The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Developing Countries

Abstract The largest known economic impact of climate change is upon agriculture because of the size and sensitivity of the sector. Warming causes the greatest harm to agriculture in developing countries primarily because many farms in the low latitudes already endure climates that are too hot. This paper reviews several studies that measure the size of the impact of warming on farms in developing countries. Even though adaptation will blunt some of the worst predicted outcomes, warming is expected to cause large damages to agriculture in developing countries over the next century.

[1]  A. Dinar,et al.  The distributional impact of climate change on rich and poor countries , 2006, Environment and Development Economics.

[2]  A. Dinar,et al.  Will African Agriculture Survive Climate Change , 2006 .

[3]  A. Dinar,et al.  The effect of development on the climate sensitivity of agriculture , 2001, Environment and Development Economics.

[4]  W. Nordhaus To Slow or Not to Slow: The Economics of the Greenhouse Effect , 1991 .

[5]  Masson-Delmotte,et al.  The Physical Science Basis , 2007 .

[6]  A. Dinar,et al.  Climate Change and Agriculture in Africa: Impact Assessment and Adaptation Strategies , 2008 .

[7]  P. Kirshen,et al.  Economic effects of climate change on US water resources , 1995 .

[8]  Michael Greenstone,et al.  The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Profits and Random Fluctuations in Weather , 2007 .

[9]  Robert Mendelsohn,et al.  Measuring Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change: A Structural Ricardian Model of African Livestock Management , 2008 .

[10]  A. Dinar,et al.  Climate Change, Agriculture, and Developing Countries: Does Adaptation Matter? , 1999 .

[11]  R. Tol Estimates of the Damage Costs of Climate Change. Part 1: Benchmark Estimates , 2002 .

[12]  James W. Jones,et al.  Global climate change and US agriculture , 1990, Nature.

[13]  A. Dinar,et al.  Climate, Water, and Agriculture , 2003, Land Economics.

[14]  Claude N. Williams,et al.  Climate analysis with satellite versus weather station data , 2007 .

[15]  R. Mendelsohn,et al.  A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on South American Farms , 2008 .

[16]  William D. Nordhaus,et al.  Climate impacts on aggregate farm value: accounting for adaptation , 1996 .

[17]  B. McCarl,et al.  The Impact of Climate Change on the United States Economy: Economic effects of climate change on US agriculture , 1999 .

[18]  K. Strzepek,et al.  Vulnerability assessment of water resources in Egypt to climatic change in the Nile Basin , 1996 .

[19]  Claude N. Williams,et al.  What explains agricultural performance: climate normals or climate variance? , 2007 .

[20]  A. Dinar,et al.  Adapting to Climate Change Mosaically: An Analysis of African Livestock Management by Agro-Ecological Zones , 2009 .

[21]  R. Mendelsohn,et al.  An Analysis of Livestock Choice: Adapting to Climate Change in Latin American Farms , 2007 .

[22]  R. Mendelsohn,et al.  An Analysis of Crop Choice: Adapting to Climate Change in Latin American Farms , 2007 .

[23]  R. Mendelsohn,et al.  Crop switching as a strategy for adapting to climate change , 2008 .

[24]  R. Mendelsohn,et al.  A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on African Cropland , 2007 .

[25]  Richard S. J. Tol,et al.  New Estimates of the Damage Costs of Climate Change , 1998 .

[26]  Robert Mendelsohn,et al.  Animal husbandry in Africa: Climate change impacts and adaptations , 2008 .

[27]  R. Mendelsohn,et al.  An analysis of crop choice: Adapting to climate change in South American farms , 2008 .

[28]  A. Lotsch Sensitivity of Cropping Patterns in Africa to Transient Climate Change , 2007 .

[29]  C. Rosenzweig,et al.  Agriculture in a changing climate: impacts and adaptation , 1996 .

[30]  J. Parikh,et al.  Indian agriculture and climate sensitivity , 2001 .

[31]  Jikun Huang,et al.  Can China Continue Feeding Itself? The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture , 2008 .

[32]  William R. Cline,et al.  The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: Comment , 1996 .

[33]  C. Rosenzweig,et al.  Potential impact of climate change on world food supply , 1994, Nature.

[34]  William R. Cline,et al.  Global warming and agriculture , 2007 .

[35]  W. Michael Hanemann,et al.  Will U.S. Agriculture Really Benefit from Global Warming? Accounting for Irrigation in the Hedonic Approach , 2004 .

[36]  R. Mendelsohn,et al.  A structural ricardian analysis of climate change impacts and adaptations in African agriculture , 2008 .