INTEGER PROGRAMMING APPROACH TO CONTROL INVASIVE SPECIES SPREAD BASED ON CELLULAR AUTOMATON MODEL

We propose a new optimization model that captures the spatial dynamics of invaders by a cellular automaton model and finds the optimal solution to control its spread within a 0–1 integer programming framework. The model seeks a solution by minimizing the total costs to implement treatments for preventing the spread and damage caused by invaders’ colonization. By incorporating a cellular automaton model governed by state- and distance-dependent probability rule of colonization, the model is transformed into a linear model, so that a 0–1 integer programming formulation is used to evaluate and compare an optimal allocation of treatments on colonized and uncolonized areas. The study uses a hypothetical map to show that treatments on colonized cells are more effective when implemented at the front line of the invaders, while treatments on uncolonized areas are effective when conducted with some distance or buffer zone away from the front line. These buffer zones are likely to be colonized regardless of treatment. Under annual budget limits, treatments on colonized cells are implemented first. With heterogeneity in the invaders’ dynamics, the proposed optimization model provides an optimal allocation of treatments much different from the solution with homogeneous environment. However, treatment at the front line of the invading species is always recommended.

[1]  Ferenc Szidarovszky,et al.  A dynamic model of controlling invasive species , 2011, Comput. Math. Appl..

[2]  Frances R. Homans,et al.  A Spatial Analysis of the Economic and Ecological Efficacy of Land Retirement , 2004 .

[3]  Suzana Dragicevic,et al.  A fuzzy-constrained cellular automata model of forest insect infestations , 2006 .

[4]  Yu Wei,et al.  An optimization model for locating fuel treatments across a landscape to reduce expected fire losses , 2008 .

[5]  Christopher Bone,et al.  Evaluating forest management practices using a GIS-based cellular automata modeling approach with multispectral imagery , 2007 .

[6]  Sergio A. Cannas,et al.  Species Invasiveness in Biological Invasions: A Modelling Approach , 2002, Biological Invasions.

[7]  James E. Wilen,et al.  Optimal spatial control of biological invasions , 2012 .

[8]  Bin Jia,et al.  Evacuation dynamics with fire spreading based on cellular automaton , 2011 .

[9]  Mauricio Acuna,et al.  Integrated spatial fire and forest management planning , 2010 .

[10]  Richard A. Wadsworth,et al.  Simulating the spread and management of alien riparian weeds: are they out of control? , 2000 .

[11]  George C. Hurtt,et al.  Reid's Paradox of Rapid Plant Migration Dispersal theory and interpretation of paleoecological records , 1998 .

[12]  Kojiro Watanabe,et al.  Cellular automata modeling of fire spread in built-up areas - A tool to aid community-based planning for disaster mitigation , 2007, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[13]  Sergio A Cannas,et al.  Modelling biological invasions: species traits, species interactions, and habitat heterogeneity. , 2003, Mathematical biosciences.

[14]  Alan Hastings,et al.  Finding optimal control strategies for invasive species: a density‐structured model for Spartina alterniflora , 2004 .

[15]  Alexei A. Sharov,et al.  MODEL OF SLOWING THE SPREAD OF GYPSY MOTH (LEPIDOPTERA: LYMANTRIIDAE) WITH A BARRIER ZONE , 1998 .

[16]  Niklaus E. Zimmermann,et al.  Space matters when defining effective management for invasive plants , 2014 .

[17]  Ing-Marie Gren,et al.  OPTIMAL MANAGEMENT OF INVASIVE SPECIES WITH DIFFERENT REPRODUCTION AND SURVIVAL STRATEGIES , 2012 .

[18]  John Hof,et al.  OPTIMIZING SPATIAL AND DYNAMIC POPULATION‐BASED CONTROL STRATEGIES FOR INVADING FOREST PESTS , 1998 .

[19]  James N. Sanchirico,et al.  Invasive species management in a spatially heterogeneous world: Effects of uniform policies , 2010 .

[20]  Robert G. Haight,et al.  A bioeconomic analysis of an emerald ash borer invasion of an urban forest with multiple jurisdictions , 2014 .

[21]  A. Sharov,et al.  Bioeconomics of Managing the Spread of Exotic Pest Species with Barrier Zones , 2004, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[22]  Sergio A. Cannas,et al.  Modeling plant spread in forest ecology using cellular automata , 1999 .

[23]  Rebecca S Epanchin-Niell,et al.  Designing cost-efficient surveillance for early detection and control of multiple biological invaders. , 2014, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

[24]  Jeffrey L. Arthur,et al.  Optimal spatial patterns of fuel management and timber harvest with fire risk , 2010 .

[25]  Roger White,et al.  Modeling Land-Use Change in a Decision-Support System for Coastal-Zone Management , 2001 .

[26]  Eric P. M. Grist,et al.  The significance of spatio-temporal neighbourhood on plant competition for light and space , 1999 .

[27]  Marcelo A. Montemurro,et al.  Comparing short and long-distance dispersal: modelling and field case studies , 2011 .

[28]  Marjolaine Frésard,et al.  Sustainable harvest of a native species and control of an invasive species: A bioeconomic model of a commercial fishery invaded by a space competitor , 2014 .

[29]  James Wilen,et al.  Optimal Control of Spatial-Dynamic Processes: The Case of Biological Invasions , 2011 .

[30]  H. Balzter,et al.  Cellular automata models for vegetation dynamics , 1998 .

[31]  Suzana Dragicevic,et al.  Design and implementation of an integrated GIS-based cellular automata model to characterize forest fire behaviour , 2008 .

[32]  Alan Hastings,et al.  Minimizing invader impacts: striking the right balance between removal and restoration. , 2007, Journal of theoretical biology.

[33]  James N. Sanchirico,et al.  Spatial Management of Invasive Species: Pathways and Policy Options , 2010 .

[34]  James E. Wilen,et al.  Economics of Spatial-Dynamic Processes , 2007 .

[35]  Mark A. Finney,et al.  A computational method for optimising fuel treatment locations , 2006 .

[36]  Alan Hastings,et al.  Cost-effective management of invasive species using linear-quadratic control , 2010 .

[37]  D. Yemshanov,et al.  There is no silver bullet: The value of diversification in planning invasive species surveillance , 2014 .

[38]  G Engelen,et al.  Using cellular automata for integrated modelling of socio-environmental systems , 1995, Environmental monitoring and assessment.

[39]  L R Carrasco,et al.  Optimal and robust control of invasive alien species spreading in homogeneous landscapes , 2010, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.

[40]  Halil I. Cobuloglu,et al.  An age-structured bio-economic model of invasive species management: insights and strategies for optimal control , 2015, Biological Invasions.

[41]  Stephen N. Matthews,et al.  Modeling the invasive emerald ash borer risk of spread using a spatially explicit cellular model , 2010, Landscape Ecology.

[42]  David Aadland,et al.  A dynamic bioeconomic analysis of mountain pine beetle epidemics , 2010 .

[43]  D. Williams,et al.  Colonization patterns of the invasive Brazilian peppertree, Schinus terebinthifolius, in Florida , 2007, Heredity.

[44]  Kimberly Burnett,et al.  Spatial Economic Analysis of Early Detection and Rapid Response Strategies for an Invasive Species , 2010 .

[45]  Norma L. Fowler,et al.  Habitat fragmentation caused by woody plant encroachment inhibits the spread of an invasive grass , 2010 .

[46]  T. Dawson,et al.  Long-distance plant dispersal and habitat fragmentation: identifying conservation targets for spatial landscape planning under climate change , 2005 .