Relatedness and Technological Change in Cities: The rise and fall of technological knowledge in U.S. metropolitan areas from 1981 to 2010

This paper investigates by means of USPTO patent data whether technological relatedness was a crucial driving force behind technological change in 366 U.S. cities from 1981 to 2010. Based on a three-way fixed effects model, we find that the entry probability of a new technology in a city increases by 30 percent if the level of relatedness with existing technologies in the city increases by 10 percent, while the exit probability of an existing technology decreases by 8 percent.

[1]  Lucia Piscitello,et al.  Corporate diversification, coherence and economic performance , 2004 .

[2]  G. Dosi Technological Paradigms and Technological Trajectories , 1993 .

[3]  Timothy F. Leslie,et al.  Rethinking the Regional Knowledge Production Function , 2007 .

[4]  Robert Hassink,et al.  Locked in Decline? On the Role of Regional Lock-ins in Old Industrial Areas , 2010 .

[5]  Steven Klepper,et al.  Disagreements, Spinoffs, and the Evolution of Detroit as the Capital of the U.S. Automobile Industry , 2007, Manag. Sci..

[6]  Catherine Beaudry,et al.  Who's right, Marshall or Jacobs? The localization versus urbanization debate , 2009 .

[7]  Frank Neffke,et al.  Productive Places : The influence of technological change and relatedness on agglomeration externalities , 2004 .

[8]  Ron Boschma,et al.  The Emergence of New Industries at the Regional Level in S pain: A Proximity Approach Based on Product Relatedness , 2013 .

[9]  A. Malmberg,et al.  Myopia, knowledge development and cluster evolution , 2007 .

[10]  Araújo,et al.  An Evolutionary theory of economic change , 1983 .

[11]  A. Malmberg,et al.  The Competitiveness of Firms and Regions , 1999 .

[12]  A. Atkinson,et al.  A New View of Technological Change , 1969 .

[13]  L. Nesta Knowledge and productivity in the world's largest manufacturing corporations , 2008 .

[14]  Z. Griliches Patent Statistics as Economic Indicators: a Survey , 1990 .

[15]  G. Duranton,et al.  Diversity and Specialisation in Cities: Why, Where and When Does it Matter? , 1999 .

[16]  K. Frenken Applied Evolutionary Economics and Economic Geography , 2007 .

[17]  César A. Hidalgo,et al.  The Product Space Conditions the Development of Nations , 2007, Science.

[18]  José Lobo,et al.  Metropolitan patenting, inventor agglomeration and social networks: A tale of two effects , 2008 .

[19]  Stefano Usai,et al.  Externalities, knowledge spillovers and the spatial distribution of innovation , 2000 .

[20]  Daniel A. Levinthal,et al.  ABSORPTIVE CAPACITY: A NEW PERSPECTIVE ON LEARNING AND INNOVATION , 1990 .

[21]  F. Malerba,et al.  Knowledge-relatedness in firm technological diversification , 2003 .

[22]  Frederic M. Scherer,et al.  Innovation and Growth: Schumpeterian Perspectives , 1986 .

[23]  Ron Boschma,et al.  How Do Regions Diversify over Time? Industry Relatedness and the Development of New Growth Paths in Regions , 2011 .

[24]  C. Lawson,et al.  Towards a competence theory of the region , 1999 .

[25]  David L. Rigby,et al.  Mapping Knowledge Space and Technological Relatedness in US Cities , 2013 .

[26]  Keith Chapman,et al.  The International Petrochemical Industry , 1991 .

[27]  S. Winter,et al.  An evolutionary theory of economic change , 1983 .

[28]  S. Winter,et al.  Understanding corporate coherence: Theory and evidence , 1994 .

[29]  Meric S. Gertler,et al.  Tacit knowledge and the economic geography of context, or The undefinable tacitness of being (there) , 2003 .

[30]  M. Feldman,et al.  Innovation in Cities: Science-Based Diversity, Specialization and Localized Competition , 1999 .

[31]  Guido Buenstorf,et al.  No place like home? Relocation, capabilities, and firm survival in the German machine tool industry after World War II , 2011 .

[32]  Andrew A. Toole,et al.  Is Public R&D a Complement or Substitute for Private R&D? A Review of the Econometric Evidence , 1999 .

[33]  K. Frenken,et al.  Related Variety, Unrelated Variety and Regional Economic Growth , 2007 .

[34]  Keith Chapman,et al.  The International Petrochemical Industry: Evolution and Location , 1991 .

[35]  Manuel Trajtenberg,et al.  Patents, Citations, and Innovations: A Window on the Knowledge Economy , 2002 .

[36]  L. Bettencourt,et al.  Invention in the city: Increasing returns to patenting as a scaling function of metropolitan size , 2007 .

[37]  R. Heiner The Origin of Predictable Behavior , 1983 .

[38]  Olof Ejermo Technological diversity and Jacobs' externality hypothesis revisited , 2005 .

[39]  Ramon Ferrer i Cancho,et al.  The small world of human language , 2001, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.

[40]  D. Archibugi,et al.  Specialization and size of technological activities in industrial countries: The analysis of patent data , 1992 .

[41]  Anders Malmberg,et al.  Towards an explanation of regional specialization and industry agglomeration , 1997 .

[42]  Ron Boschma,et al.  Technological relatedness and regional branching , 2009 .

[43]  F. Quatraro,et al.  The emergence of new technology-based sectors in European regions: A proximity-based analysis of nanotechnology , 2014 .

[44]  M. Storper The Resurgence of Regional Economies, Ten Years Later , 1995 .

[45]  Edward L. Glaeser,et al.  Reinventing Boston: 1630–2003 , 2005 .

[46]  Simone Strambach,et al.  Path Dependence and Path Plasticity: The Co-evolution of Institutions and Innovation – the German Customized Business Software Industry , 2010 .

[47]  O. Sorenson,et al.  Technology as a complex adaptive system: evidence from patent data , 2001 .

[48]  Rikard Eriksson,et al.  Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography # 10 . 04 Localized Spillovers and Knowledge Flows : How Does Proximity Influence the Performance of Plants ? , 2010 .

[49]  Jeffrey M. Wooldridge,et al.  Cluster-Sample Methods in Applied Econometrics , 2003 .

[50]  Vetle I. Torvik,et al.  Disambiguation and co-authorship networks of the U.S. patent inventor database (1975–2010) , 2014 .

[51]  E. Andersen,et al.  National Systems of Innovation: Towards a Theory of Innovation and Interactive Learning , 1992 .

[52]  M. Feldman,et al.  Beyond territory : dynamic geographies of knowledge creation, diffusion, and innovation , 2013 .

[53]  P. Hall Cities in Civilization , 1998 .

[54]  J. R. Moore,et al.  The theory of the growth of the firm twenty-five years after , 1960 .

[55]  Cristiano Antonelli The Economics of Localized Technological Change and Industrial Dynamics , 2012 .

[56]  M. Gittelman,et al.  Patent Citations as a Measure of Knowledge Flows: The Influence of Examiner Citations , 2006, The Review of Economics and Statistics.

[57]  Leslie E. Papke,et al.  Panel data methods for fractional response variables with an application to test pass rates , 2008 .

[58]  J. Cantwell,et al.  Historical evolution of technological diversification , 2004 .

[59]  Ron Boschma,et al.  Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography # 05 . 04 The spatial evolution of the British automobile industry , 2005 .

[60]  Douglas L. Miller,et al.  Robust Inference with Multi-Way Clustering , 2006 .

[61]  Francesco Quatraro,et al.  Knowledge Coherence, Variety and economic Growth: Manufacturing Evidence from Italian Regions , 2010 .

[62]  V. Crawford Lying for Strategic Advantage: Rational and Boundedly Rational Misrepresentation of Intentions , 2003 .

[63]  Gary King,et al.  Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data , 2001, Political Analysis.

[64]  José Lobo,et al.  Using patent technology codes to study technological change , 2012 .

[65]  Corinne Autant-Bernard The Geography Of Knowledge Spillovers And Technological Proximity , 2001 .

[66]  Bart van Looy,et al.  Technological Diversification, Coherence and Performance of Firms , 2007 .

[67]  F. Quatraro,et al.  The emergence of new technology-based sectors at the regional level: a proximity-based analysis of nanotechnology , 2012 .

[68]  Steven Klepper,et al.  Heritage and Agglomeration: The Akron Tyre Cluster Revisited , 2009 .

[69]  M. Storper,et al.  The Increasing Importance of Geographical Proximity in Knowledge Production: An Analysis of US Patent Citations, 1975–1997 , 2008 .

[70]  Pier Paolo Saviotti,et al.  The knowledge-base evolution in biotechnology: a social network analysis , 2011 .

[71]  David L. Rigby,et al.  Evolution, Process Variety, and Regional Trajectories of Technological Change in U.S. Manufacturing , 1997 .

[72]  David L. Rigby,et al.  Technological Relatedness and Knowledge Space: Entry and Exit of US Cities from Patent Classes , 2015 .

[73]  K. Pavitt,et al.  Patent statistics as indicators of innovative activities: Possibilities and problems , 2005, Scientometrics.

[74]  Jürgen Essletzbichler,et al.  Relatedness, Industrial Branching and Technological Cohesion in US Metropolitan Areas , 2013 .

[75]  Ricardo Hausmann,et al.  The Structure of the Product Space and the Evolution of Comparative Advantage , 2007 .

[76]  Kristina Dahlin,et al.  When is an Invention Really Radical? Defining and Measuring Technological Radicalness , 2005 .

[77]  Ricardo Hausmann,et al.  Country Diversification, Product Ubiquity, and Economic Divergence , 2010 .