Management of tropospheric ozone by reducing methane emissions.

Background concentrations of tropospheric ozone are increasing and are sensitive to methane emissions, yet methane mitigation is currently considered only for climate change. Methane control is shown here to be viable for ozone management. Identified global abatement measures can reduce approximately 10% of anthropogenic methane emissions at a cost-savings, decreasing surface ozone by 0.4-0.7 ppb. Methane controls produce ozone reductions that are widespread globally and are realized gradually (approximately 12 yr). In contrast, controls on nitrogen oxides (NOx) and nonmethane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs) target high-ozone episodes in polluted regions and affect ozone rapidly but have a smaller climate benefit. A coarse estimate of the monetized global benefits of ozone reductions for agriculture, forestry, and human health (neglecting ozone mortality) justifies reducing approximately 17% of global anthropogenic methane emissions. If implemented, these controls would decrease ozone by -1 ppb and radiative forcing by approximately 0.12 W m(-2). We also find that climate-motivated methane reductions have air quality-related ancillary benefits comparable to those for CO2. Air quality planning should consider reducing methane emissions alongside NOx and NMVOCs, and because the benefits of methane controls are shared internationally, industrialized nations should consider emphasizing methane in the further development of climate change or ozone policies.

[1]  Alexei G. Sankovski,et al.  Mitigation of Methane and Nitrous Oxide Emissions from Waste, Energy and Industry , 2006 .

[2]  Pieter P. Tans,et al.  CH4 sources estimated from atmospheric observations of CH4 and its 13C/12C isotopic ratios: 1. Inverse modeling of source processes , 2004 .

[3]  F. Dominici,et al.  Ozone and short-term mortality in 95 US urban communities, 1987-2000. , 2004, JAMA.

[4]  Michael B. McElroy,et al.  A 3‐D model analysis of the slowdown and interannual variability in the methane growth rate from 1988 to 1997 , 2004 .

[5]  D. Mauzerall,et al.  Characterizing distributions of surface ozone and its impact on grain production in China, Japan and South Korea: 1990 and 2020 , 2004 .

[6]  R. Vingarzan A review of surface ozone background levels and trends , 2004 .

[7]  J. Lelieveld,et al.  Increasing Ozone over the Atlantic Ocean , 2004, Science.

[8]  A. Farrell,et al.  Prospects for International Management of Intercontinental Air Pollution Transport , 2004 .

[9]  Ronald G. Prinn,et al.  Effects of ozone on net primary production and carbon sequestration in the conterminous United States using a biogeochemistry model , 2004 .

[10]  Arlene M. Fiore,et al.  Variability in surface ozone background over the United States: Implications for air quality policy , 2003 .

[11]  Tracey Holloway,et al.  Intercontinental transport of air pollution: will emerging science lead to a new hemispheric treaty? , 2003, Environmental science & technology.

[12]  John M. Reilly,et al.  Modeling non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Abatement , 2003 .

[13]  Run-Lie Shia,et al.  Potential Environmental Impact of a Hydrogen Economy on the Stratosphere , 2003, Science.

[14]  John M. Reilly,et al.  The Kyoto Protocol and non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases and Carbon Sinks , 2002 .

[15]  David G. Streets,et al.  Linking ozone pollution and climate change: The case for controlling methane , 2002 .

[16]  Joanna D. Haigh,et al.  Radiative forcing of climate change , 2002 .

[17]  J I Levy,et al.  Assessing the public health benefits of reduced ozone concentrations. , 2001, Environmental health perspectives.

[18]  G. Thurston,et al.  Hidden Health Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation , 2001, Science.

[19]  Jean Charles Hourcade,et al.  Global, Regional and national Costs and Ancillary Benefits of Mitigation , 2001 .

[20]  J. Hansen,et al.  Global warming in the twenty-first century: an alternative scenario. , 2000, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[21]  J. Lelieveld,et al.  What controls tropospheric ozone , 2000 .

[22]  Atul K. Jain,et al.  Costs of Multigreenhouse Gas Reduction Targets for the USA , 1999, Science.

[23]  J. Melillo,et al.  Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol , 1999, Nature.

[24]  J. Logan,et al.  Effect of rising Asian emissions on surface ozone in the United States , 1999 .

[25]  Xin-Zhong Liang,et al.  Climatic forcing of nitrogen oxides through changes in tropospheric ozone and methane; global 3D model studies , 1999 .

[26]  D. Schimel,et al.  Atmospheric Chemistry and Greenhouse Gases , 1999 .

[27]  Yuhang Wang,et al.  Anthropogenic forcing on tropospheric ozone and OH since preindustrial times , 1998 .

[28]  Ari Rabl,et al.  An estimate of regional and global O3 damage from precursor NOx and VOC emissions , 1998 .

[29]  J. Pages,et al.  Evidence of a long‐term increase in tropospheric ozone from Pic du Midi data series: Consequences: Positive radiative forcing , 1994 .

[30]  Andreas Volz,et al.  Evaluation of the Montsouris series of ozone measurements made in the nineteenth century , 1988, Nature.

[31]  P. Crutzen A discussion of the chemistry of some minor constituents in the stratosphere and troposphere , 1973 .