Predicting cognitive and mental health traits and their polygenic architecture using large-scale brain connectomics

Cognitive abilities and mental disorders are complex traits sharing a largely unknown neuronal basis and aetiology. Their genetic architectures are highly polygenic and overlapping, which is supported by heterogeneous phenotypic expression and substantial clinical overlap. Brain network analysis provides a non-invasive means of dissecting biological heterogeneity yet its sensitivity, specificity and validity in clinical applications remains a major challenge. We used machine learning on static and dynamic temporal synchronization between all brain network nodes in 10,343 healthy individuals from the UK Biobank to predict (i) cognitive and mental health traits and (ii) their genetic underpinnings. We predicted age and sex to serve as our reference point. The traits of interest included individual level educational attainment and fluid intelligence (cognitive) and dimensional measures of depression, anxiety, and neuroticism (mental health). We predicted polygenic scores for educational attainment, fluid intelligence, depression, anxiety, and different neuroticism traits, in addition to schizophrenia. Beyond high accuracy for age and sex, permutation tests revealed above chance-level prediction accuracy for educational attainment and fluid intelligence. Educational attainment and fluid intelligence were mainly negatively associated with static brain connectivity in frontal and default mode networks, whereas age showed positive correlations with a more widespread pattern. In comparison, prediction accuracy for polygenic scores was at chance level across traits, which may serve as a benchmark for future studies aiming to link genetic factors and fMRI-based brain connectomics. Significance Although cognitive abilities and susceptibility to mental disorders reflect individual differences in brain function, neuroimaging is yet to provide a coherent account of the neuronal underpinnings. Here, we aimed to map the brain functional connectome of (i) cognitive and mental health traits and (ii) their polygenic architecture in a large population-based sample. We discovered high prediction accuracy for age and sex, and above-chance accuracy for educational attainment and intelligence (cognitive). In contrast, accuracies for dimensional measures of depression, anxiety and neuroticism (mental health), and polygenic scores across traits, were at chance level. These findings support the link between cognitive abilities and brain connectomics and provide a reference for studies mapping the brain connectomics of mental disorders and their genetic architectures.

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