A multi-objective robust stochastic programming model for disaster relief logistics under uncertainty

Humanitarian relief logistics is one of the most important elements of a relief operation in disaster management. The present work develops a multi-objective robust stochastic programming approach for disaster relief logistics under uncertainty. In our approach, not only demands but also supplies and the cost of procurement and transportation are considered as the uncertain parameters. Furthermore, the model considers uncertainty for the locations where those demands might arise and the possibility that some of the pre-positioned supplies in the relief distribution center or supplier might be partially destroyed by the disaster. Our multi-objective model attempts to minimize the sum of the expected value and the variance of the total cost of the relief chain while penalizing the solution’s infeasibility due to parameter uncertainty; at the same time the model aims to maximize the affected areas’ satisfaction levels through minimizing the sum of the maximum shortages in the affected areas. Considering the global evaluation of two objectives, a compromise programming model is formulated and solved to obtain a non-dominating compromise solution. We present a case study of our robust stochastic optimization approach for disaster planning for earthquake scenarios in a region of Iran. Our findings show that the proposed model can help in making decisions on both facility location and resource allocation in cases of disaster relief efforts.

[1]  Mark A. Turnquist,et al.  Pre-positioning of emergency supplies for disaster response , 2010 .

[2]  Alexander Stepanov,et al.  Production , Manufacturing and Logistics Multi-objective evacuation routing in transportation networks , 2009 .

[3]  Ali Haghani,et al.  Supply Chain Management in Disaster Response , 2009 .

[4]  Ali Amiri,et al.  Production , Manufacturing and Logistics Designing a distribution network in a supply chain system : Formulation and efficient solution procedure , 2005 .

[5]  Satish V. Ukkusuri,et al.  Location Routing Approach for the Humanitarian Prepositioning Problem , 2008 .

[6]  N Fariborz,et al.  Earthquake scenario for the mega‐city of Tehran , 2001 .

[7]  Eva D. Regnier,et al.  Public Evacuation Decisions and Hurricane Track Uncertainty , 2008, Manag. Sci..

[8]  Robert J. Vanderbei,et al.  Robust Optimization of Large-Scale Systems , 1995, Oper. Res..

[9]  Wei Yi,et al.  Ant Colony Optimization for Disaster Relief Operations , 2007 .

[10]  G. Kovács,et al.  Humanitarian logistics in disaster relief operations , 2007 .

[11]  A. Mert,et al.  FUZZY DISASTER RELIEF PLANNING WITH CREDIBILITY MEASURES , 2010 .

[12]  Fang Yuan,et al.  Global Optimization of Emergency Evacuation Assignments , 2006, Interfaces.

[13]  Kaan Ozbay,et al.  Stochastic Humanitarian Inventory Control Model for Disaster Planning , 2007 .

[14]  Patrizia Beraldi,et al.  A probabilistic model applied to emergency service vehicle location , 2009, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[15]  Gülay Barbarosoglu,et al.  An interactive approach for hierarchical analysis of helicopter logistics in disaster relief operations , 2002, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[16]  Mir-Bahador Aryanezhad,et al.  A multi-objective robust optimization model for multi-product multi-site aggregate production planning in a supply chain under uncertainty , 2011 .

[17]  Stephen A. Kotleba,et al.  Inventory modelling for complex emergencies in humanitarian relief operations , 2006 .

[18]  Mohammad Saadatseresht,et al.  Evacuation planning using multiobjective evolutionary optimization approach , 2009, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[19]  Gülay Barbarosoglu,et al.  A two-stage stochastic programming framework for transportation planning in disaster response , 2004, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[20]  Han-Lin Li,et al.  A robust optimization model for stochastic logistic problems , 2000 .

[21]  A. Apte,et al.  Stochastic Optimization for Natural Disaster Asset Prepositioning , 2010 .

[22]  Gilbert Laporte,et al.  Ambulance location and relocation models , 2000, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[23]  Mei-Shiang Chang,et al.  A scenario planning approach for the flood emergency logistics preparation problem under uncertainty , 2007 .

[24]  Charles S. ReVelle,et al.  The Location of Emergency Service Facilities , 1971, Oper. Res..

[25]  Richard F. Hartl,et al.  Health Care Logistics, Emergency Preparedness, and Disaster Relief: New Challenges for Routing Problems with a Focus on the Austrian Situation , 2008 .

[26]  M. Jafari,et al.  Statistical prediction of the next great earthquake around Tehran, Iran , 2010 .

[27]  Jiuh-Biing Sheu,et al.  An emergency logistics distribution approach for quick response to urgent relief demand in disasters , 2007 .

[28]  Gwo-Hshiung Tzeng,et al.  Multi-objective optimal planning for designing relief delivery systems , 2007 .

[29]  L. V. Wassenhove,et al.  Pan-american health organization’s humanitarian supply management system: de-politicization of the humanitarian supply chain by creating accountability , 2004 .

[30]  Roger P. Knott,et al.  The logistics of bulk relief supplies , 1987 .

[31]  Anup Roop Akkihal,et al.  Inventory pre-positioning for humanitarian operations , 2006 .

[32]  Wilhelm Dangelmaier,et al.  A humanitarian supply chain process reference model , 2009, Int. J. Serv. Technol. Manag..

[33]  Benita M. Beamon,et al.  Facility location in humanitarian relief , 2008 .

[34]  Linet Özdamar,et al.  Emergency Logistics Planning in Natural Disasters , 2004, Ann. Oper. Res..

[35]  L. V. Van Wassenhove Humanitarian aid logistics: supply chain management in high gear , 2006 .

[36]  Nezih Altay,et al.  OR/MS research in disaster operations management , 2006, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[37]  Ali Haghani,et al.  Formulation and solution of a multi-commodity, multi-modal network flow model for disaster relief operations , 1996 .

[38]  T. Davis Effective supply chain management , 2020, Strategic Direction.

[39]  Jiuh-Biing Sheu,et al.  Dynamic Relief-Demand Management for Emergency Logistics Operations Under Large-Scale Disasters , 2010 .

[40]  Zelda B. Zabinsky,et al.  Stochastic optimization of medical supply location and distribution in disaster management , 2010 .

[41]  Maged Dessouky,et al.  A modeling framework for facility location of medical services for large-scale emergencies , 2007 .

[42]  Patrizia Beraldi,et al.  Designing robust emergency medical service via stochastic programming , 2004, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[43]  Linet Özdamar,et al.  A dynamic logistics coordination model for evacuation and support in disaster response activities , 2007, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[44]  Emmett J. Lodree,et al.  An insurance risk management framework for disaster relief and supply chain disruption inventory planning , 2008, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[45]  Ali A. Nowroozi Probability of Peak Ground Horizontal and Peak Ground Vertical Accelerations at Tehran and Surrounding Areas , 2010 .

[46]  David P. Morton,et al.  Stochastic Network Interdiction , 1998, Oper. Res..

[47]  Maged M. Dessouky,et al.  Solution approaches for facility location of medical supplies for large-scale emergencies , 2007, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[48]  D. C. Whybark,et al.  Issues in managing disaster relief inventories , 2007 .

[49]  Robert S. Yeats,et al.  Contribution of archaeological data to studies of earthquake history in the Iranian Plateau , 2001 .

[50]  Fritz Gehbauer,et al.  Optimized resource allocation for emergency response after earthquake disasters , 2000 .

[51]  Roger P. Knott,et al.  Vehicle Scheduling for Emergency Relief Management: A Knowledge‐Based Approach , 1988 .

[52]  Mehrdad Tamiz,et al.  Goal programming, compromise programming and reference point method formulations: linkages and utility interpretations , 1998, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[53]  S S Nambisan,et al.  EMERGENCY RESPONSE (DISASTER MANAGEMENT) , 2000 .

[54]  Norio Okada,et al.  ROAD NETWORK ROBUSTNESS FOR AVOIDING FUNCTIONAL ISOLATION IN DISASTERS , 2004 .

[55]  Ann Melissa Campbell,et al.  Routing for Relief Efforts , 2008, Transp. Sci..

[56]  Srinivas Peeta,et al.  Multicommodity Maximal Covering Network Design Problem for Planning Critical Routes for Earthquake Response , 2003 .

[57]  J. MacGregor Smith,et al.  RESOURCE ALLOCATION IN STATE-DEPENDENT EMERGENCY EVACUATION NETWORKS , 1996 .

[58]  Balescu,et al.  Paleoseismological analysis in Central Alborz, Iran , 2007 .