Dynaski, an Agent-based Model to Simulate Skiers in a Ski area

Abstract: During winter holidays, most ski resorts expect a lot of skiers, who then congest the ski lifts in the corresponding ski areas. This article presents the first full multi-agent model of skiers in a ski area. Our purpose is to offer a decision-making tool for the operator and design engineering. Supply is represented in a graph of the ski area with slopes and ski lifts. Demand is addressed in a disaggregated way based on users’ skiing abilities and the number of skiers per group. Each group moves around autonomously within the network. Three sub-models structure the agents’ behavior. The choice model defines the itinerary of each agent, the queue model manages ski-lift congestion and the return journey model assists users in returning to their original point before the closing time of the ski lifts. A software has been implemented and a case study on a large ski area, La Plagne, has been performed to illustrate the effect of the replacement of a chair lift on the whole ski area.

[1]  M. Bierlaire,et al.  Discrete Choice Methods and their Applications to Short Term Travel Decisions , 1999 .

[2]  Zhao Zhang,et al.  Agent-based Modeling for Evacuation Traffic Analysis in Megaregion Road Networks , 2015, ANT/SEIT.

[3]  C. Little,et al.  Voluntary environmental programs at an alpine ski area: visitor perceptions, attachment, value orientations, and specialization. , 2013 .

[4]  Michael A. King,et al.  Ensemble methods for advanced skier days prediction , 2014, Expert Syst. Appl..

[5]  I. Brissaud Distributions fractales des Pistes de Ski et des Remontées Mécaniques. Exemple de la station de Serre Chevalier , 2007 .

[6]  Ana L. C. Bazzan,et al.  The impact of real-time information in a two-route scenario using agent-based simulation , 2002 .

[7]  Davy Janssens,et al.  Multi-agent simulation of individual mobility behavior in carpooling , 2014 .

[8]  Franz Prettenthaler,et al.  Does artificial snow production pay under future climate conditions? – A case study for a vulnerable ski area in Austria , 2014 .

[9]  Nicholas R. Jennings,et al.  A Roadmap of Agent Research and Development , 2004, Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems.

[10]  Mikhail F. Kanevski,et al.  Artificial Snow Optimization in Winter Sport Destinations Using a Multi-agent Simulation , 2011, PAAMS.

[11]  Martin Falk,et al.  A survival analysis of ski lift companies , 2013 .

[12]  Kara M. Kockelman,et al.  The Travel and Environmental Implications of Shared Autonomous Vehicles, Using Agent-Based Model Scenarios , 2014 .