The European energy outlook to 2010 and 2030

This paper presents a consistent EU energy and energy related emissions outlook for the period to 2030. The baseline scenario for the EU was developed using the PRIMES model. The first section presents the key energy features of the baseline outlook of the European energy system. The second section deals with the role of technology progress in the demand and the supply side. Emphasis is given to the role of technological improvement both in the short and the long run. Finally, the paper concludes with the key messages of the outlook.