Regional land-use allocation using a coupled MAS and GA model: from local simulation to global optimization, a case study in Caidian District, Wuhan, China

China is facing the pressures of both rapid economic development and environmental protection, and land-use allocation optimization is an important way to manage the conflicts between these pressures and to achieve sustainable development. Optimization of land-use allocation is a nonlinear multiobjective spatial optimization problem, and a purely local simulation model or global optimization model is insufficient to solve it. It is essential to bridge the gap between the two models through the combination of top-down and bottom-up approaches. This study integrates a multiagent system (MAS) that simulates the behaviors of land-use stakeholders with regard to their choices of specific locations, with a genetic algorithm (GA) that simultaneously evaluates and optimizes land-use configurations to meet various regional development objectives. The model is expected to achieve the optimization of land use in terms of the composition and spatial configuration. Caidian District, Wuhan, China, was chosen as the study area to test the model in this paper. The results show that the performance of the coupled model is superior to a pure GA model or MAS model. The optimal configuration improves on the economic output, spatial compactness, and carbon storage of the current configuration and promotes sustainable regional land-use development from the local scale to the regional scale.

[1]  S. Rozelle,et al.  Grain for Green: Cost-Effectiveness and Sustainability of China’s Conservation Set-Aside Program , 2005, Land Economics.

[2]  Mitsuhiko Kawakami,et al.  Geosimulation Model Using Geographic Automata for Simulating Land-Use Patterns in Urban Partitions , 2009 .

[3]  Steven Johnson,et al.  Emergence: The Connected Lives of Ants, Brains, Cities, and Software , 2001 .

[4]  Richard J. Balling,et al.  Multiobjective Urban Planning Using Genetic Algorithm , 1999 .

[5]  Yun Chen,et al.  Cellular automata-based spatial multi-criteria land suitability simulation for irrigated agriculture , 2011, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[6]  Xiaoping Liu,et al.  A multi-type ant colony optimization (MACO) method for optimal land use allocation in large areas , 2012, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[7]  Piotr Jankowski,et al.  Agent-Based Models as Laboratories for Spatially Explicit Planning Policies , 2007 .

[8]  Daniel G. Brown,et al.  Knowledge-informed Pareto simulated annealing for multi-objective spatial allocation , 2007, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[9]  Yaolin Liu,et al.  Land Use Zoning at the County Level Based on a Multi-Objective Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm: A Case Study from Yicheng, China , 2012, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[10]  Vinay Kumar Dadhwal,et al.  National assessment of forest fragmentation in India: Landscape indices as measures of the effects of fragmentation and forest cover change , 2013 .

[11]  Suzana Dragicevic,et al.  Modeling-in-the-middle: bridging the gap between agent-based modeling and multi-objective decision-making for land use change , 2011, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[12]  Theodor J. Stewart,et al.  Using Simulated Annealing and Spatial Goal Programming for Solving a Multi Site Land Use Allocation Problem , 2003, EMO.

[13]  I. Arici,et al.  The use of landscape metrics to assess parcel conditions pre- and post-land consolidation , 2013 .

[14]  R. Azzam,et al.  Land use and Water Quality in Guangzhou, China: A survey of ecological and Social Vulnerability in Four Urban Units of the Rapidly Developing Megacity , 2013 .

[15]  X. Tingdong,et al.  Creating and destroying vacancies in solids and non-equilibrium grain-boundary segregation , 2003 .

[16]  Célia Ghedini Ralha,et al.  A multi-agent model system for land-use change simulation , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[17]  Theodor J. Stewart,et al.  A genetic algorithm approach to multiobjective land use planning , 2004, Comput. Oper. Res..

[18]  H. Zhang,et al.  Impacts of land use/land cover change and socioeconomic development on regional ecosystem services: The case of fast-growing Hangzhou metropolitan area, China , 2013 .

[19]  YaoLin Liu,et al.  Rural land use spatial allocation in the semiarid loess hilly area in China: Using a Particle Swarm Optimization model equipped with multi-objective optimization techniques , 2012, Science China Earth Sciences.

[20]  Inés Santé-Riveira,et al.  Algorithm based on simulated annealing for land-use allocation , 2008, Comput. Geosci..

[21]  Peter H. Verburg,et al.  Simulating feedbacks in land use and land cover change models , 2006, Landscape Ecology.

[22]  Richard L. Church,et al.  Spatial optimization as a generative technique for sustainable multiobjective land‐use allocation , 2008, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[23]  Qihao Weng Land use change analysis in the Zhujiang Delta of China using satellite remote sensing, GIS and stochastic modelling. , 2002, Journal of environmental management.

[24]  Xia Li,et al.  Combining system dynamics and hybrid particle swarm optimization for land use allocation , 2013 .

[25]  Piotr Jankowski,et al.  Exploring normative scenarios of land use development decisions with an agent-based simulation laboratory , 2010, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[26]  S. Ho,et al.  China's Land Resources and Land Use Change , 2003 .

[27]  S. Carpenter,et al.  Global Consequences of Land Use , 2005, Science.

[28]  Erle C. Ellis,et al.  Land Use and Soil Organic Carbon in China's Village Landscapes , 2010 .

[29]  Jean-Christophe Castella,et al.  Combining top-down and bottom-up modelling approaches of land use/cover change to support public policies: Application to sustainable management of natural resources in northern Vietnam , 2007 .

[30]  Shaowen Wang,et al.  Sustainable land use optimization using Boundary-based Fast Genetic Algorithm , 2012, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[31]  Verena Rieser,et al.  Modelling the impacts of land system dynamics on human well-being: Using an agent-based approach to cope with data limitations in Koper, Slovenia , 2012, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[32]  Mehrdad Tamiz,et al.  Multi-objective meta-heuristics: An overview of the current state-of-the-art , 2002, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[33]  R. Tateishi,et al.  Evaluating urban expansion and land use change in Shijiazhuang, China, by using GIS and remote sensing , 2006 .

[34]  Xiaoping Liu,et al.  Embedding sustainable development strategies in agent‐based models for use as a planning tool , 2008, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[35]  Jiyuan Liu,et al.  Study on spatial pattern of land-use change in China during 1995–2000 , 2003, Science in China Series D Earth Sciences.

[36]  Michael Batty,et al.  Spatial multi-objective land use optimization: extensions to the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II , 2011, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[37]  Daniel G. Brown,et al.  Evaluating the effects of land‐use development policies on ex‐urban forest cover: An integrated agent‐based GIS approach , 2009, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[38]  Li Xia,et al.  Multi-agent systems for simulating spatial decision behaviors and land-use dynamics , 2006 .

[39]  Verena Rieser,et al.  Agent-based modelling of land use dynamics and residential quality of life for future scenarios , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[40]  K. Overmars,et al.  Combining top-down and bottom-up dynamics in land use modeling: exploring the future of abandoned farmlands in Europe with the Dyna-CLUE model , 2009, Landscape Ecology.

[41]  M. Janssen,et al.  Multi-Agent Systems for the Simulation of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change: A Review , 2003 .

[42]  Wenli Chen,et al.  Optimal land use allocation of urban fringe in Guangzhou , 2012, Journal of Geographical Sciences.

[43]  G. Heuvelink,et al.  Using Linear Integer Programming for Multi-Site Land-Use Allocation , 2003 .

[44]  K. Hokao,et al.  Modeling urban land use change by the integration of cellular automaton and Markov model , 2011 .

[45]  Arnold K. Bregt,et al.  An agent-based approach to model land-use change at a regional scale , 2010, Landscape Ecology.

[46]  J. Guldmann,et al.  A hierarchical optimization approach to watershed land use planning , 2007 .

[47]  Yun Chen,et al.  Modeling and implementation of classification rule discovery by ant colony optimisation for spatial land-use suitability assessment , 2011, Comput. Environ. Urban Syst..

[48]  Xianjin Huang,et al.  Land use structure optimization based on carbon storage in several regional terrestrial ecosystems across China , 2013 .

[49]  F. Aguilera,et al.  Landscape metrics in the analysis of urban land use patterns: A case study in a Spanish metropolitan area , 2011 .

[50]  K. Cao,et al.  Comparison of spatial compactness evaluation methods for simple genetic algorithm based land use planning optimization problem , 2010 .

[51]  José I. Barredo,et al.  The MOLAND Modelling Framework for Urban and Regional Land Use Dynamics , 2007 .

[52]  Jo Dewulf,et al.  Improved ecological network analysis for environmental sustainability assessment; a case study on a forest ecosystem , 2012 .

[53]  H. Jianhua,et al.  Rural land use spatial allocation in the semiarid loess hilly area in China: Using a Particle Swarm Optimization model equipped with multi-objective optimization techniques , 2012 .

[54]  Epameinondas Sidiropoulos,et al.  Combined land-use and water allocation planning , 2014, Ann. Oper. Res..

[55]  J. Gareth Polhill,et al.  Agent-based land-use models: a review of applications , 2007, Landscape Ecology.

[56]  J. Ronald Eastman,et al.  Multi-criteria and multi-objective decision making for land allocation using GIS , 1998 .

[57]  D. McFadden Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior , 1972 .

[58]  Farhad Hosseinali,et al.  Agent-based modeling of urban land-use development, case study: Simulating future scenarios of Qazvin city , 2013 .

[59]  Wenwu Tang,et al.  A counterfactual scenario simulation approach for assessing the impact of farmland preservation policies on urban sprawl and food security in a major grain-producing area of China , 2013 .

[60]  G. Shaw,et al.  Land Use , 1977, Ecology, Revised and Expanded.