Hindcast of Waves and Currents in Hurricane Katrina

Abstract Hurricane Katrina caused extensive damage to offshore oil and gas production facilities. In this study, the state-of-the-art ocean circulation (the Princeton Ocean Model) and surface wave (Wave Watch III) models, together with high-resolution analyzed winds from NOAA/Hurricane Research Division, are used to simulate the current and wave conditions during Katrina. The model simulation shows large (>15 m) surface waves and strong (>2 m s−1) wind-driven and inertial currents superposed on the Loop Current and Loop Current eddy. The simulated wave fields are verified with surface buoy and satellite altimetry observations; the agreement generally is better than 0.5 m, and the correlation coefficient is above 0.95. Also, while the observed 55-ft significant wave heights on National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) buoy 42040 surpassed the previous record in the Gulf of Mexico, circumstantial evidence suggests that waves as large as 70 ft might have occurred in the storm path. Comparison with the operational ana...

[1]  Hendrik L. Tolman,et al.  Source Terms in a Third-Generation Wind Wave Model , 1996 .

[2]  G. Mellor USERS GUIDE for A THREE-DIMENSIONAL, PRIMITIVE EQUATION, NUMERICAL OCEAN MODEL , 1998 .

[3]  Peter C. Chu,et al.  South China Sea Wind-Wave Characteristics. Part I: Validation of Wavewatch-III Using TOPEX/Poseidon Data , 2004 .

[4]  Lie-Yauw Oey,et al.  Bred-ensemble ocean forecast of loop current and rings , 2007 .

[5]  C. Guard,et al.  Tropical Cyclone Report , 1989 .

[6]  Fei Liu,et al.  Model Description and Validation , 2006 .

[7]  L. Oey,et al.  Hurricane-induced motions and interaction with ocean currents , 2007 .

[8]  N. Booij,et al.  A third-generation wave model for coastal regions-1 , 1999 .

[9]  Isaac Ginis,et al.  Effect of Surface Waves on Air–Sea Momentum Exchange. Part II: Behavior of Drag Coefficient under Tropical Cyclones , 2004 .

[10]  A. E. Gill Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics , 1982 .

[11]  Lie-Yauw Oey,et al.  Deep Eddy Energy and Topographic Rossby Waves in the Gulf of Mexico , 2002 .

[12]  Richard A. Anthes,et al.  Numerical Simulations of the Ocean's Nonlinear, Baroclinic Response to Translating hurricanes , 1978 .

[13]  Dong-Ping Wang Generation and propagation of inertial waves in the subtropical front , 1991 .

[14]  Remko Scharroo,et al.  Satellite altimetry and the intensification of Hurricane Katrina , 2005 .

[15]  Tal Ezer,et al.  Loop Current warming by Hurricane Wilma , 2006 .

[16]  Jun A. Zhang,et al.  Air-sea exchange in hurricanes : Synthesis of observations from the coupled boundary layer air-sea transfer experiment , 2007 .

[17]  Vijay Panchang,et al.  Large Waves in the Gulf of Mexico Caused by Hurricane Ivan , 2006 .

[18]  Isaac Ginis,et al.  Numerical Simulation of Sea Surface Directional Wave Spectra under Hurricane Wind Forcing , 2003 .

[19]  M. Powell,et al.  Reduced drag coefficient for high wind speeds in tropical cyclones , 2003, Nature.