analysis of Consistency among Attitude Components , 1980 .

[118]  R. Carnap Meaning and necessity : a study in semantics and modal logic , 1948 .

[119]  Rudolf Carnap,et al.  Meaning and Necessity , 1947 .

[120]  S. Asch Forming impressions of personality. , 1946, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[121]  F. W. Irwin Purposive Behavior in Animals and Men , 1932, The Psychological Clinic.

[122]  William James,et al.  The Meaning of Truth , 1909 .

[123]  W. James Pragmatism, A New Name for Some Old Ways of Thinking: Together With Four Related Essays Selected From The Meaning of Truth , 2010 .