MAP D-PHASE: Demonstrating forecast capabilities for flood events in the Alpine region.
暂无分享，去创建一个
Volker Wulfmeyer | Andreas Behrendt | Silvio Davolio | Massimiliano Zappa | Felix Fundel | Simon Jaun | Felix Ament | Christian Keil | Ken Mylne | Urs Germann | Andrea Rossa | Hans Volkert | Marco Arpagaus | Mathias W. Rotach | M. Corazza | Roberto Ranzi | Manfred Dorninger | Christoph Schär | Giovanna Grossi | Johannes Werhahn | André Walser | Andrea Montani | Theresa Gorgas | C. Marsigli | Alessandro Hering | Andrea Buzzi | L. Panziera | Ron McTaggart-Cowan | Christof Appenzeller | Michael Denhard | Francois Bouttier | Yann Seity | Daniel Santos-Munoz | Michael Staudinger | C. Schär | S. Vogt | U. Germann | C. Appenzeller | F. Bouttier | M. Zappa | F. Fundel | J. Frick | S. Jaun | C. Hegg | F. Ament | R. Ranzi | H. Volkert | V. Wulfmeyer | G. Grossi | J. Werhahn | M. Corazza | E. Richard | M. Rotach | K. Mylne | C. Keil | R. McTaggart-Cowan | T. Gorgas | M. Dorninger | A. Montani | A. Hering | L. Panziera | A. Behrendt | Andre Walser | A. Buzzi | M. Staudinger | A. Rossa | M. Denhard | M. Arpagaus | H. Bauer | P. Ambrosetti | S. Davolio | Y. Seity | C. Wunram | C. Marsigli | Lionel Fontannaz | D. Santos-Muñoz | Marco Stoll | Yong Wang | Liniger | Rotach Mw | Paolo Ambrosetti | H. S. Bauer | Bauer Hs | Lionel Fontannaz | Jacqueline Frick | Christoph Hegg | Liniger Ma | E. Richard | Marco Stoll | S. Vogt | Yong Wang | C. Wunram | Liniger Ma | Rotach Mw | Bauer Hs | R. McTaggart‐Cowan
[1] Christoph Schär,et al. Predictability of Precipitation in a Cloud-Resolving Model , 2004 .
[2] Richard Rotunno,et al. Lessons on orographic precipitation from the Mesoscale Alpine Programme , 2007 .
[3] M. W. Rotach. Lessons learned on extreme hydrological events from MAP D-PHASE , 2008 .
[4] M. Xue,et al. High-Resolution Large-Eddy Simulations of Flow in a Steep Alpine Valley. Part II: Flow Structure and Heat Budgets , 2006 .
[5] R. Steinacker,et al. Performance of the surface observation network during MAP , 2004 .
[6] Mathias W. Rotach,et al. Neue Entwicklungen in der Wettervorhersage: Potential und Anforderungen für Anwender , 2007 .
[7] Donald W. Burgess,et al. The Sydney 2000 World Weather Research Programme Forecast Demonstration Project: Overview and Current Status , 2003 .
[8] Michael Sprenger,et al. The Real-Time Ultrafinescale Forecast Support during the Special Observing Period of the MAP , 2002 .
[9] R. Houze,et al. The MAP special observing period , 2001 .
[10] R. Ranzi,et al. Hydrological and meteorological aspects of floods in the Alps: an overview , 2003 .
[11] R. Steinacker,et al. Thermally and Dynamically Induced Pressure Features over Complex Terrain from High-Resolution Analyses , 2007 .
[12] Volker Wulfmeyer,et al. Development and optimization of the IPM MM5 GPS slant path 4DVAR system , 2008 .
[13] Balaji Rajagopalan,et al. Categorical Climate Forecasts through Regularization and Optimal Combination of Multiple GCM Ensembles , 2002 .
[14] I. Zawadzki,et al. Predictability of Precipitation from Continental Radar Images. Part IV: Limits to Prediction. , 2006 .
[15] M. Zappa,et al. Real-time demonstration of hydrological ensemble forecasts in map d-phase , 2009 .
[16] S. Vogt,et al. MAP D‐PHASE: real‐time demonstration of hydrological ensemble prediction systems , 2008 .
[17] G. Zängl,et al. CONVECTIVE INITATION IN THE BLACK FOREST REGION IN HIGH-RESOLUTION MM5 SIMULATIONS , 2007 .
[18] F. Molteni,et al. A strategy for high‐resolution ensemble prediction. I: Definition of representative members and global‐model experiments , 2001 .
[19] J. Whitaker,et al. REFORECASTS An Important Dataset for Improving Weather Predictions , 2006 .
[20] R. Steinacker,et al. A Transparent Method for the Analysis and Quality Evaluation of Irregularly Distributed and Noisy Observational Data , 2000 .
[21] François Lalaurette,et al. Early detection of abnormal weather conditions using a probabilistic extreme forecast index , 2003 .
[22] A. Montani,et al. A spatial verification method applied to the evaluation of high‐resolution ensemble forecasts , 2008 .
[23] Yuki Honda,et al. An Assimilation and Forecasting Experiment of the Nerima Heavy Rainfa11 with a Cloud-Resolving Nonhydrostatic 4-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation System , 2007 .
[24] G. Galli,et al. Nowcasting thunderstorms in the Alpine region using a radar based adaptive thresholding scheme , 2004 .
[25] D. Richardson. Skill and relative economic value of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system , 2000 .
[26] F. Molteni,et al. The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: Methodology and validation , 1996 .
[27] Wei Yu,et al. Hydrometeorological aspects of the Real-Time Ultrafinescale Forecast Support during the Special Observing Period of the MAP * , 2003 .
[28] K. Jasper,et al. On ALADIN precipitation modeling and validation in an Alpine watershed , 2003 .
[29] D. Leuenberger. High-resolution radar rainfall assimilation: Exploratory studies with latent heat nudging , 2005 .
[30] Christoph Schär,et al. Convection-resolving precipitation forecasting and its predictability in Alpine river catchments , 2004 .
[31] Volker Wulfmeyer,et al. Four-Dimensional Variational Assimilation of Water Vapor Differential Absorption Lidar Data: The First Case Study within IHOP_2002 , 2006 .
[32] M. Zappa,et al. Hydrological aspects of the Mesoscale Alpine Programme: findings from field experiments and simulations , 2007 .
[33] G. Grell,et al. A description of the fifth-generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5) , 1994 .
[34] Simon Jaun,et al. A probabilistic view on the August 2005 floods in the upper Rhine catchment , 2008 .
[35] H. Volkert,et al. Inter‐domain cooperation for mesoscale atmospheric laboratories: The mesoscale Alpine programme as a rich study case , 2007 .
[36] F. Battaglia,et al. A climatological study of thunderstorm activity in the Po Valley , 1995 .
[37] Chris G. Collier,et al. Quantitative precipitation forecasting , 2000 .
[38] W. Briggs. Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences , 2007 .
[39] Maorong Ge,et al. Validation of GPS slant delays using water vapour radiometers and weather models , 2008 .
[40] U. Germann,et al. REAL—Ensemble radar precipitation estimation for hydrology in a mountainous region , 2009 .
[41] S. Scherrer. Interannual climate variability in the European and Alpine region , 2006 .
[42] Richard Rotunno,et al. Numerical Analysis of a Mediterranean ``Hurricane'' over Southeastern Italy , 2008 .
[43] R. Buizza,et al. The Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction EXperiment (HEPEX) , 2006 .
[44] Thomas M. Hamill,et al. Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts Based on Reforecast Analogs: Theory and Application , 2006 .
[45] P. Malguzzi,et al. High resolution simulations of a flash flood near Venice. , 2009 .
[46] C. Schär,et al. Atmospheric Predictability at Synoptic Versus Cloud-Resolving Scales , 2007 .
[47] C. Kottmeier,et al. The convective and orographically-induced precipitation study: A research and development project of the world weather research program , 2008 .
[48] Christoph Schär,et al. Probabilistic Flood Forecasting with a Limited-Area Ensemble Prediction System: Selected Case Studies , 2007 .
[49] Tomas Vitvar,et al. A comparative study in modelling runoff and its components in two mountainous catchments , 2003 .
[50] Mark A. Liniger,et al. The discrete brier and ranked probability skill scores , 2007 .
[51] Steven E. Koch,et al. An Overview of the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002) and Some Preliminary Highlights , 2004 .
[52] Martin Leutbecher,et al. The Impact of Moist Singular Vectors and Horizontal Resolution on Short-Range Limited-Area Ensemble Forecasts for Two European Winter Storms , 2006 .
[53] S. Jaun,et al. On evaluation of ensemble precipitation forecasts with observation-based ensembles , 2007 .
[54] M. Zappa,et al. Technical Note: Updating procedure for flood forecasting with conceptual HBV-type models , 2006 .
[55] Roberto Buizza,et al. A strategy for high‐resolution ensemble prediction. II: Limited‐area experiments in four Alpine flood events , 2001 .
[56] Tiziana Paccagnella,et al. The COSMO-LEPS mesoscale ensemble system: validation of the methodology and verification , 2005 .
[57] G. Zängl,et al. Quantitative precipitation forecasting in the Alps: The advances achieved by the Mesoscale Alpine Programme , 2007 .
[58] U. Germann,et al. Radar precipitation measurement in a mountainous region , 2006 .
[59] Cathy Hohenegger,et al. Predictability Mysteries in Cloud-Resolving Models , 2006 .
[60] C. Schär,et al. A PRECIPITATION CLIMATOLOGY OF THE ALPS FROM HIGH-RESOLUTION RAIN-GAUGE OBSERVATIONS , 1998 .
[61] R. Steinacker,et al. A Mesoscale Data Analysis and Downscaling Method over Complex Terrain , 2006 .
[62] C. Frei,et al. Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: Intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models , 2006 .
[63] Günther Zängl,et al. An Improved Method for Computing Horizontal Diffusion in a Sigma-Coordinate Model and Its Application to Simulations over Mountainous Topography , 2002 .
[64] Renaud Hostache,et al. Propagation of uncertainties in coupled hydro-meteorological forecasting systems: a stochastic approach for the assessment of the total predictive uncertainty. , 2011 .
[65] Roberto Ranzi,et al. Runoff measurements and hydrological modelling for the estimation of rainfall volumes in an Alpine basin , 2003 .
[66] Giorgio Boni,et al. A hydrometeorological approach for probabilistic flood forecast , 2005 .
[67] Jens Christian Refsgaard,et al. Validation and Intercomparison of Different Updating Procedures for Real-Time Forecasting , 1997 .
[68] R. Steinacker,et al. On the interpolation of precipitation data over complex terrain , 2008 .
[69] Dino Zardi,et al. On the boundary‐layer structure over highly complex terrain: Key findings from MAP , 2007 .